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26.4.2018

Veikkausliiga April 28-29th



Busy schedule continues, most clubs played on Wednesday, and as you the rest period here is too short, and the pace of the matches in general is very slow.


Inter rotating, 5 reg starters benched. Honka finally get some creativity to starting-11 in Kaufmann.




Local odds:




Sportmarket PRO:



20.6.2016

BK-46 vs Honka stats

A bit strange ones, a lot of corners without much use. It was actually BK-46 whot got the last 3. BK-46 were the first team to score vs Honka since the season opener. Well done!




19.5.2016

Women live! 17:30 CET HJK vs Honka

Stream link

HJK miss top gk Meriluoto, top scorer Collin and top mf Sankoh ( and mf Rantanen). Bad pitch, not much class difference today. Expecting goals. Over 3 @ 2.


HJK – FC Honka

19.5.2016 18:30
Töölö PK 2 N
12
ROSENSTRÖM
16
HAKALA
18
NIEMINEN
19
SAINIO
21
NAUMANEN
25
SUMMANEN
3
GRÖNLUND
4
WIKSTEN
6
RUUTU
8
ABU
97
HÄLINEN
1
MYLLYOJA
16
VLASOFF
23
AUVINEN
31
LÄHTEENMÄKI
4
LAAKSO
13
KUOKSA
17
NYMAN
21
KATTAINEN
10
HANNULA
25
SAASTAMOINEN
6
MALINEN
11
ALAKOMI
13
KINDSTEDT
15
KANNOSTO
2
RINTA-FILPPULA
26
TALKA
27
RINKINEN
17
MANNER
28
VEHVILÄINEN
11
HAKALA
22
TENKANEN
71
LAINE
2
NURMI
5
FERNSTRÖM
30
RAJATALO

21.4.2012

Veikkausliiga round 3 April 22nd 2012


TPS to take advantage of KuPS injury worries? And Inter Turku!

(no more updates after 15.25 local time)




Quick guide: Hope you have TPS already because best if not all value is gone, they are deservedly favourites even away because of KuPS missing half a dozen players because of injuries, suspensions and contractual problems. I have already Jaro as well for tomorrow, the hc is desperately wrong and too big and perhaps the HJK odds are not dropping this time. The only pregame match total that interests even slightly is Honka-JJK over, but I dislike pregame overs in general. More detailed thoughts below. And do not forget the Cup round on Wed-Thu with most league clubs playing and HJK-Jaro and KuPS-TPS being played also in the Cup! MyPa also missing a few of the most important players and suspect that they are not surprising anymore today. Inter -1 @ 1.86 taken with confidence.



Haka - MIFK
JJK - Haka 1-4 is a shocker, especially after a controlling and dangerous performance and it was described as "Haka should had scored more". MIFK were favoured at the market ahead of KuPS game and were much closer of winning. Even game to be expected, would go for +0.25 easily if I had to choose but as in most matches this preseason the opening odds are good and the bookies are well aware of the power relations - they will only get lost with injuries and big lineup changes sooner or later. Haka been bad most of the preseason and also vs Lahti, and the latest JJK win was mostly down to JJK underperforming big time.

Haka today: big squad to choose from. From regular starters McFaul and Dema on the bench, at Haka the injury situation is perhaps at best of all and they can rotate.

MIFK today: injured Kangaskolkka returns. Two strikers here as well as Jagne starts too.

Haka stadion far from good condition after the long and snowy winter. No pretty football to be expected and this is difficult game for me to have any strong opinions.




Honka - JJK
With the season start performances both are far away from top-3 spots, Honka again too slow in building up attacks and JJK too clumsy to defend properly and they have already conceded 6 goals vs mediocre opponents. At Honka they know that with the kid squad they have top positions are unlikely to this year and the bad results should cause no panic, at JJK success is more important as they are building their team with bigger sums of money.

Honka today: Mostly unchanged, Dudu starts as lone striker instead of Väyrynen. Mf Mäkijärvi added to bench after a long absence. Koskinen and Peltonen obviously unwanted and not even on the bench.

JJK today: Key mf Manninen is back! Centerbacks Pasoja-Nieminen instead of Reintam-Nieminen, I would prefer Pasoja-Reintam... Missing another key mf Jani Virtanen also from the bench. Df/mf Markkula missing.  Good news and bad news, did not make predicting the winner here any easier but surely Honka are not +50 % winners. 3-3 CS? Both been disappointing really and are more or less the same quality.



Inter - MyPa
Top vs bottom in my ranking, but surely MyPa self-confidence is sky-high and as mentioned they will win games when everything goes well and their aggressive team defence and pressure works. When they need to go chasing for a goal things will change. Inter were convincing vs VPS, MyPa have been effective and hard-working and in the ideal world it brings points and some luck along. Materialwise no change, top players vs lower division work-horses. The formation and lineups of MyPa vs Jaro were rather original and lively with some added defenders, everything is allowed in football and love?

The arena is the same Paavo Nurmi - stadion where MyPa destroyed TPS´s hopes of a good league start, it is smaller than their normal pitch and it is not the regular home stadion for TPS or Inter. Goals can be scored here also, TPS won HJK there 3-1. If MyPa had started as expected I would had accepted -1.5, now this is not as automatic with a few minor injuries reported also from the Inter camp. I am pretty sure I am not going to turn my head and start suggesting MyPa anytime soon. A safe-sounding option would be -1, just as it was in the TPS-MyPa...

Inter today:  Centerback Diallo missing also today but it caused no problems vs VPS. Same to be expected also today. Starting lineup very good, the quality drops  badly after substitutions.

MyPa today: Missing cb Aho, mf Oksanen and mf Saxman, a new puzzle to be built. Lack quality and also a bit of quantity today, not many options on the bench.

KuPS - TPS (artificial pitch)
Popular bet of the day, and for a reason. No confirmation yet of KuPS situation but in the worst case scenario they miss a lot of players today, also seriously important regular starters. Edit: big missings confirmed!

KuPS today: At least striker Zahovaiko suspended. Lot of doubtfuls for various reasons. Venäläinen totally missing, Ilo starting from the bench. Puri still without license and we have a few kids and one old-timer in starting lineup. Voutilainen, Koljonen, Taipale. Bad starting 11, bad bench.

TPS today: No injuries or suspensions reported, important df Hurme who missed two first games will return. If TPS can reproduce the HJK-game they will win, but the horrible MyPa-game is only one week away...

Dont like suggesting dropping odds but put this on watch list if you do yet have TPS. KuPS is not an option with this starting 11.

VPS - Lahti
This will be another VPS-year with otherwise useful team as such, but they have no one to rely on to score the goals needed. Lahti are not that hot shots either and admittedly an under 2.25 can be considered if you are into that kind of thing. Or maybe not now after seeing the lineups!

VPS today: Important mf Fowler injured and missing and allround player Saranpää on the bench, new CB needed and looks like is mf Denis Abdulahi. VPS do not usually start with two strikers but today the have both Parikka and Morrissey starting, Parikka probably as withdrawn striker. A bit strange lineup and something new to try. VPS vs Inter were undangerous.

Lahti today: Still expectedly without mf Mäkitalo but otherwise a strong squad by Lahti standards. Same applies here than with Honka, max 50 % for VPS win.

Lahti +0.5 slightly interesting.



HJK - Jaro (artificial)
More detailed preview tomorrow. HJK general quality widely discussed several times, and there are now also injury worries and likely a new mf/striker from Egypt. Jaro value in every case.

********
 At Kakkonen there have been played a few matches and the season-long prediction regarding Klubi-04 is still valid. Two games so far, as -1.5 favs vs SalPa odds dropped quickly to 1.6 but then rose back because SalPa are no mugs (FT 0-0) and vs LoPa last night the -2 lasted only a few minutes and went down to 1.4. Ft 6-0. Pallohonka also played twice already, the did ok vs EIF and drew 1-1, yesterday vs BK-46 they were both awful and unlucky with the harsh refereiing decision of a penalty on first minute against them.

The only Kakkonen game today LPS-KTP is tricky, KTP have signed a quality keeper Jere Koponen from Inter  and ex-Veikkausliiga striker Niko Ikävalko and on this level already 2-3 better players from higher leagues often make a significant  difference and I would not consider these kind of season starters without being at the venue.

*****

Forementioned EIF will host JIPPO (local 1.85) today in the Cup, but as their performance was a jekyll and hide - type with two extremely different halves all that I can say is that JIPPO deserve to be favourites as they are a better club from a higher league. An upset not at all impossible, and of course this is very underish game as always with JIPPO both home and away.

18.4.2012

Round 2 - one game tonight. Lahti vs Honka




To keep it short, unless the odds move a lot there is no value to be found. Team News are already built-in the odds.

188 odds and moves

Team News: Lahti are without injured Grössohmichen (long-term, CB), Rafael and Kemppinen (strikers) and mf Mäkitalo who was the best player of Lahti vs Haka. Mf Ville Taulo is still doubtful because of missing license from Italy. If available he would help to replace Mäkitalo, if not then there is a one man hole in the midfield which might be covered with young and useful but rather light-weight Klinga and Honka for once could be physically stronger in the midfield. The only change in starting line-up from Haka game probably Mäkitalo missing.

Honka as usual do not talk too openly about what is their situation, but in the video preview it was mentioned that it is possible that another 2 new kids will get their debut; gk Kollar and df/mf Aaltonen.  Both do fill their place satisfactorily and Kollar is no worse keeper than Viitala, but if they really are going to give Aaltonen playing time when there are other defenders like experienced Koskinen available it says a lot about the future of both Koskinen and expectedly best choice keeper Peltonen. They are history in the eyes of Honka management. A couple of changes to be expected in starting line-up, no key position changes likely.

It does not really change the game a lot if one of these players is missing or not, it is a round game on not-so-perfect pitch with Honka as a better club as favourites. Three games played this winter, 2-0 Honka win in a Dec friendly, 4-1 home win for Honka indoors in the league cup and 2-2 draw outdoors in Lahti. The general opinion here is an under and though I am not probably going to place a total bet here my hunch says differently and 2.25 line is low. There will be mistakes and good invidual effort and Honka should be hungry enough to win the game to take the necessary risks to create goal chances and Lahti mf is the key.

Even big market moves possible, but as you noticed from last round the direction of the move is hard to predict. The moves last round were not logical really, apart from the one going KuPS´way.

If you really want to have something with above odds then it would be Honka - 0.25 for me.

Rest of the games of this round tomorrow, 3rd round on Sunday - Monday, a cup round on Wed-Thu with most of the Veikkausliiga clubs playing, 4th round the same weekend. You see my point about the importance of big squads which almost no club has? After 6 months of no football there are now 5 matches in first 2 weeks and injuries and tiredness is inevitable. Early odds about as expected, I think TPS odds will rise by kick-off significantly if you are planning on hitting in that match.

Ykkönen - the second highest league - to kick-off April 27th.

****************

Weekend´s Newsletter delivery faced technical problems. The service provider did reply and hopefully it does not happen again too soon or otherwise I need to start sending these directly from email - and it a lot less convenient. Let us keep an eye on it and let me know if there are problems.

******************

Kakkonen local odds for today opened at Veikkaus. 
Klubi04 - SalPa 1.40-4.50-5.00.
EIF - Pallohonka (often Honka 2 at bookies) 2.05 - 4.00 - 2.50. 

Will be more interested in these today and perhaps there is a ht live bet available today. From one or more of the games, but otherwise back with you tomorrow.

******************

Oh yes, the paid season. I try to come up with something by Friday this week. A service like this you have seen will go on for a very reasonable monthly fee with whole-season discounts, but I have not found out yet a satisfactory solution for those of you with bigger needs as I do not want to promise more than I can deliver.

Back with you tomorrow afternoon after lineups are out, today they are not that needed as changes apart from the ones mentioned very unlikely. GL!





17.4.2012

Veikkausliiga odds round 2 / 2012

Only moderate market moves. Totals have gone towards "under" because of early season, bad pitches and this time around all matches are on natural grass.


4.2.2012

Honka today away at HJK like this?



Wiitala

Aalto Rexhepi
Heikkilä Äijälä





Yaghoubi
Tammilehto
Petrescu



Simpanen

Vasara




Väyrynen


LINK

Verdict: HJK to win by a couple of goals, red cards for Tammilehto and/or Yaghoubi.


Result : 0-2. Honka did well, HJK did not.

15.4.2009

Veikkausliiga 2009 rankings by media

I hate this, everyone seems to agree about the big picture. Honka, HJK, TamU. Blab-blah. JJK or KuPs or RoPs will get relegated. More blah. And blah.
Everyone seems to agree how the ranking should be, - hell, even I do! We all know now who is in the top-3 and who is going down. Black horses would be most welcome, and I see some potential in FF Jaro and MIFK. Not wanting anyone to get hurt or go seriously bancrupt though a crisis somewhere would be nice. A catasthrope, player´s strike, owners´ getting too much involved in choosing the line-up...

Give me something, well, not fixed games this time.

There are two postponed matches in the first round; Jaro-RoPs and TamU-VPS.

9.1.2009

Veikkausliiga Champion 2009

I am publishing these only to remember what the bookies where thinking about this January 2009. Remember that top-3 of 2008 all were given double figures last season, that can be called a suprise! It was also time for the first medals for all three; Inter, Honka & Lahti.

There are the usual suspects topping the table, the only one whose price can be expected to go down is last season´s tipster´s favourite TPS.

Forget completely to put any bets for all the teams with odds above 50; they are not even slightly possible winners and I would want something around 1000/1 for VPS and co.

Also Inter seems to be overrated strongly as they lost all their - and the league´s - best players to Europe after the glourious season.

HJK 4.50
Tampere United 5.00
FC Honka 5.00
MyPa 7.00
TPS 7.00
FC Inter 7.00
FC Haka 12.00
FC Lahti 12.00
IFK Mariehamn 50.00
FF Jaro 60.00
KuPs 90.00
JJK 90.00
VPS 100.00
RoPs 100.00

22.12.2008

Hello my friends! Welcome, take a seat.

This blog is an attempt to answer to the growing demand of information of football in Finland. Naturally for most of you people reading in english the curiousity derives from the fact the Finnish football league is one of the few in action in the long summer months from May to August and most games on your betting slip are played in this exotic country.

And there is no info nowhere.. you always have to hunt down a Finn from a betting forum and just hope that he knows what he is talking about. As it is, most think they do but don´t.

There is a long way to go for the season 2009 ahead of us but I am on time now. For practical reasons. I have never had a blog before, and the times of the long gone www.happypunter.com are also far behind.

So I need some practise. Some articles, some readers and acknowledgement. The plan I have timetablewise is that I start publishing news, rumours, reports and miscellaneous stuff from this moment on. At the moment there is not much to tell but the League Cup is starting in January and the building of the teams is on a way. We are getting there..

The outlook of this blog will change, I just wanted it up and running now. There will be lots of info, not everything I know but enough to help you to better knowledge and improve your success in betting on Finnish football games.

There is always room for interaction as well. I wonder who is the man brave enough to post the first comment.