9.7.2009

Cup 9.7.2009 Pöxyt - TPS

Pöxyt are 3rd in their group at Kolmonen at the moment.

Pöxyt 11 7 3 1 36-14 24

On a good day they could be considered a Kakkonen side, and with some missings from the Veikkausliiga side TPS this might become a slightly more tricky for TPS than the odds suggest.

Pöxyt get a handicap of 2.75 goals which is probably not enough for a win, but big enought to think twice before betting TPS - 2.75 at 1.90.

Cup 9.7.2009 KooTeePee- FC Honka

Handicap is + 1.50 for KooTeePee which seems about right. They have been defensively a good team and they have one of the best goal keepers in the country, Oskari Forsman.

I am not betting KooTeePee to win with this hc for sure, but I remember seeing Honka at Kotka last season drawing 0-0 against only a slightly better KooTeePee, and have to check the line-ups for this one before deciding anything.

The pitch at Kotka is wet & heavy, which should help especially against a team like Honka who like to keep the ball on the ground.

So far, no bet. Studying the round still.

8.7.2009

Finland Cup 9.7.2009 Spartak - Haka Valkeakoski

Unbeaten Spartak meets Haka.

Spartak 9 7 2 0 35 - 5 23

vs

Haka 13 8 3 2 20-7 27

Unfortunataly no chances can be given to Spartak as it is a lower division team up north where the level of divisions is the worst. Last round Haka beat a similar or perhaps even better opponent Tigers, though at home, 7-0.

Question is, what the handicap should be, a win is always enough.


Sbobet gives Spartak a 2.5 goal handicap which is not that much. Neither is price for Haka - 2.5, a mere 1.56. Have to think about this more closely, but at first glance it looks like a sure winner.

Well, that did not last too long. HC now -2.75 @ 1.79

Unless something comes up, I think I give this game a miss.

Finnish Cup preview

Some extremely interesting odds which are not going to last!




The form of Fc Espoo is misleading; they are an ok side for Kakkonen level, but could not make it at Ykkönen and there is a quality gap of 5 goals in - between them.

There is no home advantage really, the stadiums are 7 km apart, there is no home support and this is a nice break for HJK to field some of the players who have played less lately.

Espoo have an important Kakkonen game on Friday, and whenever HJK scores the first goal the game is over.

HJK - 2.25 @ 1.8 Sbobet

LOHKO B

FC Espoo 10 7 1 2 15-10 22
KaaPo 11 6 3 2 19-10 21
LoPa 11 6 2 3 17- 8 20
Ilves 11 6 2 3 21-16 20
FC Jazz-j 11 6 1 4 15-16 19
EIF 11 4 4 3 19-15 16
ÅIFK 11 4 2 5 17-18 14
Närpes Kraft 11 4 2 5 15-23 14
Pallohonka 10 4 1 5 13-12 13
P-Iirot 11 3 3 5 16-17 12
PP-70 11 3 3 5 14-19 12
Sinimustat 11 2 4 5 13-15 10
SalPa 11 3 1 7 9-15 10
Pirkkala JK 11 2 3 6 12-19 9


Futura has been a pleasant surprise, but their defense is from a horror film and they will be thrashed by VPS set pieces and corners. I admit, I do symphatize the Porvoo side Futura a bit and tend to talk VPS down, but this is a plain fact. Boys against Men. This is also my choice of live entertainment for tonight.

VPS - 1.75 @ 1.72 Sbobet

LOHKO A

Warkaus JK 11 7 3 1 23-11 24
Gnistan 11 7 2 2 20- 8 23
LPS 12 6 2 4 19-16 20
MP 11 5 3 3 20-12 18
FC Kuusankoski 11 5 3 3 15-16 18
PK Keski-Uusimaa 11 5 2 4 24-16 17
GrIFK 11 4 5 2 19-15 17
FC Futura 11 5 2 4 21-21 17
FC Kiffen 11 4 3 4 13-14 15
KäPa 11 3 4 4 20-15 13
KTP 11 2 5 4 10-15 11
HIFK 10 2 3 5 11-17 9
HyPS 11 3 0 8 14-29 9
Kultsu FC 11 0 1 10 8-32 1

10.7. HyPS - KTP klo 18.30
11.7. HIFK - Kultsu FC klo 16.00

7.7.2009

KTP - KäPa preview, the only game tonight in Finland

Kakkonen KTP - Käpylän Pallo.

Picks: KäPa 0.25 @ 1.88 & under 2.75 @ 2.08 Sbobet.

There is so little action tonight that this could become a game of big interest bettingwise, and actually KäPa odds just rose to 1.93. More changes up and down to be expected.

First impression is a low-scoring match, as there are no scorers left in the whole City of Kotka since they sold Teemu Pukki to Sevilla FC two seasons ago. After seeing KTP managing to score only twice against Kultsu some weeks ago nothing can force to support them bettingwise against a much better opponent.

KTP has two player on loan (Kurittu & Rautiainen) from Veikkausliiga side MyPa, but they are only 1st & 2nd division quality and should make no big difference.


KäPa signed an excellent defender Adel Eid from Atlantis, and he strengthens the side significantly.


Distance from Käpylä (Helsinki) to Kotka 135 km & 1.5 hours by bus.

No previous matches against one another.

KTP latest 10 games:

7.06.09 Kakkonen Lohko A FC Kuusanko vs. KTP 2:1
14.06.09 Kakkonen Lohko A KTP vs. MP 1:1
06.06.09 Kakkonen Lohko A Gnistan vs. KTP 2:0
03.06.09 Suomen Cup City Stars vs. KTP 2:0
31.05.09 Kakkonen Lohko A KTP vs. Kultsu FC 2:0
27.05.09 Kakkonen Lohko A FC Kiffen vs. KTP 1:0
21.05.09 Kakkonen Lohko A KTP vs. GrIFK 1:1
17.05.09 Kakkonen Lohko A FC Futura vs. KTP 0:0
10.05.09 Kakkonen Lohko A Warkaus JK vs. KTP 4:0
02.05.09 Kakkonen Lohko A KTP vs. PK K-Uusimaa 1:1

KäPa
10 latest

17.06.09 Kakkonen Lohko A KäPa vs. Gnistan 0:4
13.06.09 Kakkonen Lohko A KäPa vs. FC Kuusankoski 0:0
07.06.09 Kakkonen Lohko A Warkaus JK vs. KäPa 1:1
01.06.09 Kakkonen Lohko A KäPa vs. FC Kiffen 5:1
26.05.09 Kakkonen Lohko A PK K-Uusimaa vs. KäPa 1:0
21.05.09 Kakkonen Lohko A LPS vs. KäPa 2:1
17.05.09 Kakkonen Lohko A KäPa vs. MP 0:2
11.05.09 Kakkonen Lohko A KäPa vs. HyPS 5:0
04.05.09 Kakkonen Lohko A HIFK vs. KäPa 0:4
25.04.09 Kakkonen Lohko A KäPa vs. Kultsu FC 1:1

KTP
O 2.5 2 (20%) 12 (46%) last season
U 2.5 8 (80%) 14 (54%) last season

KäPa this season in Kakkonen 5 times u2.5, 5 times o2.5. Last season in Ykkönen.


Warkaus JK 11 7 3 1 23-11 24
Gnistan 11 7 2 2 20- 8 23
LPS 12 6 2 4 19-16 20
MP 11 5 3 3 20-12 18
FC Kuusankoski 11 5 3 3 15-16 18
PK Keski-Uusimaa 11 5 2 4 24-16 17
GrIFK 11 4 5 2 19-15 17
FC Futura 11 5 2 4 21-21 17
FC Kiffen 11 4 3 4 13-14 15
KäPa 10 3 3 4 17-12 12
KTP 10 2 4 4 7-12 10

HIFK 10 2 3 5 11-17 9
HyPS 11 3 0 8 14-29 9
Kultsu FC 11 0 1 10 8-32 1

7.7. KTP - KäPa at 18.30 (+ 2gmt)

Edit: FT 3-3. Any dreams of a low-scoring game could be flushed down the toilet after the first KäPa attack of producing a wonderful game. It was 0-2 after 15 minutes, and KäPa missed a penalty at 31 min.

A very eventful match and worth of penny for the supporters, bettingwise not an ideal start for a under-bet.

Suomen Cup 6th round fixtures

08.07 FC Inter vs. RoPS
08.07 MYPA vs. KuPS
08.07 TPV vs. JIPPO
08.07 IF Gnistan vs. JBK
08.07 FC Espoo vs. HJK
08.07 FC Futura vs. VPS
08.07 FC PoPa vs. PK-35 Vantaa
08.07 Real Kokkola Jkki vs. Pallohonka
09.07 AC Vantaa vs. JJK
09.07 Pöxyt vs. TPS
09.07 Tampere Utd vs. FF Jaro
09.07 FC KooTeePee vs. FC Honka
09.07 City Stars vs. Pirkkalan
09.07 Spartak vs. Haka
09.07 GBK vs. FC Jazz-j
12.08 FC Viikingit vs. FC Lahti

Suomen Cup 5th round results

02.06 Pöxyt vs. GrIFK 4:0
03.06 FC Honka A1 vs. KuPS 2:3
03.06 Mps vs. JIPPO 1:1 1:3 (ja)
03.06 City Stars vs. KTP 2:0
03.06 KTP Jkki vs. JJK 0:8
03.06 Bet1 vs. IF Gnistan 0:7
04.06 Tpk A vs. Tampere Utd 1:10
04.06 Maski vs. Pallohonka 0:5
05.06 VPS-j vs. RoPS 0:4
05.06 Kaik/Tepa vs. VPS 0:5
08.06 Naseva vs. MYPA 0:9
09.06 Tervarit vs. FF Jaro 0:5
09.06 AC Vantaa vs. EIF 2:2 2:2 (ja) 6:5 (r)
09.06 BK-46 vs. FC Viikingit 0:2
09.06 Real Kokkola Jkki vs. FC Santa Claus 2:1
10.06 Spartak vs. FC YPA 1:1 2:1 (ja)
11.06 Ilves vs. TPV 1:5
11.06 FC Futura vs. LoPa 2:0
11.06 FC Tigers vs. Haka 0:7
11.06 Kavo vs. FC PoPa 1:4
11.06 Tove vs. Pirkkalan 0:6
12.06 FC Viikingit II vs. FC Espoo 1:2
12.06 PP-70 vs. FC Jazz-j 3:3 3:3 (ja) 3:6 (r)
12.06 SC Riverball vs. PK-35 Vantaa 1:3
13.06 Helsinki Diplomat Sports Club vs. FC KooTeePee 0:4
14.06 PK-37 vs. GBK 0:4
17.06 Karhu vs. JBK 0:8
17.06 Maps vs. TPS 1:6