30.6.2011

Honka - Kalju Ft 0-0 highlights

VIFK - GBK June 30th

Total line has dropped from 3.0 to 2.75, and as the line-ups do not reveal any surprises the O2.75 should have some value(4/10 or so). VIFK has the reputation of being a boring team, but they've had their fair share of high scoring games this season, and with GBK, well the recent form should be a fairly accurate assessment of their goalscoring and defending capabilities.

Kakkonen C 30.6

JBK - HauPa +0,5 2 55% 1,95 2,5/10 Sbobet
VIFK - GBK +0,25 55,5% 1,93 2,5/10 Sbobet

JBK - HauPa 45 22 33
o/u 2.5: 64 36

Despite JBK's hot form lately I think the more correct line should have been -0,25 as I don't think there is much separating these two.

VIFK - GBK 39 22 39
o/u 2.5: 64 36

Both teams have been heavy disappointments so far, but GBK should have enough edge in class to make the +0,25 worthwhile. Neither team has bothered to put any preview up, but there shouldn't be anyone important missing.

29.6.2011

Jaro - RoPS highlights FT 8-2

Kakkonen C 29.6

Warkaus JK - SJK -1 2 70% 1,93 10/10 Sbobet
Warkaus JK - SJK O3.25 60% 1,88 5/10 Sbobet
FC Vaajakoski - TP-47 O2.75 55% 1,87 1/10 Sbobet
FC Vaajakoski - TP-47 -0,25 2 55% 1,88 2/10 Sbobet
FC YPA - SC Riverball O3.25 55% 1,91 3/10 Sbobet

Warkaus JK - SJK 11 13 76
o/u 2.5: 74 26

SJK should have a full squad to choose from, so I don't get these odds at all yet again. Admittedly Warkaus JK is a bit unknown given that they are new, but for what I've gathered from the reports their good position is mostly due to every break going their way and the average overall quality of this year's teams so some team is bound to be "better" than rest.

FC YPA - SC Riverball 77 14 9
o/u 2.5: 70 30

I'll skip playing YPA as they've disappointed numerous times this season even though this match vs Riverball should be a easy spot for them.

FC Vaajakoski - TP-47 30 22 48
o/u 2.5: 60 40

Just a small bet to oppose FC Vaajakoski as they're unable to get anything going on in terms of points. TP-47 had a very annoying loss to HauPa last week, but according to the reports and highlights they were very unlucky to lose.

Veikkausliiga on Wednesday June 29th

No pre-game bets at all, all underdogs seem to be value on paper but no one of them feels like a good idea.

Live is the only option for today. LPS and MPS look like the most attractive options at Kakkonen at the moment.

25.6.2011

Eesti, Eesti







23.6.2011

Highlights Kemi PS - PoPa FT 0-0

Highlights OPS - Hämeenlinna FT 0-0

Highlights Ilves-Kissat - JäPS FT 0-0

League goals avg % 1x2 % after 11 rounds
2,79 53,03 18,18 28,79

Week 27.6 - 3.7.2011

No matches on the previous weekend because of Juhannus.

29.06.11 Wed Kakkonen A IF Gnistan FC Futura
29.06.11 Wed Kakkonen A KTP LPS
29.06.11 Wed Kakkonen A MPS Sudet
29.06.11 Wed Kakkonen B Närpes Kraft LoPa
29.06.11 Wed Kakkonen B BK-46 SalPa
29.06.11 Wed Kakkonen B TPV Turun Toverit
29.06.11 Wed Kakkonen C WJK SJK
29.06.11 Wed Kakkonen C YPA Riverball
29.06.11 Wed Kakkonen C FC Vaajakoski Tornion Pallo-47
29.06.11 Wed Kakkonen C JBK HauPa
29.06.11 Wed League Inter KuPS
29.06.11 Wed League Jaro RoPS
29.06.11 Wed League MyPa HJK
30.06.11 Thu Kakkonen C Vasa IFK GBK
30.06.11 Thu UEFA Honka Nomme Kalju
30.06.11 Thu League TPS Haka
01.07.11 Fri Kakkonen B JäPS MuSa
02.07.11 Sat Kakkonen A LPS FC Kuusysi
02.07.11 Sat Kakkonen B SalPa FC Jazz
02.07.11 Sat Kakkonen C Riverball Pallo-Kerho 37
02.07.11 Sat Kakkonen C FC Vaajakoski FC Santa Claus
02.07.11 Sat Kakkonen C FC Kiisto WJK
02.07.11 Sat Ykkönen FC PoPa OPS
02.07.11 Sat Ykkönen KPV PK-35
02.07.11 Sat Ykkönen AC Oulu Jippo
03.07.11 Sun Kakkonen A FC Futura Klubi04
03.07.11 Sun Kakkonen A Sudet Kiffen
03.07.11 Sun Kakkonen A MP IF Gnistan
03.07.11 Sun Kakkonen A GrIFK KTP
03.07.11 Sun Kakkonen B P-Iirot Åbo IFK
03.07.11 Sun Kakkonen B Närpes Kraft BK-46
03.07.11 Sun Kakkonen B LoPa Ilves
03.07.11 Sun Kakkonen C Tornion Pallo-47 SJK
03.07.11 Sun Kakkonen C HauPa YPA
03.07.11 Sun Kakkonen C JBK Vasa IFK
03.07.11 Sun Kakkonen C GBK ViPa
03.07.11 Sun Ykkönen HIFK FC Hämeenlinna
03.07.11 Sun Ykkönen PS Kemi FC Viikingit
03.07.11 Sun League RoPS Mariehamn
03.07.11 Sun League Honka Inter
03.07.11 Sun League TPS VPS

22.6.2011

Ykkönen odds June 23rd

Stormy weather to be expected today

Veikkausliiga; JJK-Honka to go before the midsummer break


Highlights Ilves - Ilves-Kissat FT 2-0

Kakkonen C 22.6

TP-47 - HauPa -1 1 54% 2,06 4/10 188bet

TP-47 - HauPa 65 19 16
o/u 2.5: 60 40

HauPa is still fighting respectably but as much as I like them TP-47 is still on a whole different level qualitywise so I wouldn't give the away side much of a chance. Some weeks ago I would've jumped on the under, but HauPa's defense has looked pretty shaky so I'll skip that.

FC Santa Claus - Kiisto 43 22 35
o/u 2.5: 63 37

I agree fully with the bookmakers as there shouldn't be much of a difference between these two. In the total side of things this is a very clear over vs under, so even if 2.75 would be available it wouldn't be that tasty.

PK-37 - ViPa 60 20 20
o/u 2.5: 64 36

PK-37 deserves an applause for their performance against Santa Claus as the victory was deserved and didn't involve any KuPS players. Odds for the home win are at SJK-level(or in other words, they are a joke considering PK-37 is no SJK) so any side bets are out of the question for me, but I wouldn't recommend against PK-37 either depending on who plays. ViPa's win against JBK was probably justified according to the reports, but I don't think they have the quality to stay up this year so + handicap isn't interesting either.

Oh, and OPS - AC Oulu. With being maybe too familiar(since both were founded, one of the joys of plastic teams) with both of the teams, I put a small bet on AC Oulu at odds 1,80 or higher.

20.6.2011

Finnish clubs in European competitions 2011

Both new and familiar faces. In the CL HJK will meet Bangor City who come to Helsinki area third time in a row, twice they have met FC Honka and even shockingly qualified last summer after an extremely unlucky Honka performance at home.

Honka vs Nomme Kalju is nothing exotic either as Nomme are frequent visitors to Finland and I think I saw them here 4-5 times last pre-season. Swedish Häcken awaits on the next round.

TPS meet a Belgian club Westerlo. Last summer they had a good chance - at least resultwise - vs Brugge and this time of the year Westerlo are beatable.

KuPS will meet a Romanian club Gaz Metan. Last summer MyPa already were about to win another and bigger Romanian club Timisoara but naturally blew it in the end, and the only success of that meeting was that they sold their Canadian striker Ricketts to Timisoara who were attracted by his speed and the few goals he managed to score the whole season - but they were in the Romanians net.

Bangor, you are especially welcome!

Finland week 20.6.2011 -->

There will be a short midsommer break, which means that there is no action this weekend, at least in football.

Until then, a busy schedule as usual.


Date
League Home Away
20.06.11 Mon Kakkonen B LoPa Turun Toverit
20.06.11 Mon Ykkönen FC Espoo PK-35
20.06.11 Mon League Inter JJK
21.06.11 Tue Kakkonen A Klubi04 MPS
22.06.11 Wed Kakkonen A MP KäPa
22.06.11 Wed Kakkonen A Kiffen FC Kuusysi
22.06.11 Wed Kakkonen A GrIFK Atlantis FC
22.06.11 Wed Kakkonen B Ilves-Kissat JäPS
22.06.11 Wed Kakkonen B FC Jazz Ilves
22.06.11 Wed Kakkonen B TiPS P-Iirot
22.06.11 Wed Kakkonen B Åbo IFK MuSa
22.06.11 Wed Kakkonen C Tornion Pallo-47 HauPa
22.06.11 Wed Kakkonen C Pallo-Kerho 37 ViPa
22.06.11 Wed Kakkonen C FC Santa Claus FC Kiisto
22.06.11 Wed Ykkönen OPS AC Oulu
22.06.11 Wed Ykkönen FC Viikingit FC PoPa
22.06.11 Wed Ykkönen FC lahti HIFK
22.06.11 Wed Ykkönen Jippo FC KooTeePee
22.06.11 Wed League Mariehamn MyPa
22.06.11 Wed League VPS Haka
22.06.11 Wed League HJK TPS
23.06.11 Thu Ykkönen FC Hämeenlinna FC Espoo
23.06.11 Thu Ykkönen PK-35 PS Kemi
23.06.11 Thu League JJK Honka

19.6.2011

Kakkonen odds on Sunday

Kakkonen C 19.6

Warkaus JK - FC YPA O2.75 61% 1,85 4,5/10 Sbobet
Warkaus JK - FC YPA +0 2 57% 1,88 2/10 Sbobet
GBK - FC Vaajakoski O3.0 58% 1,88 5,5/10 Sbobet
ViPa - JBK +0,25 54% 2,00 2,5/10 Sbobet
ViPa - JBK O2.75 61% 1,86 4,5/10 Sbobet
PK-37 - FC Santa Claus +0,5 2 53% 2,01 1,5/10 Sbobet

Warkaus JK - FC YPA 33 22 45
o/u 2.5: 65 35

I'll try a very small stake on YPA as Warkaus hasn't looked as good lately as they did in the first games of the season. Warkaus has also played some pretty entertaining as far as goals go and despite YPA's poor stats on that department so far the potential should still be there.

GBK - FC Vaajakoski 57 20 23
o/u 2.5: 67 33

Both teams are heavily underachieving at the moment, and GBK's -0,75 is probably justified but I wouldn't really want to touch any side bets. Over is a very tasty option because stats don't lie this time as both teams do have very strong striking forces but at the same time their defenses are quite the opposite.

ViPa - JBK 40 22 38
o/u 2.5: 65 35

ViPa has had quite a hard schedule lately but I still don't understand why they're made such a favorites. JBK's win against lousy Riverball was probably a bit lucky but overall I think they've shown to be a bit better than ViPa so far. According to their preview, JBK should get Sara, Shpak and Nosh A Lody from Jaro so at least their defense should be in order. However, I do have to try over as the line is too low at 2.75 and neither team has shown to be that low-scoring so far.

PK-37 - FC Santa Claus 47 21 32
o/u 2.5: 66 34

PK-37 gets only Kolari from KuPS, and if there's one thing that we've learned this year is that PK-37 has shown almost nothing when they haven't had any big guns from KuPS. Only small bet on Santa Claus though, as they do have a couple of key injuries in Peura and Viitasaari. Over would be interesting in this match also with Santa Claus around, but I don't think I'm going to force any bets because the line is too steep at 3.25.

18.6.2011

Kakkonen C 18.6

Kiisto - SC Riverball 70 18 12
o/u 2.5: 58 42

I still don't think Kiisto is as good as their record shows but the -1,5 handicap is probably right as SC Riverball hasn't shown anything good lately. Under might have some idea as Kiisto seems to(again) rival TP-47 as a team to have the most boring games possible.

Copa America

There is also something else in offer than World´s best Finnish Football League. Copa America!

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Copa America 2011 is coming !


As most of you probably know we're less than a month away from the most important football even of this winter/summer, Copa America, and it will be played here in Argentina.

The tournament starts on July 1st and will end on July 24th and will feature 12 national teams : the usual 10 of CONMEBOL + 2 invited guests from CONCACAF, Mexico and Costa Rica.

If you want to see the complete match schedule, check here : http://www.ca2011.com/jogos_todos.php
During July I will offer a service with the best information, analysis and prediction like I usually do for the Argentinean league, for the 26 games of the competition. You won't get information any faster and better than this !

Those interested, contact  mncarg@gmail.com for price and service details.

Veikkausliiga round 11

Crazy schedule, there are not many clubs who can play 3 matches a week. HJK are the exception.

17.6.2011

KäPa - Atlantis odds move

Would be interesting to know what or who caused the big market move from -0.75 @ 1.9 to -0,5 @ 2.5  pre match.

I  personally took happily the increased huge value odds, but it would be interesting to find out the source for these rumours and very bad betting ideas in the future. Ft? 1-5 Atlantis win. Thank you whoever you are and keep up the good work!

Ykkönen odds for weekend June 18th -->

Kakkonen odds for Friday

A rare treat - Kakkonen highlights! Ilves - BK-46

Veikkausliiga 2011 after 10 rounds

Season 2010 was exceptional in a sense that there was no home advantage at all to show, at the moment it looks like it exists again thanks to the hectic schedule. Sample of course is very small and who believes that draw % will be less than 17 after all 33 rounds?

Bottom line shows the situation after round 10



%

AVG Home Draw Away
1,00 33,33 33,33 33,33
2,17 50,00 25,00 25,00
2,22 44,44 16,67 38,89
2,25 41,67 20,83 37,50
2,50 43,33 20,00 36,67
2,61 47,22 16,67 36,11
2,74 50,00 14,29 35,71
2,85 52,08 14,58 33,33
2,72 50,00 18,52 31,48
2,77 55,00 16,67 28,33

The matches are decided on the 2nd half, this is the situation after 1st half after 10 rounds;

1,17 31,67 43,33 25,00