28.9.2013

FIN U19 vs Norway Oct 11th & 14th

Carljohan Eriksson  HJK
Ville Viljala  JJK

Aleksi Ojanperä TPS
Hampus Holmgren Åtvidabergs FF
Tommi Saarinen FC Honka
Joel Mero Borussia Mönchengladbach
Ville-Valtteri Starck TPS

Matias Ojala Hamburger SV
Glen Kamara Arsenal FC
Youness Rahimi FC Honka
Jerry Voutilainen KuPS
Eero Tamminen SJK
Matias Pyysalo HJK
Vahid Hambo U.C. Sampdoria
Riku Sjöroos TPS
Joonas Jokinen Novara Calcio
Mikko Viitikko HJK
Fredrik Lassas HJK
Iidle Elmi FF Jaro

23.9.2013

FIN U20 vs SWE Oct 9th & 11th


Otso Virtanen, IFK Mariehamn
Daniel Kollar, AC Kajaani
 
Juuso Hämäläinen, FC Inter
Daniel O’Shaughnessy, FC Metz
Ville Rannikko, TPS
Kevin Peth, FF Jaro
Patrick Aaltonen, FC Honka
Benno Hanslian, JJK
Dani Hatakka, FC Honka (9.10.)
 

Moshtagh Yaghoubi, FC Honka
Marcus Heimonen, FC Honka
Jesper Brechtel, Karlsruher SC
Emerik Grönroos, MYPA
Jere Aallikko, FC Levadia
Robert Taylor, JJK
Kevin Mombilo, FC Honka
Solomon Duah, FC Inter
Antto Hilska, JJK
Pyry Soiri, MYPA
Topi Järvinen, JJK
Antti Mäkijärvi, FC Honka (9.10.)

8.9.2013

Kakkonen Pohjoinen 8.9

FC YPA - KPV -1,25 1 58,5% 1,89 5/10 Sbobet
PK-37 - ORPa -0,5 1 58% 1,85 4/10 188Bet
VIFK - PS Kemi O3.25 57% 1,96 5,5/10 Sbobet
VIFK - PS Kemi -0,25 2 53,5% 1,99 3/10 188Bet
GBK - Kerho 07 -0,5 1 58% 1,90 4/10 Dafabet
GBK - Kerho 07 O3.25 59% 1,94 6/10 Sbobet


FC YPA - KPV 73 15 12
o/u 2.5: 74 26

Important Pejic questionable for YPA (and out), some other guys are doubts but none are really that important. KPV's key Watson will return from suspension. Really similar game to last week's YPA-PK-37, with the small difference being KPV's level, which is now probably slightly above PK-37. YPA is a clear top-3 team and there's a big gap in class between the top and lower middle where KPV is that the -1,25 is again acceptable. KPV does have a handful wins from last few weeks ago but the their opponents were nowhere near the quality of YPA so not too worried about that. The only game today where the line is 3.5, KPV does certainly have a over streak going on but it's really tough to twist the 3.5 line into a value bet since YPA has been so disappointing on the goal front lately (not counting last week) so I'm skipping the total. 

PK-37 - ORPa 58 19 23
o/u 2.5: 67 33

A gigantic relegation battle. The results have been equally bad lately so at least the forms are similar. However, even with a local bias it's difficult to see this one going in ORPa's way. They've not beaten anyone other than Tervarit since May and even with the handful of new players they severely lack the player quality for Kakkonen. PK-37 is an experienced team and they usually play well at home so ~1,85 is okayish. Under or nothing is usually the theme in ORPa's games, but the nature of this match makes that option uninteresting so I'll pass. 

VIFK - PS Kemi 32 20 48
o/u 2.5: 72 28

Really disappointing games for both last week, but they obviously remain the top squads in the league along with YPA. Even with Pasher out from PS Kemi, I'll trust PS Kemi again. In the games against YPA and Kemi, VIFK has usually been quite outmatched qualitywise. Also, PS Kemi has still lost only three times, with one of them being the game where Eissele was out and the other two defeats were very unlucky according to the match reports. VIFK did have an under last round, but overall they've been very over-like lately. The same thing cannot be said about PS Kemi, but they remain one of the most potential teams in the group when it comes to goals, though admittedly Pasher missing is quite worrying. 

Tervarit - TP-47 8 12 80
o/u 2.5: 76 24

No odds in asian bookies. Tervarit does still try but the losses still continue, and if TP-47 has stopped celebrating their PS Kemi win this should be a two goal win at minimum for the visitors. Apart from VIFK loss, TP-47 performances have been quite good lately and they should have no problems with any missing players so the -1,75 and O3.25 offered on Bet365 would be warmly recommended for anyone who isn't limited to 0.20e there. 

GBK - Kerho 07 58 18 24
o/u 2.5: 73 27

Extremely important Carlsson out from GBK, on the other hand no nasty surprises coming from SJK to Kerho 07. In spite of Kerho 07's VIFK on Monday, I'd still rate GBK as a much better team than Kerho 07, not to mention that GBK has been playing better lately too. That said, I've dropped GBK's estimation a lot as this is still a no motivation game and Kerho has picked surprisingly many points lately (though PK-37 and ORP are poor), but even with that on mind the ~1,90 level odds remain easily playable. 

2.9.2013

Kakkonen Pohjoinen 2.9

Kerho 07 - VIFK -0,5 2 57% 1,86 3/10 188Bet
Kerho 07 - VIFK O3.25 58% 1,92 6/10 188Bet

Kerho 07 - VIFK 24 19 57
o/u 2.5: 73 27

Kerho 07 is still very much in the relegation battle because the local FA will award ORP a win from last week's VIFK game that ended 1-0 for VIFK. Due to that, VIFK is not really playing for anything as even with a win they still trail PS Kemi by ten points with only five games remaining. However, this is still a derby game and VIFK is/should be one of the best coached teams in the group with a very consistent form usually so I wouldn't expect them to take this lightly. Kerho 07's form is still more or less awful, they have only three wins from last three months and two of those came against ORP. If the rules have not changed they'll not be able to get any help from SJK anymore, so on player front their situation looks equally terrible (edit: or not, VIFK missing Sund and Kerho has some players from SJK, VIFK not that good anymore) . European bookmakers offer ~1,75 for VIFK which is just not worth the trouble, but if forced VIFK would definitely be my pick in 1x2. Apart from last week (not surprising considering it was ORPa), goals have flown in in VIFK games and it's hard to see this one going differently. The most worrying thing for the over is obviously Kerho's attack, which is quite poor both statistically and in terms of squad quality.

1.9.2013

Kakkonen Pohjoinen 1.9

KPV - GBK O3.25 57% 1,92 4/10 Dafabet
KPV - GBK -0,25 2 54,5% 1,90 3/10 Dafabet
PS Kemi - TP-47 -1,25 1 63,5% 1,99 7/10 188Bet
PS Kemi - TP-47 O3.25 58% 1,80 3/10 188Bet
FC YPA - PK-37 -1,25 1 61,5% 5/10 188Bet

KPV - GBK 31 20 49
o/u 2.5: 72 28

KPV probably with their best squad, GBK's player coach Corcoran questionable. GBK has very much dominated these derbies lately, so when they do have the better squad and the slightly better form I'd not be interested in playing KPV even though KPV nominally has the motivation edge here. Actually, the line-ups now favour GBK because KPV's Watson is out and Carlsson is available for GBK, and that means -0,25 would be an ok line to try. KPV has been quite over-like lately, though I have to say the Oulu games were quite the opposite of that. GBK is not in the same over form they were a month ago, but 3.25 is worth a shot.

PS Kemi - TP-47 77 13 10
o/u 2.5: 73 27

Very important Pasher missing from PS Kemi, TP-47 with their best squad. With luck and skill PS Kemi has navigated the last few weeks without losing and overall there's no doubt that they're the best team this season. At home they're practically invincible and while TP-47 has been on a nice form lately (YPA loss was quite unlucky, though VIFK did deservedly beat them and I'd expect PS Kemi to do the same) they're still far from PS Kemi's class so -1,25 is quite good.


FC YPA - PK-37 75 14 11
o/u 2.5: 73 27

Couple of semi-important players questionable for YPA, two starters out from PK-37 after they were sent off last week. YPA's situation is practically impossible at the moment and their performances have been far from what they displayed a few months ago. However, PK-37 is also playing quite poorly right now and the home side do possess a much superior squad so -1,25 is very much acceptable though not that tasty. Despite PK-37 disastrous defending in the past few weeks the total still looks too high because of YPA's struggles.

ORPa - Tervarit 45 22 33
o/u 2.5: 60 40