18.6.2013

Kakkonen Pohjoinen 18.6

Kerho 07 +1 a nice value on paper, but not going to get involved due to their form. 3.5 and 1.79 not really enough, European bookmakers have 2,03 (56 %) though the 3.5 line is a bit too high for my liking.

Kerho 07 - PS Kemi 27 19 54
o/u 2.5: 76 24

Kerho 07 was completely embarrassed by KPV a few days ago so they deservedly join the betting black list with GBK and Tervarit. Their form has fluctuated wildly for the past few games now, so there's not much sense in predicting if they decide to show up or just take the whole day off, like they did against TP-47 and KPV. At home, Kemi has still been nearly unstoppable, but due to the postponements they've only played three away games with not so convincing results or performances, so I'm still a bit cautious with them. Only a handful of bookmakers have opened the game as of writing, but the odds for the visitors look just too low to be worthwhile. Of course we could be dealing with a GBK type of freefall, but assuming Kerho 07 hasn't completely lost their skills they're still a quite formidable team that caused (until recently) plenty of problems for most of the opponents they faced. Kerho 07 got a lot of help from SJK last week, but naturally that did not help at all, and the preview again gives no information. Kemi misses two players who are not that important. As has been the theme recently, the over looks much more appealing than 1x2. Goals have rained in for both teams recently, and the only things that make doubt that this won't be another goalfest are Kemi's recent defending and Kerho 07's poor form. However, poor form in Kerho's case also means that their defending has been bad, and Kemi's clean sheets were against Tervarit and KPV, both of who are severely lacking in quality upfront. Both Kerho 07 and PS Kemi have looked over-like, and it's supported by stats too so hopefully the asians will put up a 3.25 line.

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