4.6.2014
No new customers for 2014
The service for season 2014 is full and no totally new customers are accepted.
Returning and existing customers only.
There are not many other services concentrating on FIN football that I know of, but you may want to try out
akaa89.blogabet.com
Returning and existing customers only.
There are not many other services concentrating on FIN football that I know of, but you may want to try out
akaa89.blogabet.com
3.6.2014
Kakkonen Pohjoinen 3.6
You can follow both games today as AC Kajaani will stream their match live, and updates for the OPS game can be found on my twitter account here.
OPS - JBK 63 19 18
o/u 2.5: 63 37
Lately OPS has made a habit of playing the exact opposite way that I thought so I'm not exactly too confident in making predictions about them. That said, at best JBK is the third worst team in the group and OPS has shown enough flashes of potential that it's easy to place something on them when the line is as low as -0,75. Since this is available in live the most sensible approach would be to wait until then, for example last week it was quite evident early on that OPS had really came to play. Neither team has released any previews, but JBK's Jaro loans might be the only thing that could sway the estimations. OPS has had a underish run lately and it's not a total coincidence as they do have good defense and equally bad attack. I won't even pretend to know what kind of a team JBK is when it comes to totals but after today we'll be wiser. Under would be a much interesting option with 3.25 line but I'll be leaving that for live too.
AC Kajaani - GBK 70 16 14
o/u 2.5: 66 34
I had some plans to skip this, but after going it through couple of times I think the -1,25 is acceptable enough for AC Kajaani. They've had two disappointing games in a row, but GBK should be a much easier opponent as they are a step or two below YPA and TP-47. The home side do still possess excellent squad for this level (even though Ogbuefi is suspended, they've signed two well-known players in Akbar and Koivuranta) especially compared to what GBK has fielded lately, and overall this is a game between top-2 side and a lower middle table team. GBK's important Smith did not play last time, no idea whether he's fit today because there's no preview. No strong ideas for the total, but I don't believe either is below average so hunch estimation for 3.25 would be near 50 % so over would be tiny value.
OPS - JBK -0,75 1 58% 1,86 4,5/10 188Bet
AC Kajaani - GBK -1,25 1 53% 1,97 3/10 Sbobet
OPS - JBK 63 19 18
o/u 2.5: 63 37
Lately OPS has made a habit of playing the exact opposite way that I thought so I'm not exactly too confident in making predictions about them. That said, at best JBK is the third worst team in the group and OPS has shown enough flashes of potential that it's easy to place something on them when the line is as low as -0,75. Since this is available in live the most sensible approach would be to wait until then, for example last week it was quite evident early on that OPS had really came to play. Neither team has released any previews, but JBK's Jaro loans might be the only thing that could sway the estimations. OPS has had a underish run lately and it's not a total coincidence as they do have good defense and equally bad attack. I won't even pretend to know what kind of a team JBK is when it comes to totals but after today we'll be wiser. Under would be a much interesting option with 3.25 line but I'll be leaving that for live too.
AC Kajaani - GBK 70 16 14
o/u 2.5: 66 34
I had some plans to skip this, but after going it through couple of times I think the -1,25 is acceptable enough for AC Kajaani. They've had two disappointing games in a row, but GBK should be a much easier opponent as they are a step or two below YPA and TP-47. The home side do still possess excellent squad for this level (even though Ogbuefi is suspended, they've signed two well-known players in Akbar and Koivuranta) especially compared to what GBK has fielded lately, and overall this is a game between top-2 side and a lower middle table team. GBK's important Smith did not play last time, no idea whether he's fit today because there's no preview. No strong ideas for the total, but I don't believe either is below average so hunch estimation for 3.25 would be near 50 % so over would be tiny value.
OPS - JBK -0,75 1 58% 1,86 4,5/10 188Bet
AC Kajaani - GBK -1,25 1 53% 1,97 3/10 Sbobet
Highlights Lahti Akatemia vs PKKU FT 0-3.
A few missing PKKU playeres really did not show. One way street.
Highlights Hämeenlinna vs Masku @ Kakkonen West
Ok, it is rather tiresome to watch these Kakkonen highlights to be honest. 11 minutes of pure misery below.
1.6.2014
Kakkonen update 1.6
OLS get two extremely important strikers back (Kainu and Verronen). OLS goalie Wentin, who has been in good form, is on the bench.
PK-37 - OLS -0,5 2 55% 1,93 2,5/10 188Bet
PK-37 - OLS O2.5 54% 1,99 2,5/10 188Bet (yes, a complete reversal to previous notes, mostly because of team news and low line)
TP-47 - FC YPA O3.0 53% 2,12 3,5/10 188Bet
PK-37 - OLS 23 22 55
o/u 2.5: 54 46
TP-47 - FC YPA 39 22 39
o/u 2.5: 64 36
TP-47 certainly has an insane record when it comes to draws. Their lone win was against hopeless PK-37 who had an early red card, while the 1-1 games have come against teams of all types of quality. It's not a complete coincidence as reports tell that each game could have gone either way, and they are at the moment probably a perfect example of a middle table team. YPA surprised with a controlled win against AC Kajaani. I've been a bit down on them but haven't completely lost the belief that they could much better than what their record shows. Last Wednesday was maybe a combination of overestimating AC Kajaani and doing the opposite for YPA. In overall TP-47's ceiling in terms of potential is probably around where they are right now, whereas YPA could be behind the top two teams. I've maybe overadjusted the visitors level too much for today, but if I had to pick something then +0,25 would be a selection, though only for 1/10 or so. YPA's Vidic, who is likely of medium-level importance, is suspended, otherwise no special news.
PK-37 - OLS -0,5 2 55% 1,93 2,5/10 188Bet
PK-37 - OLS O2.5 54% 1,99 2,5/10 188Bet (yes, a complete reversal to previous notes, mostly because of team news and low line)
TP-47 - FC YPA O3.0 53% 2,12 3,5/10 188Bet
PK-37 - OLS 23 22 55
o/u 2.5: 54 46
TP-47 - FC YPA 39 22 39
o/u 2.5: 64 36
TP-47 certainly has an insane record when it comes to draws. Their lone win was against hopeless PK-37 who had an early red card, while the 1-1 games have come against teams of all types of quality. It's not a complete coincidence as reports tell that each game could have gone either way, and they are at the moment probably a perfect example of a middle table team. YPA surprised with a controlled win against AC Kajaani. I've been a bit down on them but haven't completely lost the belief that they could much better than what their record shows. Last Wednesday was maybe a combination of overestimating AC Kajaani and doing the opposite for YPA. In overall TP-47's ceiling in terms of potential is probably around where they are right now, whereas YPA could be behind the top two teams. I've maybe overadjusted the visitors level too much for today, but if I had to pick something then +0,25 would be a selection, though only for 1/10 or so. YPA's Vidic, who is likely of medium-level importance, is suspended, otherwise no special news.
Kakkonen Pohjoinen 1.6
PS Kemi - KPV 66 17 17
o/u 2.5: 69 31
As strange it may sound PS Kemi didn't have that bad of a performance against OPS as OPS just had a great game, totally different from their performances against TP-47 and OLS, and likely GBK too. I would expect Kemi to get back on track on their home field where they rarely get outplayed. KPV had a easy time with OLS last week but before that they've showed less impressive form (granted, you could say the same about Kemi's last 1 and ⅓ games). However, the current odds for home win are not that interesting so a better option would be the over as you can get 1,55-1,60 level odds for it. In a very low-scoring season that KPV has been one main culprits of I still believe that this should some potential goals as I believe Kemi should be able to dictate how the game is played, and they've already showed this year too that they have good potential to score three themselves in each game. Kemi's defense that looked invincible has shown some vulnerabilities in last two, and KPV has enough weapons to cause problems.
PK-37 - OLS 25 22 53
o/u 2.5: 52 48
It's interesting to see or read after the match whether PK-37 will again concentrate only on defending. If they've done their scouting, they'd realize that this should be very much a winnable game for them, although bus parking could be just as effective considering OLS' troubles with creating chances. PK-37 has managed to pick-up points from their latest two with not that perfect performances as they've mostly relied on luck and their gk's fine form. OLS has been talked a lot in these notes, and nothing surprising happened in KPV match to change my stance on them. Despite their problems, OLS should still be a favorite but I'm not interested in putting anything on this match as both teams are very unappealing in betting terms. In reality, the draw estimation should probably be much higher and I wouldn't be too taken aback if this ends up 0-0, or with one goal win for either side. The total line has been set accordingly but purely on a hunch level the current offers for under are worth a try.
TP-47 - FC YPA 39 22 39
o/u 2.5: 64 36
Later..
o/u 2.5: 69 31
As strange it may sound PS Kemi didn't have that bad of a performance against OPS as OPS just had a great game, totally different from their performances against TP-47 and OLS, and likely GBK too. I would expect Kemi to get back on track on their home field where they rarely get outplayed. KPV had a easy time with OLS last week but before that they've showed less impressive form (granted, you could say the same about Kemi's last 1 and ⅓ games). However, the current odds for home win are not that interesting so a better option would be the over as you can get 1,55-1,60 level odds for it. In a very low-scoring season that KPV has been one main culprits of I still believe that this should some potential goals as I believe Kemi should be able to dictate how the game is played, and they've already showed this year too that they have good potential to score three themselves in each game. Kemi's defense that looked invincible has shown some vulnerabilities in last two, and KPV has enough weapons to cause problems.
PK-37 - OLS 25 22 53
o/u 2.5: 52 48
It's interesting to see or read after the match whether PK-37 will again concentrate only on defending. If they've done their scouting, they'd realize that this should be very much a winnable game for them, although bus parking could be just as effective considering OLS' troubles with creating chances. PK-37 has managed to pick-up points from their latest two with not that perfect performances as they've mostly relied on luck and their gk's fine form. OLS has been talked a lot in these notes, and nothing surprising happened in KPV match to change my stance on them. Despite their problems, OLS should still be a favorite but I'm not interested in putting anything on this match as both teams are very unappealing in betting terms. In reality, the draw estimation should probably be much higher and I wouldn't be too taken aback if this ends up 0-0, or with one goal win for either side. The total line has been set accordingly but purely on a hunch level the current offers for under are worth a try.
TP-47 - FC YPA 39 22 39
o/u 2.5: 64 36
Later..
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