PK-37 - AC Kajaani +0,25 2 64,5% 1,79 8/10 188bet
PK-37 - AC Kajaani O3.0 67,5% 1,72 7/10 188bet
HauPa - KPV -0,25 2 54% 2,23 4/10 Sbobet
HauPa - KPV U3.0 62,5% 1,94 6/10 188bet
GBK - TP-47 +1,5 2 61,5% 1,85 4/10 Sbobet
PK-37 - AC Kajaani 32 20 48
o/u 2.5: 74 26
Have to say I'm surprised to see AC Kajaani's odds being so high, because so far their season has been nearly perfect. PK-37 might be second in the standings but personally I think they're miles behind GBK and PS Kemi, so if anything they have the potential to be the least worst team of all the others this year. Over with a line of 3.0 is an automatic choice for AC Kajaani games this year.
FC YPA - PS Kemi 25 19 56
o/u 2.5: 70 30
The fact that YPA has been pretty poor lately despite winning a couple of games has not been missed by the bookies, and giving over 60% to an away team just feels too steep this year so it looks like no bets. Going just by gut instict PS Kemi would be an obvious choice, because with YPA's injury problems they are classes above the home team and their recent performances have been much better too.
HauPa - KPV 30 22 48
o/u 2.5: 60 40
HauPa pulled a good match almost out of nowhere when they drew with GBK. KPV could have some value with these estimations, but I'm more interested in the under. The only thing that's really worrying is the uncharacteristically leaky defense of HauPa, but if there's at least some improvement then we're looking at really inefficient offenses and good defenses (well, at least in KPV's case).
GBK - TP-47 60 18 22
o/u 2.5: 71 29
TP-47's performance against HauPa was excellent and if at least the slightest bit of that carries over to this game then they're definitely worth a small bet because they're not nearly as bad as the table shows. However, a line-up check could be a good idea, because TP-47's preview has some indecipherable stuff that could mean they're having some injury troubles.
30.6.2012
29.6.2012
27.6.2012
Kakkonen Pohjoinen 27.6
PS Kemi - FC Santa Claus O3.25 61% 1,82 6/10 188bet
PK-37 - FC YPA 53 21 26
o/u 2.5: 64 36
Looking at the overall picture of this round there's not much catching my eye. Bookies have estimated PK-37's chances of winning a bit higher than me, but unless YPA decides to release a preview to update their injury situation I'm not that interested in betting on them. Their captain Heikkilä should return, but it's doubtful anyone else will be back.
AC Kajaani - KPV 55 19 26
o/u 2.5: 71 29
The abomination from Kajaani didn't show any ill effects from their second loss of the season as they easily beat Warkaus last week. However, unlike Warkaus, KPV is probably more for real so the 1,70 type of odds are really not worth the interest. Regarding totals this is also a meeting of the opposites and with the 3.25 line it's hard to justify either choice.
PS Kemi - FC Santa Claus 60 18 22
o/u 2.5: 75 25
Santa Claus decided to play a low-scoring game last week, but an away game and rejuvenated PS Kemi should give the over a fairly good chance to occur. If they play properly like last week, Santa would be more than a match for Kemi but for now I'm not going to waste anything on +1,25.
GBK - HauPa 63 18 19
o/u 2.5: 68 32
In theory HauPa might have some value, but their results have finally started to look like the quality of their team, which is not good enough for this level. GBK's results are nowhere near what they should be, but they do certainly have the ability to make this really ugly for HauPa so I'm going to skip both the under and the +1,5.
PK-37 - FC YPA 53 21 26
o/u 2.5: 64 36
Looking at the overall picture of this round there's not much catching my eye. Bookies have estimated PK-37's chances of winning a bit higher than me, but unless YPA decides to release a preview to update their injury situation I'm not that interested in betting on them. Their captain Heikkilä should return, but it's doubtful anyone else will be back.
AC Kajaani - KPV 55 19 26
o/u 2.5: 71 29
The abomination from Kajaani didn't show any ill effects from their second loss of the season as they easily beat Warkaus last week. However, unlike Warkaus, KPV is probably more for real so the 1,70 type of odds are really not worth the interest. Regarding totals this is also a meeting of the opposites and with the 3.25 line it's hard to justify either choice.
PS Kemi - FC Santa Claus 60 18 22
o/u 2.5: 75 25
Santa Claus decided to play a low-scoring game last week, but an away game and rejuvenated PS Kemi should give the over a fairly good chance to occur. If they play properly like last week, Santa would be more than a match for Kemi but for now I'm not going to waste anything on +1,25.
GBK - HauPa 63 18 19
o/u 2.5: 68 32
In theory HauPa might have some value, but their results have finally started to look like the quality of their team, which is not good enough for this level. GBK's results are nowhere near what they should be, but they do certainly have the ability to make this really ugly for HauPa so I'm going to skip both the under and the +1,5.
26.6.2012
25.6.2012
FIN clubs in european competition 2012
UEFA Champions League, 2. karsintakierros:
HJK – Knattspyrnufélag Reykjavíkur (Islanti)
UEFA Europa League, 1. karsintakierros:
JJK – Stabæk Fotball (Norja)
KuPS – Llanelli AFC (Wales)
MYPA – Cefn Druids AFC (Wales)
JJK – Stabæk Fotball (Norja)
KuPS – Llanelli AFC (Wales)
MYPA – Cefn Druids AFC (Wales)
UEFA Europa League, 2. karsintakierros:
FC Inter – FC Twente (Hollanti) / UE Santa Coloma (Andorra)
JJK / Stabæk Fotball – FC Pyunik (Armenia) / FK Zeta (Montenegro)
KuPS / Llanelli AFC – Maccabi Netanya FC (Israel)
MYPA / Cefn Druids AFC – FC Rapid București (Romania)
FC Inter – FC Twente (Hollanti) / UE Santa Coloma (Andorra)
JJK / Stabæk Fotball – FC Pyunik (Armenia) / FK Zeta (Montenegro)
KuPS / Llanelli AFC – Maccabi Netanya FC (Israel)
MYPA / Cefn Druids AFC – FC Rapid București (Romania)
kymppipaikka.fi
22.6.2012
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21.6.2012
FIN women almost 100 % guaranteed their place at Sweden 2013
Which probably only means that it is time for me to visit Sweden as well.
From UEFA.com:
"The match schedule for UEFA Women's EURO 2013 has been decided with the 12-team tournament in Sweden to run from 10 to 28 July of next year.
FIN FA match report:
Annika Kukkonen celebrating - and for a reason! /pic source IS/Suomela |
From UEFA.com:
"The match schedule for UEFA Women's EURO 2013 has been decided with the 12-team tournament in Sweden to run from 10 to 28 July of next year.
Each group will be played at two venues: Group A at Gamla Ullevi (Gothenburg) and Örjans Vall (Halmstad), Group B at Öster Arena (Vaxjo) and Kalmar Arena (Kalmar), and Group C at Nya Parken (Norrkoping) and Linköping Arena (Linkoping).
Matches kick off on Wednesday 10 July with the first Group A games, Sweden playing in Gothenburg and the other match in Halmstad. That section continues on 13 and 16 July, with Sweden playing their second match at Gamla Ullevi and their third at Örjans Vall.
Group B runs on 11, 14 and 17 July, the top seeds playing their opening two games in Vaxjo before travelling to Kalmar with Group C playing a day later each time, the highest-ranked side having two games in Norrkoping and the third in Linkoping.
The top two from each group plus the two best third-placed teams will progress to the quarter-finals, the first two in Halmstad and Vaxjo on 21 July, and the others in Kalmar and Linkoping the following day. The semi-finals will take place on 24 July in Gothenburg and Linkoping and the final is on Sunday 28 July at the new Solna Arena near Stockholm.
So far only the hosts are confirmed in the finals but that could be changed when the next full set of qualifying group games are played in mid-June. The groups conclude on 19 September with the winners and the runners-up with the best record against the teams first, third, fourth and fifth in their section progressing to the final tournament. The other six runners-up go to the play-offs on 20/21 and 24/25 October to decide the last three names in the draw on Friday 9 November.
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FIN FA match report:
20.6.2012
Kakkonen Pohjoinen 20.6.
Warkaus JK - AC Kajaani O3.25 61% 1,90 8/10 Sbobet
HauPa - TP-47 U3.25 58% 1,98 3/10 Sbobet
FC Santa Claus - PK-37 O3.25 61% 1,90 8/10 12bet
KPV - PS Kemi +0,25 1 58% 2,31 4/10 12bet
KPV - PS Kemi U3.0 55,5% 1,84 2/10 Sbobet
Warkaus JK - AC Kajaani +0,25 2 61% 1,70 2/10 12bet
Warkaus JK - AC Kajaani 35 20 45
o/u 2.5: 75 25
What looked like a relegation battle two months ago is now a top clash. The last time AC Kajaani lost they bounced back quite nicely, but somebody has already dropped the odds to unacceptable levels. The over, however, is again a very tasty option because AC Kajaani seems to continue conceding and scoring goals at a very high rate.
HauPa - TP-47 50 22 28
o/u 2.5: 60 40
I'm not going to play TP-47 until they get a proper win without cabinet play, but that said bookies other than Veikkaus seem to be overreacting quite harshly because I remember TP-47 actually being favorites last week when these teams played against each other, and it's not like anything drastic has happened since then. HauPa will get back their main striker Makowski, TP-47 is keeping a tight lid on the news at the moment. Under is slightly interesting because HauPa's home matches are usually pretty boring to watch (last match that had over 3 goals was in last August).
FC Santa Claus - PK-37 44 20 36
o/u 2.5: 75 25
Now that Santa Claus seems to be actually serious in their effort to do the best possible Korsholm/Virkiä-impersonation I'm just going to extend my virtual middle finger for them for stirring up the fixing talk again and skip the 1x2 entirely. Over is an obvious choice with the 3.25 line in case the home team decides again to defecate the sleeping facility, so to speak.
KPV - PS Kemi 40 23 37
o/u 2.5: 57 43
PS Kemi may be slowly gathering speed now, but you have to give some respect to a strangely effective but many times too draw-happy KPV-team who has only lost once this year. Though the odds movement suggests that there's some injury troubles for the home team, so I'll cut the stakes a bit just to be safe.
HauPa - TP-47 U3.25 58% 1,98 3/10 Sbobet
FC Santa Claus - PK-37 O3.25 61% 1,90 8/10 12bet
KPV - PS Kemi +0,25 1 58% 2,31 4/10 12bet
KPV - PS Kemi U3.0 55,5% 1,84 2/10 Sbobet
Warkaus JK - AC Kajaani +0,25 2 61% 1,70 2/10 12bet
Warkaus JK - AC Kajaani 35 20 45
o/u 2.5: 75 25
What looked like a relegation battle two months ago is now a top clash. The last time AC Kajaani lost they bounced back quite nicely, but somebody has already dropped the odds to unacceptable levels. The over, however, is again a very tasty option because AC Kajaani seems to continue conceding and scoring goals at a very high rate.
HauPa - TP-47 50 22 28
o/u 2.5: 60 40
I'm not going to play TP-47 until they get a proper win without cabinet play, but that said bookies other than Veikkaus seem to be overreacting quite harshly because I remember TP-47 actually being favorites last week when these teams played against each other, and it's not like anything drastic has happened since then. HauPa will get back their main striker Makowski, TP-47 is keeping a tight lid on the news at the moment. Under is slightly interesting because HauPa's home matches are usually pretty boring to watch (last match that had over 3 goals was in last August).
FC Santa Claus - PK-37 44 20 36
o/u 2.5: 75 25
Now that Santa Claus seems to be actually serious in their effort to do the best possible Korsholm/Virkiä-impersonation I'm just going to extend my virtual middle finger for them for stirring up the fixing talk again and skip the 1x2 entirely. Over is an obvious choice with the 3.25 line in case the home team decides again to defecate the sleeping facility, so to speak.
KPV - PS Kemi 40 23 37
o/u 2.5: 57 43
PS Kemi may be slowly gathering speed now, but you have to give some respect to a strangely effective but many times too draw-happy KPV-team who has only lost once this year. Though the odds movement suggests that there's some injury troubles for the home team, so I'll cut the stakes a bit just to be safe.
19.6.2012
Kakkonen Pohjoinen 19.6
FC YPA - GBK 34 21 45
o/u 2.5: 70 30
Odds have swung wildly as usual, but nothing interesting has yet to come up in totals or handicaps. GBK will likely be without injuries, YPA will probably miss the same long-term injured players (Alasuutari, Akmethkanov, Pejic, Heikkilä).
o/u 2.5: 70 30
Odds have swung wildly as usual, but nothing interesting has yet to come up in totals or handicaps. GBK will likely be without injuries, YPA will probably miss the same long-term injured players (Alasuutari, Akmethkanov, Pejic, Heikkilä).
Highlights Haka - VPS FT 0-1
Boring boring VPS, or is it? Can not recommend watching this unless you have absolutely nothing else to do. I love the Tammela stadion though. Lineups:
Highlights TPS - FF Jaro FT 2-3
18.6.2012
17.6.2012
Kakkonen Pohjoinen 17.6.
PK-37 - HauPa U3.0 60,5% 1,82 6/10 188bet
PS Kemi - AC Kajaani O3.25 59% 1,92 6/10 188bet
PK-37 - HauPa 46 24 30
o/u 2.5: 53 47
HauPa looked appealing at first sight because PK-37 hasn't really done anything so far to deserve being considered a better team than HauPa. But HauPa will be missing a couple of important players in Makowski and Festus and they did play on Wednesday so they'll probably be more fatigued than PK-37. Under is an easy choice because neither team is known for their explosive attacking strength while at the same they have quite solid defenses for this level.
PS Kemi - AC Kajaani 42 20 38
o/u 2.5: 73 27
PS Kemi has been slowly improving but the bottom line is that AC Kajaani has consistently produced results and PS Kemi has not, so it's AC Kajaani or nothing for me. PS Kemi has been pretty sluggish so far when it comes to scoring goals, but 3.25 is just too good to miss when AC Kajaani is involved.
16.6.2012
Kakkonen Pohjoinen 16.6.
FC YPA - FC Santa Claus +0,5 2 62% 1,82 6/10 12bet
FC YPA - FC Santa Claus O3.25 51% 2,08 2,5/10 12bet
GBK - Warkaus JK O3.5 52,5% 1,98 3/10 12bet
TP-47 - KPV 29 21 50
o/u 2.5: 64 36
So yeah, disregard what I said on Wednesday, TP-47 just plain sucks right now. However, they did change their coach so it's interesting to see how that will turn out. The 1,70 that is given for the away team at the moment is just too low for me personally, but I wouldn't fault anyone for taking a chance to see if TP-47 continues their poor form.
FC YPA - FC Santa Claus 38 21 41
o/u 2.5: 68 32
YPA suffered yet another key player loss when Pejic picked up an injury, which means almost half of their usual starting line-up is now injured. They did get a couple of fringe players from SJK on loan, but looking at the overall picture I'm still rating Santa Claus to be a much better team than YPA. Santa did continue their recent spell of high-scoring games last week (I don't know what the heck was the deal with the huge loss though), but YPA looks to be quite opposite of that, so at least at the moment the over doesn't look as interesting as it could be.
GBK - Warkaus JK 58 19 23
o/u 2.5: 73 27
Warkaus managed to win PS Kemi last week, but according to the reports it was a very lucky win so I'm mostly going with the same estimation here, as in just replacing Kemi with GBK and flipping the home advantage. GBK had again one of those crazy games last week, and if unless Warkaus manages to transfer their habit of over-destroying 2-0 wins to away games then I'm eagerly taking the over again. GBK should be at full strength, no idea about Warkaus.
From Ykkönen SJK would be my choice too, as Oulu football is living its Dark Ages at the moment.
FC YPA - FC Santa Claus O3.25 51% 2,08 2,5/10 12bet
GBK - Warkaus JK O3.5 52,5% 1,98 3/10 12bet
TP-47 - KPV 29 21 50
o/u 2.5: 64 36
So yeah, disregard what I said on Wednesday, TP-47 just plain sucks right now. However, they did change their coach so it's interesting to see how that will turn out. The 1,70 that is given for the away team at the moment is just too low for me personally, but I wouldn't fault anyone for taking a chance to see if TP-47 continues their poor form.
FC YPA - FC Santa Claus 38 21 41
o/u 2.5: 68 32
YPA suffered yet another key player loss when Pejic picked up an injury, which means almost half of their usual starting line-up is now injured. They did get a couple of fringe players from SJK on loan, but looking at the overall picture I'm still rating Santa Claus to be a much better team than YPA. Santa did continue their recent spell of high-scoring games last week (I don't know what the heck was the deal with the huge loss though), but YPA looks to be quite opposite of that, so at least at the moment the over doesn't look as interesting as it could be.
GBK - Warkaus JK 58 19 23
o/u 2.5: 73 27
Warkaus managed to win PS Kemi last week, but according to the reports it was a very lucky win so I'm mostly going with the same estimation here, as in just replacing Kemi with GBK and flipping the home advantage. GBK had again one of those crazy games last week, and if unless Warkaus manages to transfer their habit of over-destroying 2-0 wins to away games then I'm eagerly taking the over again. GBK should be at full strength, no idea about Warkaus.
From Ykkönen SJK would be my choice too, as Oulu football is living its Dark Ages at the moment.
FIN Saturday June 16thodds Veikkausliiga and Ykkönen
Time | EVENT | FT. HDP | FT. O/U | FT. 1X2 | 1H. HDP | 1H. O/U | 1H. 1X2 | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FINLAND VEIKKAUSLIIGA | Refresh | ||||||||
LIVE11:30PM | Haka Vaasa VPS Draw | 0 | 2-2.5 u | 0 | 1.0 u | ||||
More+9 | |||||||||
LIVE11:30PM | Haka Vaasa VPS | 0-0.5 | 2.5 u | 0-0.5 | 0.5-1 u | ||||
LIVE11:30PM | Honka Espoo Inter Turku Draw | 0-0.5 | 2.5 u | 0 | 1.0 u | ||||
More+9 | |||||||||
LIVE11:30PM | Honka Espoo Inter Turku | 0 | 2-2.5 u | 0-0.5 | 0.5-1 u | ||||
LIVE11:30PM | JJK Jyvaskyla HJK Helsinki Draw | 0.5 | 2.5-3 u | 0-0.5 | 1-1.5 u | ||||
More+10 | |||||||||
LIVE11:30PM | JJK Jyvaskyla HJK Helsinki | 0.5-1 | 3.0 u | 0.5 | 1.0 u | ||||
LIVE11:30PM | TPS Turku Jaro Draw | 1.0 | 2.5-3 u | 0.5 | 1.0 u | ||||
More+10 | |||||||||
LIVE11:30PM | TPS Turku Jaro | 1-1.5 | 2.5 u | 0-0.5 | 1-1.5 u | ||||
FINLAND YKKONEN | Refresh | ||||||||
LIVE09:00PM | JIPPO Hameenlinna Draw | 0.5 | 2-2.5 u | 0-0.5 | 1.0 u | ||||
More+3 | |||||||||
LIVE10:00PM | PK-35 Vantaa KooTeePee Draw | 0.5-1 | 2-2.5 u | 0.5 | 1.0 u | ||||
More+3 | |||||||||
LIVE10:00PM | AC Oulu Seinajoen JK Draw | 0-0.5 | 2.5 u | 0 | 1.0 u |
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