Kakkonen Pohjoinen 13.6

TP-47 - HauPa O2.75 55% 2,05 4/10 188bet

TP-47 - HauPa 41 23 36
o/u 2.5: 60 40

Really tricky match to predict. TP-47 supposedly was quite good against AC Kajaani, but the result was the same old. HauPa is also on a losing streak but according to the reports and what I saw against YPA they have been pretty unlucky lately to not grab a single point. At the start of the season I'd have given TP-47 over 50% and I still think they're not nearly as bad as the table looks, but the 1x2 and the handicaps are something that I'll happily skip today. While choosing the over in a HauPa match is almost always a bad idea, I think TP-47's poor defending and goalkeeper troubles (1st and 2nd choice are out) are a good enough excuse to put a small stake on that.

JJK vs KuPS June 12th, Veikkausliiga continues

this is what we had today; FT JJK 1 - KuPS 5.

Veikkausliiga continues after a short summer break with JJK vs KuPS - a derbyish game tonight Lineups are out; but the deciding factor today is more the mental state of the visitors who have started much more worse than expected. Match is televised and hopefully widely streamed for you, Stan James for example are showing it to UK-based customers.  Class-wise close, JJK been their inconsistent and high-scoring themselves but at home the performances have varied from horrible (1-4 vs Haka!) to mediocre. JJK have been far from shining, the general defensive problems have gone nowhere but because of great upfront players Gruborovics, Manninen, Wusu and Innanen they win games. Latest signing Van Gelderen has proved to be a useful lad, but one of the key attackers Jani Virtanen has completely lost form. KuPS have failed, with the player material they have they should be able to fight for 3rd spot this year but they have had their share of injuries, suspension, lost games and the negative spin that comes along when things go wrong. During the break KuPS have hopefully cleared the air within the team, the manager Pekonen has been told from the board to be less negative and shut the mouth up and start working, but rumouredly the squad have not been happy with him and he has not been happy with the squad, and Pekonen is facing a sacking unless things change. However I see this as a good opportunity to back KuPS, the hc is too high and KuPS have most likely taken good use of the break which all clubs needed badly and I have already gone for KuPS +0.5 and will possibly take more latest in live-betting. Team news: KuPS without striker Zahovaiko, df Holopainen and mf James but especially James is not needed and the situation at KuPS is rather good in that sense; Puri and Purje both in match fitness. Etchu Tabe makes a welcomed return to backlines. JJK miss mf Korte from the ideal starting lineup. JJK win % somewhere around 47-50%, good value in KuPS and I prefer the +0.5 over +0.75 because in case this goes again badly for KuPS the sky is the limit and they can lose a lot worse than by a single goal. Market moves possible and even likely, only the direction is unknown.

Kakkonen 10.6

GBK - FC Santa Claus +0,75 2 57,5% 2,19 6/10 Sbobet
GBK - FC Santa Claus O3.5 54,5% 2,19 6/10 Sbobet

GBK - FC Santa Claus 48 20 32
o/u 2.5: 75 25

It's really a mystery for me why GBK is rated as 60% favorites for this. Sure, they were heavily predicted to be in the promotion race this year along with PS Kemi but they haven't really shown anything so far (wins against TP-47 and FC YPA, who both were really out of form) to deserve that honor. Santa Claus has been a positive surprise so far and their new signings have had a great start. However, I'm not going as far as saying that Santa Claus is better than GBK, but I don't think the class difference is as huge as the odds suggest. GBK misses important defender Lawrence Smith, some players are also questionable but no names are given in the preview. Unless Santa Claus picked some injuries in the AC Kajaani match they should be playing with pretty much their best squad. With GBK it has either been a total goal- or snoozefest, but I'm fairly confident with the over here especially because of Santa's latest performances.

Kakkonen Pohjoinen 9.6

Warkaus JK - PS Kemi O3.0 59% 1,84 4/10 188bet
AC Kajaani - TP-47 -1,25 1 58% 1,88 5/10 188bet
AC Kajaani - TP-47 O3.5 59% 1,76 2/10 188bet (edit: due to odds movement to 2,20 5/10 extra stake)

Warkaus JK - PS Kemi 35 21 44
o/u 2.5: 68 32

Bookies are surprisingly up to date with the quality difference between these two sides. Judging by the odds movement Warkaus could be missing someone important, but odds of under 2,00 for an away team don't seem that attractive this year.

AC Kajaani - TP-47 72 14 14
o/u 2.5: 78 22

AC Kajaani is just unstoppable right now so I don't see any reason to oppose them. TP-47 is continuing in the ways of FC Vaajakoski meaning that they are a team that shouldn't be as bad as the standings show but there's just something wrong with their play (and no indication of it getting better any time soon).  Kajaani misses one of their foreign talents from defense, TP-47 might be at full strength or near it.


HauPa - FC YPA 52 21 27
o/u 2.5: 60 40

Both teams have a lot of injury worries so this is not the best game to be involved with. While HauPa has three losses in a row, they didn't play that bad in any of them so that's probably partly why the line is -0,5 instead of -0,25.

Fin U21 vs Slovenia (and Ukraine)

Lineup vs Slovenia in the 1-1 away draw. 4-4-2.

 UEFA match report

Walter Viitala, FC Honka

Jere Uronen, Helsingborgs IF
Tapio Heikkilä, FC Honka
Timi Lahti, HJK
Henri Toivomäki, AFC Ajax

Rasmus Schüller, HJK
Duarte Tammilehto, FC Honka
Joni Kauko, FC Inter
Petteri Forsell, IFK Mariehamn

Lauri Dalla Valle, Fulham FC
Joel Pohjanpalo, HJK

Subs

Saku-Pekka Sahlgren, HJK
Tero Mäntylä, PFC Ludogorets Razgard
Mikko Sumusalo, HJK
Tuomas Rannankari, FC Twente / Greuther Fürth
Juho Lähde, TPS
Tim Väyrynen, FC Honka
Denis Abdulahi, VPS

Kakkonen Pohjoinen 7.6

KPV - PK-37 -0,25 1 56,5% 1,92 4/10 188bet

KPV - PK-37 50 23 27
o/u 2.5: 53 47

Lineups are out and Myntti and Kalliokoski are playing for KPV, so it's a mystery why the odds for KPV have been going up during the day.

Kakkonen 3.6

FC Santa Claus - AC Kajaani +0,25 2 53,5% 1,98 2,5/10 188bet
FC Santa Claus - AC Kajaani O3.0 69% 1,96 9/10 188bet
Warkaus JK - HauPa +0,5 2 57% 1,98 4/10 188bet
Warkaus JK - HauPa O2.75 61% 1,96 6/10 188bet
FC YPA - KPV O2.75 62% 1,96 7/10 188bet
FC YPA - KPV +0,25 2 59% 1,98 6/10 188bet
PS Kemi - TP-47 +1,25 2 54% 1,98 2/10 188bet
PS Kemi - TP-47 O3.25 57% 1,86 3/10 188bet

I don't know what's the deal with suddenly giving 2.75 lines for totals, maybe they're just throwing them up randomly (like me).

FC Santa Claus - AC Kajaani 42 19 39
o/u 2.5: 75 25

Both have been annoyingly good this year but as it's often the case in the mutual meetings nothing interesting seems to come up with 1x2 odds. However, Santa Claus seems to have transformed into a over team with their new signings and with AC Kajaani being AC Kajaani I'll take a chance with the over unless the line is something ridiculous like 4.00.

Warkaus JK - HauPa 43 22 35
o/u 2.5: 65 35

HauPa has a couple of key players (Makowski, Festus) questionable, but if they are fit to play the expected +0,5 would definitely be playable because Warkaus probably still has some injury problems of their own and the class difference is minimal at best.

FC YPA - KPV 37 21 42
o/u 2.5: 66 34

YPA has shown some marginal improvement by barely managing to beat Warkaus and TP-47. On the other side KPV has slightly fallen apart after a really good start, and if it were not for the YPA's long list of injuries this would be one of those many 44-20-36 type of matches that we have this year. In addition to the long-term injured key players Heikkilä and Akmetkhanov, YPA will miss their main striker Pejic due to suspension and regular starter Alasuutari, who tore his ACL in Warkaus game so he won't play again this year.


PS Kemi - TP-47 63 18 19
o/u 2.5: 72 28

The odds really tell the story here, and that is while this is a derby match, TP-47 is playing so poorly right now that PS Kemi are rightfully set as big favorites.