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22.10.2009

Winter break about to start

I had had some plans to go on with betting activities through out the year, but there is a slight change of heart.

Since April I have spent around 60 hours weekly working on with Finnish football and betting, early bets, match day bets and live.

I have seen more than 100 matches live also this summer, and not all of them have been at local stadium, quite the contrary.

There have been some 200 previews in writing. A way bigger number of numerical estimations for asian betting.

Thousands of kilometres have been driven, hundreds of hours spent under the sun, sitting or standing at the stadium.

Hundreds of well-thought in-depth bets for me and my customers. Moments of joy and frustration, rewards of the hard work and disappointments for the late goals and otherwise unlucky or just bad performances of the team picked.

Calls and meeting with local people, players, coaches, odds compilers, journalists, to get more info, accurate info, contacts, insight.

Now that that season is more or less over, 4 matches to go to be exact, I found myself to be exhausted, needing a break.

Thus, as I know that I do have contacts good enough to bring me profitable info which I could both use myself and share with some chosen people I decided against it. There is a life to be lived.

The info would be good, but for me it is still second hand, not the freshest and the unique kind to which I am accustomed to. I want my information to be from a specialist, first hand, just as my own info is.


No bets for some time now after the play-offs and the Cup is over. The silly season will start in December with friendly games to continue in January with the league cup.

Meanwhile I will go on with some other activities, odd-jobs if you like. There are some ongoing projects regarding localizations, translations and marketing consultancy. If you want to talk about doing business in Finland, be it betting-related or not, email me at puntteri@gmail.com and we can take it from there.

No job is too small to be done properly.

23.9.2009

Veikkausliiga picks for 23.09.2009 - and results

At least there were goals, but my underdogs did not quite make it and the Haka result is beyond me.


FC Lahti - JJK 3-1 (3-0)
Eerola 2 Kari 65
Jari Litmanen 30 43!!

Haka - IFK M:hamn 5-1 (2-0)
Hynynen 5 Simunac 90
Holopainen 26
Innanen 50 54
Mäkitalo 75

VPS - Inter 2-2 (2-2)
Björk 15 Ojala 27
Kainu 20 Pertot 40

TPS - KuPS 3-0 (2-0)
Brown 12
Paatelainen 14 68

TamU - HJK 1-2 (0-1)
Petrescu 46 Sorsa 21
Riihilahti 56

Jaro - Honka 3-5 (1-2)
Meyer 45 Puustinen 14 53 79 rp
Hyyrynen 59 Vuorinen 44
Koivisto 81 rp Vasara 68

RoPS - MYPA 1-1 (1-0)
Musonda 37 Votinov 75



I took 4 bets early, the reasonings are to be found at the previews. Lahti was included after seiing the line-ups.

IFK Mariehamn 0 @ 1.78

KuPS + 1.5 @ 1.80

TamU + 0,5 @ 1.99

RoPS + 0,25 @ 2.11

FC Lahti -1 @ 2.12 (vs JJK) with a double stake.

2.9.2009

Veikkausliiga transfer window closed

And boy wasn´t there a lot of action!

I will go through them in detail in the match previews, but some of the clubs really suffered, some just unloaded some dead wood and some did get stronger!

Need to calculate and estimate the changed situations carefully, and needless to say, i am not publishing anything before I get my own bets in.

29.7.2009

Rating the picks

I have recently introduced myself a quality control system of rating my own picks, on a scale of 1-10 where 10 probably needs very little explanation, and 1 either.

Not all good bets are winners though, neither all bad ones losers, but the reasoning could be shady, perhaps there are wrong data or wrong conclusions behind the pick.

This week so far Atlantis + 0.5 earns 8, TPS -0.5 was a bad pick and earns only 4, the RoPS for Sunday was an outstanding bet with the performance and market movements, but as it was a loser after all the maximum of it is 8.


I will adjust the system so that to be on the winning side average rate have to be over 7.

If it goes down to 4-5 for a period of time.. well, it just might be time to call it a day.

In the long term the only trustable rating is the yield, but in times of bad run it might be a comfort to see if you unlucky or just plain useless.

23.7.2009

Europa League for Finnish Teams

Unfortunately I have very little to say. The only match i saw was Honka - Bangor, and Honka is a way better team, but they do not need to win to qualify.

HJK is a big favourite, probably not worth the tiny odds, and Lahti - Gorica is another clash of which I have no more insight than you do.

Betting these is a waste of time and money, have to see what happens in the live betting front. No early bets from me. Except this one havint thought long about this and getting some consultation from a fellow punter;





HJK-Vetra (1-0)

Bangor- Honka (0-2)

Lahti - Gorica (0-1)


are played tonight.