Haka - Inter announced line-ups

Haka: 1 Janne Korhonen, 2 Regillio Nooitmeer, 3 Toni Kuivasto, 7 Mikko Innanen, 11 Antti Hynynen, 15 Jaakko Juuti, 16 Benito Yllaconza, 18 Josef Chavez, 20 Quincy Osei, 22 Jarno Mattila, 24 Kyuong Ik Nam

Inter: 13 Eemeli Reponen, 5 Daniel Antunez, 7 Ari Nyman, 14 Joni Aho, 15 Severi Paajanen, 17 Mika Ojala, 22 Sami Sanevuori, 23 Ville Nikkari, 27 Kennedy Nwankanga, 28 Mika Mäkitalo, 29 Henri Lehtonen

Haka have such a bad line-up that 3 points would really surprise me, but they have done it before.

Local odds for Wednesday

July matches in Finland

This is not all, there is also some european competition and of course women´s league and so on, but I guess these are enough to satisfy any hunger for football and betting. Veikkausliiga, Ykkönen and Kakkonen!

02.07.10	VPS	AC Oulu
03.07.10	AC Vantaa	FC Kuusankoski
03.07.10	LoPa	KaaPo
03.07.10	Ilves	BK-46
03.07.10	FC Kiisto	PK-37
03.07.10	FCV	KajHa
03.07.10	JBK	FCJ
03.07.10	FC YPA	TP-47
03.07.10	FC Santa Claus	SJK
03.07.10	KPV	Klubi 04
03.07.10	FC PoPa	JIPPO
03.07.10	FC Hämeenlinna	TPV
03.07.10	FC Espoo	RoPS
03.07.10	IFK Mariehamn	FC Lahti
04.07.10	FC Futura	SC Riverball
04.07.10	Atlantis FC	City Stars
04.07.10	Warkaus JK	HIFK
04.07.10	PEPO	Kiffen
04.07.10	Pallohonka	P-Iirot
04.07.10	Sinimustat	FC Jazz-j
04.07.10	FC OPA	VIFK
04.07.10	FC Korsholm	GBK
04.07.10	MP	PK-35 Vantaa
04.07.10	FC Viikingit	FC KooTeePee
04.07.10	PS Kemi	OPS-jp
04.07.10	FC Honka	Haka
04.07.10	FF Jaro	KuPS
04.07.10	TPS	HJK
04.07.10	MYPA	FC Inter
05.07.10	Tampere United	VPS
05.07.10	JJK	AC Oulu
06.07.10	Gnistan	PK Keski-Uusimaa
07.07.10	FC Kuusankoski	SC Riverball
07.07.10	SalPa	GrIFK
07.07.10	ÅIFK	MuSa
08.07.10	Pallohonka	KaaPo
08.07.10	FC Sport	NiceF
09.07.10	P-Iirot	EIF
09.07.10	GBK	FCV
09.07.10	Klubi 04	FC Hämeenlinna
10.07.10	SC Riverball	LPS
10.07.10	PK Keski-Uusimaa	PEPO
10.07.10	Kiffen	FC Futura
10.07.10	BK-46	Sinimustat
10.07.10	FC Jazz-j	LoPa
10.07.10	VIFK	FC YPA
10.07.10	SJK	JBK
10.07.10	PK-37	FC Santa Claus
10.07.10	TP-47	FC Korsholm
10.07.10	OPS-jp	FC Viikingit
10.07.10	JIPPO	FC Espoo
10.07.10	HJK	Tampere United
11.07.10	HIFK	Gnistan
11.07.10	KäPa	AC Vantaa
11.07.10	City Stars	Warkaus JK
11.07.10	FC Kuusankoski	Atlantis FC
11.07.10	SoVo	SalPa
11.07.10	GrIFK	Ilves
11.07.10	KajHa	FC Kiisto
11.07.10	FCJ	FC OPA
11.07.10	TPV	MP
11.07.10	FC KooTeePee	FC PoPa
11.07.10	RoPS	KPV
11.07.10	PK-35 Vantaa	PS Kemi
11.07.10	Haka	JJK
11.07.10	KuPS	IFK Mariehamn
11.07.10	AC Oulu	FF Jaro
11.07.10	VPS	MYPA
11.07.10	FC Lahti	TPS
11.07.10	FC Inter	FC Honka
13.07.10	FC Honka	TiPS
14.07.10	PK Keski-Uusimaa	LPS
14.07.10	City Stars	KäPa
14.07.10	FC Futura	HIFK
14.07.10	FC Kuusankoski	Warkaus JK
14.07.10	SC Riverball	PEPO
14.07.10	AC Vantaa	Kiffen
14.07.10	EIF	SalPa
14.07.10	LoPa	GrIFK
14.07.10	KaaPo	ÅIFK
14.07.10	Sinimustat	SoVo
14.07.10	P-Iirot	MuSa
14.07.10	Ilves	FC Jazz-j
14.07.10	Pallohonka	BK-46
14.07.10	FC Kiisto	JBK
14.07.10	FC Korsholm	FCJ
14.07.10	FC YPA	SJK
14.07.10	KajHa	FC Santa Claus
14.07.10	FC OPA	TP-47
14.07.10	FCV	VIFK
14.07.10	FC Viikingit	FC Espoo
15.07.10	Gnistan	Atlantis FC
15.07.10	PS Kemi	JIPPO
17.07.10	MuSa	Ilves
17.07.10	BK-46	KaaPo
17.07.10	SJK	FCV
17.07.10	JBK	FC YPA
17.07.10	FC OPA	FC Santa Claus
17.07.10	TPV	FC KooTeePee
17.07.10	HJK	KuPS
17.07.10	KPV	FC Honka
18.07.10	HIFK	AC Vantaa
18.07.10	City Stars	LPS
18.07.10	Warkaus JK	PEPO
18.07.10	SoVo	Pallohonka
18.07.10	SalPa	Sinimustat
18.07.10	FC Jazz-j	P-Iirot
18.07.10	GrIFK	EIF
18.07.10	VIFK	GBK
18.07.10	PK-37	FC Korsholm
18.07.10	TP-47	KajHa
18.07.10	FCJ	FC Kiisto
18.07.10	KPV	FC PoPa
18.07.10	MP	OPS-jp
18.07.10	FC Viikingit	RoPS
18.07.10	FC Hämeenlinna	PK-35 Vantaa
18.07.10	Tampere United	AC Oulu
18.07.10	JJK	VPS
18.07.10	IFK Mariehamn	FC Inter
18.07.10	MYPA	FC Honka
18.07.10	TPS	Haka
18.07.10	FF Jaro	FC Lahti
19.07.10	PK Keski-Uusimaa	Atlantis FC
19.07.10	FC Espoo	Klubi 04
20.07.10	Kiffen	KäPa
20.07.10	Gnistan	FC Futura
20.07.10	ÅIFK	LoPa
21.07.10	GBK	PK-37
23.07.10	Atlantis FC	HIFK
23.07.10	LPS	AC Vantaa
23.07.10	Ilves	SalPa
23.07.10	KaaPo	Sinimustat
23.07.10	ÅIFK	FC Jazz-j
23.07.10	FC Kiisto	SJK
23.07.10	AC Oulu	MYPA
23.07.10	FC Honka	TPS
24.07.10	City Stars	SC Riverball
24.07.10	PK Keski-Uusimaa	FC Kuusankoski
24.07.10	LoPa	Pallohonka
24.07.10	FC Santa Claus	VIFK
24.07.10	FCJ	KajHa
24.07.10	PS Kemi	KPV
24.07.10	FC PoPa	FC Viikingit
24.07.10	OPS-jp	FC KooTeePee
24.07.10	Haka	HJK
24.07.10	PK-35 Vantaa	HJK
25.07.10	Warkaus JK	Kiffen
25.07.10	PEPO	Gnistan
25.07.10	KäPa	FC Futura
25.07.10	MuSa	BK-46
25.07.10	EIF	SoVo
25.07.10	GrIFK	P-Iirot
25.07.10	GBK	FC YPA
25.07.10	FC OPA	JBK
25.07.10	PK-37	TP-47
25.07.10	FC Hämeenlinna	JIPPO
25.07.10	PK-35 Vantaa	Klubi 04
25.07.10	TPV	RoPS
25.07.10	MP	FC Espoo
25.07.10	FC Honka	TPS
25.07.10	JJK	Tampere United
25.07.10	VPS	IFK Mariehamn
25.07.10	FC Lahti	KuPS
25.07.10	FC Inter	FF Jaro
28.07.10	LPS	PK Keski-Uusimaa
28.07.10	KäPa	City Stars
28.07.10	HIFK	FC Futura
28.07.10	Warkaus JK	FC Kuusankoski
28.07.10	PEPO	SC Riverball
28.07.10	SalPa	EIF
28.07.10	GrIFK	LoPa
28.07.10	ÅIFK	KaaPo
28.07.10	SoVo	Sinimustat
28.07.10	FC Jazz-j	Ilves
28.07.10	BK-46	Pallohonka
28.07.10	JBK	FC Kiisto
28.07.10	FCJ	FC Korsholm
28.07.10	SJK	FC YPA
28.07.10	FC Santa Claus	KajHa
28.07.10	TP-47	FC OPA
28.07.10	VIFK	FCV
28.07.10	FC KooTeePee	MP
29.07.10	Kiffen	AC Vantaa
29.07.10	Atlantis FC	Gnistan
29.07.10	MuSa	P-Iirot
31.07.10	SC Riverball	FC Kuusankoski
31.07.10	LoPa	ÅIFK
31.07.10	KaaPo	BK-46
31.07.10	FC YPA	JBK
31.07.10	FC Santa Claus	FC OPA
31.07.10	FC Kiisto	FCJ
31.07.10	KPV	FC Hämeenlinna
31.07.10	JIPPO	PK-35 Vantaa
31.07.10	HJK	VPS
01.08.10	KäPa	Kiffen

Home advantage Veikkausliiga 2010 update

Veikkausliiga 2010				goals			%
Round	1	x	2	home	away	total	1	x	2	avg
1	2	2	3	8	11	19
2	1	3	3	4	9	13
3	2	1	4	11	17	28
4	2	2	3	9	10	19
5	4	2	1	12	8	20
6	2	3	2	6	5	11
7	1	3	3	5	8	13
8	3	2	2	8	10	18
9	2	1	4	7	12	19
10	1	2	4	3	9	12
11	1	0	2
total	21	21	31	73	99	172	28,8	28,8	42,5	2,36

Busy Wednesday

Yep, this day could be very good or very bad, so big odds movements and pricing errors again that I had to take several picks.

23.06.10	Veikkausliiga	MIFK	MyPa		MIFK	-0,25	1,95
23.06.10	Kakkonen	PK37	YPA		YPA	-0,5	2,04
23.06.10	Kakkonen	VIFK	Kiisto		Kiisto	-0,25	2,17
23.06.10	Kakkonen	BK46	EIF		EIF	-0,5	1,99
23.06.10	Kakkonen	KaaPo	SalPa		SalPa	-0,5	2,2
23.06.10	Kakkonen	Kiffen	Atlantis		Kiffen	-0.25	2,44

Took all day to go through latest news, odds movements, rumours and unconfirmed suspensions and stuff.

In the end came up a with a few suggestions and perhaps will post some of them here when the Newsletter customers have made their bets.

HJK have Rafinha and Medo suspended, Tommi Kari is suspended from the visitors side and here are the line-ups.

HJK midfield worries me a bit and they are not worth a bet with current hc -1.5. Riihilahti & Fowler? Really? There is no option, this is hardly the most likely choice.

MIFK was a natural choice, the form, injuries, fixtures, travel.. everything speaks for the hosts, as well as class.

Even if I do not, then there will a break because of the league´s are on break here for the " Juhannus ", a mid-sommer celebration of light.

Next round will be on Wednesday the 30th, and in July there are also interesting Europa League matches and I might need to travel a bit to see them.

Good luck, have fun. Updates likely, not there are no guarantees.

Kakkonen C ; GBK - JBK

GBK – JBK at Kakkonen C

GBK has now played two matches in a row without creating a single goalscoring opportunity, which probably speaks for itself. Their annoying tendency to randomly switch between a good and a bad form makes them very difficult to predict, but overall they are still clearly one of the top-half teams, or at least the players are. In their last match, their only quality striker Ebongue was for some reason on the bench, it could be due to an injury as he was substituted out in the Santa Claus match but there's no concrete info available. In other news, Vitao seems to be making a return, and could be a slight improvement to GBK's midfield.

Jaro had JBK's topscorer Thomas Kula with them on Sunday and Jaro has a match on Wednesday too, so it could be the case that they won't get any quality players on loan. Nonetheless, they weren't far behind TP-47(like against FCV too) last weekend so they continue to be impressive. Assessing JBK's quality is probably hard for everyone as most of their players didn't see that much action last year or they are former Jaro juniors or academy players, and those matches don't get much coverage so it's difficult to say how good they are at Kakkonen level. In my own rankings JBK hovers around those other three teams(FC OPA, PK-37, FCJ) that I think will fight to avoid that last relegation spot(KajHa and Korsholm should go down, though KajHa does have some potential).

GBK's matches always have an under-like feel on them, and now that JBK has seemingly made a complete reversal to a low-scoring team, the 2.75 line doesn't look that inviting. JBK should still be an average team, and not an under team, so there's some potential for goals, but the current odds look too low. GBK appeals on some level, because JBK could still play with an "decimerat lag" like they say on their homepages(which I think is the first time ever that they've had any kind of a team status update), and also because GBK is couple of steps above JBK in class and has a much more experienced team, but who knows if this is a day off for them again or do they decide to play seriously. Checking line-ups could be a good idea to know the status of Ebongue and whether there are any surprise Jaro-loans.

57 21 22
o/u 2.5: 61 39

Finnish clubs in european competition

 Familiar looking opponents.

Cl qualification
Ekranas-HJK (13-14.7. -  20-21.7.)


europe league
TPS-Port Talbot (1.7. -  8.7.)

JK Trans Narva-MYPA (1.7. -  8.7.)
 
Cercle Brügge-TPS/Port Talbot (15.7. -  22.7.)

JK Trans Narva/MYPA-Sant Julià (15.7. -  22.7.)

FC Honka-Bangor City (15.7. -  22.7.)

Inter Turku start from the 3rd round.

More about these later.

North Korea - Brazil 1-0, this is no BBC broadcast

Veikkausliiga LIVE Monday - Haka - KuPS 21.06.2010

Edit: Stream available here!

Edit: getting really fed up with the amateurism in the local scene. No live stream at Veikkaus open yet, they are probably watching the world cup and scratching their cojones.

Haka - KuPS

Haka
1 KORHONEN Janne
2 NOOITMEER Regi
3 KUIVASTO Toni
7 INNANEN Mikko
10 GELA Xhevdet
11 HYNYNEN Antti
15 JUUTI Jaakko
18 CHAVEZ Josef
20 OSEI Quincy
22 MATTILA Jarno
24 NAM Ik Kyuong

Subs
4 JOENMÄKI Markus
9 IKÄVALKO Niko
13 TRAORE Ben
16 YLLACONZA Benito
17 MULTANEN Kalle
32 SANTALA Jukka


KuPS
3 HOLOPAINEN Pietari
6 UDAH Raphael
8 TAIPALE Tero
9 BALOGH Balazs
10 WILLIAMS Olajide
11 ORAVAINEN Petri
12 PÖNTINEN Joonas
15 NYKÄNEN Juho
20 ILO Miikka
23 OLLO Patrice
26 NWAKAEME Dickson

Subs
4 TURUNEN Patrik
16 KAIVONURMI Samuli
17 KOLARI Jussi
22 OGBUEFI Jerome
29 YLÖNEN Harri
30 VILMUNEN Mikko



I will publish some info, preview and line-up later. Also the address for the Veikkaus.fi free live stream, but it is also available widely at various streaming services. Looks like the only important missing player from KuPS is striker Ilja Venäläinen.

Lahti value is long gone, and I am rechecking Haka - KuPS right now. Lahti is a favourite now at the market which is a bit overstatement but I am happy with my Lahti +0,25 bet.

VPS - Lahti limits and lineups; VPS with several missing players and there seems to be no Litmanen in the Lahti starting  line-up but no worries, he is on the bench ready to come and finish VPS off.

***

	VPS	Lahti
-0,25	2,22	1,82
0	1,89	2,12

Argentina line-up vs Greece on Tuesday

Yes, I know that they have nothing to do with Finnish footballing stuff, but as I am sure you are watching them anyway here is the line-up with comments for the Argentinian team provided by MNC at Argentina football previews;

**********************************

"As always, it wasn't confirmed by Maradona himself, but the starting lineup for the last group game vs Greece will have seven changes from the 11 that started vs South Korea.

The goalkeeper, Sebastian Romero, will be the same.

In defense, young Velez defender Nicolas Otamendi will replace Jonas Gutierrez who is suspended. Martin Demichelis will be one of the four regulars that will play, with Nicolas Burdisso replacing injured Walter Samuel, and Estudiantes's Clemente Rodriguez, a fast and skilled player, on the left side.
In midfield Juan Sebastian Veron will return to the starting lineup, Fiorentina's Mario Bolatti will replace Javier Mascherano (who is rested because he has a yellow card and could miss the next game if he gets another card), and Maxi Rodriguez.

In offense...don't worry, the world's best player will play, Lionel Messi, but this time he will be accompanied by Sergio "Kun" Aguero, and Inter's striker Diego Milito.

Motivation is big for this players to start in the regular team, and because getting the 1st place in the group would mean that the team plays the Round of 16 in Johannesburg and won't have to travel to another city, while if it ends in the 2nd place, the next game would be at Nelson Mandela Bay, aproximately 1000 km from where the team stays.

So, the 4-3-3 team that will play vs Greece would be :

Sergio Romero - Nicolas Otamendi, Martin Demichelis, Nicolas Burdisso, Clemente Rodriguez - Juan Sebastian Veron, Mario Bolatti, Maxi Rodriguez - Lionel Messi, Diego Milito, Sergio Aguero"

My free advice of the day: follow Argentinian football previews!


***********

Veikkausliiga 2010 1x2 distribution

Away advantage seems to rule.

Veikkausliiga				goals			%
Round	1	x	2	home	away	total	1	x	2	avg
1	2	2	3	8	11	19
2	1	3	3	4	9	13
3	2	1	4	11	17	28
4	2	2	3	9	10	19
5	4	2	1	12	8	20
6	2	3	2	6	5	11
7	1	3	3	5	8	13
8	3	2	2	8	10	18
9	2	1	4	7	12	19
10	0	1	4	0	7	7
total	19	20	29	70	97	167	27,9	29,4	42,6	2,46

15-21.6

Frustrating week behind. Long hours, no reward.

16.06.10	cup	HJK	MIFK	3-0	HJK	-1.5	2,25	1		1
16.06.10	Kakkonen	KaaPo	SoVo	1-1	SoVo	0,25	2	1		0,5
16.06.10	Kakkonen	Korsholm	FCV	3-0	FCV	-1,25	2,01	1
17.06.10	Ykkönen	PK-35	FC Espoo	0-1	PK35	-0,5	2,02	1
18.06.10	Kakkonen	SJK	PK37	0-0	SJK	-0,75	1,94	1
21.06.10	Veikkausliiga	VPS	Lahti		Lahti	0,25	1,92	1	1
20.06.10	Veikkausliiga	MyPa	Jaro	0-1	MyPa	-0,5	2,16	1
19.06.10	Kakkonen	Gnistan	Riverball	0-0	Gnistan	-0,75	2,21	1
19.06.10	Intl Women	Finland	Portugal	4-1	Fin (live)	-1	2,04	1		1
20.06.10	Kakkonen	WJK	Atlantis	2-1	WJK	-0,5	2,01	1		1
20.06.10	Kakkonen	GrIFK	KaaPo	0-0	GrIFK	-1,25	1,84	1
20.06.10	Kakkonen	PePo	LPS	1-1	LPS	0	2,11	1

150	1	74,5	21	53,5	170,21	20,21	113,47
stake	O	W	V	L	Win	Net	ROI