Asian handicap price limits for 19th Feb league Cup

EDIT FT results: HJK-MyPa 2-0. Routine win, 1-0 was always the most likely outcome. VPS - TamU 1-0. Odds rose both for HJK and TamU towards the kick-off. TamU had some adjusting problems at Vaasa with the indoor arena, but were the better team on the 2nd half according to the reports and VPS gk Kwon was praised.

Unless something alarming comes up the prices really should be more than the following to be valueable tonight;

HJK - MyPa at 16.00 CET Tali (indoors)

HJK -1      @ 2.09
HJK -0,75 @ 1.86
HJK - 0,5  @ 1.67

MyPa +1    @ 1.91
MyPa 0,75 @ 2,17
MyPa 0,5   @ 2,50


VPS - Tampere United 18.00 CET Botnia-halli (indoors)

VPS  0,25  @ 2.16
VPS  0,50  @ 1.82

TamU -0,25@ 1,86
TamU - 0,5  @ 2,22

Can not see any reason to think that both matches goal expectactions should differ from the norm.

Two matches tomorrow AC Oulu - Haka & Jaro - KuPS, and though my initial estimations show a value team in both matches I think I will skip both of them, these 4 teams tomorrow are pretty much the worst 4 of the League and I do not feel like trusting any of them. If there are big market moves I have to rethink.

Finland League Cup 14th Feb 2010 - MIFK - FC Lahti

IFK Mariehamn - 0.75 @ 1.76 ?

They are favourites of course, but not that big. However, as Lahti will be fielding some first-timers as well I will skip this match. Home win likely, but with 1-0 there is very little to win and despite signing Mikko Paatelainen from TPS the hosts still lack a decent striker.

Edit: a routine win with two early goals. Nothing spectacular.


IFK Mariehamn-FC Lahti 2-1 (2-0)
5. Mate Dujilo 1-0, 9. Tamas Gruborovics 2-0, 52. Rafael 2-1.
Varoitukset: Riku Heini (FC Lahti)

IFK Mariehamn: Gustav Långbacka, Patrik Rikama, Igor Utkovic, Marcus Olofsson, Kenneth Gustavsson, Tamas Gruborovics (58. Dmytro Voloshyn), Mika Niskala, Amos Ekhalie, Petteri Forsell (74. Arsim Gashi), Mate Dujilo, Mikko Paatelainen.

FC Lahti: Janne Leino, Loorents Hertsi, Mohamed Fofana (46. Ibrahim Köse), Rafael, Toni Huuhka, Jukka Vanninen, Pekka Sihvola, Eero Korte (84. Rico Lahtinen, Riku Heini (var.) (80. Janne Törmänen), Jonne Kemppinen, Jarkko Värttö.

Finland League Cup 6.2.2010 asian handicap price limits

No time or motivation for previews, last night Inter won MyPa 1-0 in a rather uneventful match at Turku. There are a lot of mixed opinions about Jaro - Haka and I expect the odds moving back and forth during the day. Also price of JJK has risen to my big surprise today.

HJK - MIFK

HJK - 1       @ 2.70
HJK  - 0,75 @ 2.25
HJK - 0,5    @  1.92

MIFK 1      @ 1.59
MIFK  0,75@ 1.80
MIFK 0,5   @ 2.08


FF Jaro - Haka

Jaro - 0,75 @ 4.00
Jaro - 0,5   @ 3.03
Jaro - 0,25 @ 2.52
Jaro   0      @ 2.15
Jaro  0,25  @ 1.84
Jaro 0,50   @ 1.61

Haka 0,75 @ 1.33
Haka 0,5   @ 1.49
Haka 0,25 @ 1.66
Haka 0      @ 1.87
Haka -0,25@ 2.19
Haka -0,50@2.63


JJK - VPS

JJK - 0,75 @ 2.08
JJK - 0,50 @ 1.82
JJK - 0,25 @ 1.50

VPS  0,75 @ 1.92
VPS  0,50 @ 2.22
VPS  0,25 @ 3.01

League Cup is a semi-meaninful competition and the limits above are for guidance only. The clubs are still testing players, there are injuries, difficult pitch or indoor conditions and the estimations are not as accurate as they will be while the season has started. I recommend at least a value of 10 % if you decide to take a bet using these estimations to minimize the risk of analysis.

Edit: FT results. HJK - MIFK 2-0, a good performance by HJK. JJK - VPS 3-0 easy home win as expected and Jaro - Haka 2-0. Haka is also probably and hopefully as overrated as it was last season. Very poor match by Haka.