League Cup 19th Feb 2010; HJK - MyPa & VPS - TamU

Took one early bet already, TamU - 0,25 @ 2.

Perhaps there will be some previews tomorrow. HJK is hugely overrated at -0,75 @ 1.72, but once more, as a win by one goal margin is very likely I do not feel like taking MyPa + 0,75 despite that it shows a bit of value at 2.21 (limit 2.17). However, it is not enough to cover the analysis risk, there will probably be some team news tomorrow which will change the 1x2 estimate one way or another.

Some team news;

Tamu missing following players , or not. " TamU joutuu otteluun melko kapealla miehistöllä. Pohja ja Jusu Karvonen ovat kuumeisia, Ilari Ruuth menee perjantaina polvitähystykseen ja Jesse-Juho Kuusisto on abiristeilyllä. Lisäksi miehistöstä puuttuvat pitkäaikaisista vammoistaan vielä toipumassa olevat Toni Järvinen ja Aapo Lappalainen."

Pohja (feverish) would be missed.

VPS missing (most likely) " VPS:n kokoonpanoon palaa puolustaja Jussi Äijälä, mutta keskikentältä sivussa on Tony Björk, joka loukkasi nilkkansa lievästi alkuviikon harjoituksissa. KuPSia vastaan pirteästi oikeana laitapakkina pelannut Greg Eckhardt saattaa myös lepuuttaa itseään.

-Gregillä on ollut pientä lihaskireyttä ja hänen tilanne selviää vasta aamuharjoituksissa. Mitään riskiä ei oteta, mutta mistään vakavastakaan ei ole kysymys.

Sivussa ovat myös Tero Koskela, Jan Berg, Sami Salmi, Jyrki Saranpää ja Brian Pope."



And then some moaning and wondering

You may probably have sensed that there is a bit of pressure for me to do something about this blog. Downgrade it or upgrade it, or go commercial. I love getting feedback to puntteri@gmail.com and hearing from you, but there really is no need from you people to hurry me to publish info, picks and limits sooner than I do now. My priority is to get my own and my partners bets in with the best possible odds. As the market movements are quite big in a small market like Finland there is a good chance that the prices rise back to the original level sooner or later. Or even higher than the original and correct price was  like in the case of IFK Mariehamn just a few days ago which was also discussed here.

There have been flattering requests about a possibility to pay me and get a premiur service. It is a proposition I am seriosly considering and not taking lightly by any means, but to be able to do it happily and keep everyone involved satisfied there should be a bit larger customer base  - and it would be the end of the free information as we know it. It would also require a bit of bragging and spamming and that is where I am not going to get involved at all. I must point out though that there will be more than 1000 Finnish football matches on offer in asian betting market also this summer!

Thank you for reading. It makes me happy to know that I do have a wise, loyal and experienced audience and you have come here because of interest, and keep coming back.

Injury-riddled Tamu travels to Vaasa

VPS – TamU

H2H:4-7-6. Last game 02.05.2009 TamU – VPS 1-0 League.

VPS:3-3-3-3-0-1
TamU: 0-0-3-0-3-3

Tampere United have been riddled with injuries the whole season and the game against VPS makes no difference, there are 9 players sidelined against this a bit derby-like clash. They still do get a decent opening eleven on the pitch, but on the bench are basically only youngsters from the 2nd division reserve team Ilves.

”The matches against VPS have always been very tight and close”, says Tampere head coach Ari Hjelm, ” and because of of the injuries we have VPS is definitely the favourite in this game”, he continues trying to put pressure on the home side. ”We play with the players we have available, and it has been a great occasion to see what the young players can do”, he adds sarcastically. ”I can only thank Ilves that they keep on feeding us with players.

VPS took a win, draw and a loss during last week. ”It was an important point we got from IFK Mariehamn”, says VPS captain Tero Koskela. ”It was a stupid loss against HJK at home, but the self-confidence is back and we will challenge TamU”.

There is only point in between them in the league, and an even game is again to be expected.

The only important missing for VPS is mf Petteri Forsell 8/1 who took a stupid red card on the last minute in their Cup game against Futura, a game that they had already won easily 1-4.

VPS: 1 Henri Sillanpää 10/0 - 8 Jani Lyyski 13/1 – 11 Toni Hahto 11/0 – 16 Jyrki Saranpää 13/1 – 19 Jan Berg 13/0 – 3 Lawrence Smith 9/1 – 7 Tero Koskela 11/1 – 14 Jens Nygård 13/3 - 22 Tony Björk 13/1 - 10 Antonio Inutile 12/3 – 23 Jyri Hietaharju 13/1

Bench: 4 Jussi Äijälä 9/0, 9 Jussi Aalto 6/1, 20 Rikard Lindroos 9/1, 25 Pekka Kainu 8/0, 12 Henrik Moisander (gk) 5/0

Unavailable: 2 Jan Ahlvik 0/0, 24 Benjamin Slotte 0/0, 6 Petteri Forsell 8/1

Coaches: Juha Reini & Petri Vuorinen



TamU: 1 Mikko Kavén (gk) 2/0 - 18 Rafinha 13/3 - 3 Mathias Lindström 13/1 – 13 Sakari Saarinen 13/0 - 17 Vili Savolainen 10/0 – 16 Ilari Ruuth 2/0 - 5 Antti Ojanperä 11/1 - 22 Henri Scheweleff 12/1 – 11 Aleksei Kangaskolkka 12/1 – 30 Jari Niemi 12/0 - 14 Jusu Karvonen 2/0

Bench 21 Jonne Hjelm 13/1, 12 Juha Soukiala (gk) 11/0

Out:2 Toni Järvinen 0/0 10 Toni Petrescu 4/0, 25 Aapo Lappalainen 2/0, 8 Antti Pohja 7/1, 9 Juha Pirinen 4/0, 20 Juska Savolainen 12/1, 7 Jussi Kujala 13/1, 23 Chris James 2/1

Coach : Ari Hjelm

Prediction: The bookies and the punters are only looking at the absentees, not concentrating on tha main thing which is who are playing? TamU starting eleven is way beyond better than that of VPS, and there is big value for TamU 0 @ 2.25 at Sbobet