| MIFK | 3-0 | HJK | -1.5 | 2,25 | 1 | |||
| 16.06.10 | Kakkonen | KaaPo | SoVo | 1-1 | SoVo | 0,25 | 2 | 1 |
| 16.06.10 | Kakkonen | Korsholm | FCV | 3-0 | FCV | -1,25 | 2,01 | 1 |
| 17.06.10 | Ykkönen | PK-35 | FC Espoo | 0-1 | PK35 | -0,5 | 2,02 | 1 |
| 18.06.10 | Kakkonen | SJK | PK37 | 0-0 | SJK | -0,75 | 1,94 | 1 |
| 21.06.10 | Veikkausliiga | VPS | Lahti | Lahti | 0,25 | 1,92 | 1 | |
| 20.06.10 | Veikkausliiga | MyPa | Jaro | 0-1 | MyPa | -0,5 | 2,16 | 1 |
| 19.06.10 | Kakkonen | Gnistan | Riverball | 0-0 | Gnistan | -0,75 | 2,21 | 1 |
| 19.06.10 | Intl Women | Finland | Portugal | 4-1 | Fin (live) | -1 | 2,04 | 1 |
| 20.06.10 | Kakkonen | WJK | Atlantis | 2-1 | WJK | -0,5 | 2,01 | 1 |
| 20.06.10 | Kakkonen | GrIFK | KaaPo | 0-0 | GrIFK | -1,25 | 1,84 | 1 |
| 20.06.10 | Kakkonen | PePo | LPS | 1-1 | LPS | 0 | 2,11 | 1 |
20.6.2010
Tough we
Waiting for Veikkausliiga line-ups
Honka prices have dropped now to -0.75 @ 1.93 and it is not worth it according to my first estimations, but perhaps things will change many timed before the kick-off. There are some good news at both camps, Honka midfield look fast and strong, TamU start with Pirinen instead of Kangaskolkka.
MyPa are still value. Obviously team news do not travel that fast from Pietarsaari. Matrone seems not to be suspended after all, looks like no one can keep tab of these and I have myself lost count at the cup rounds where no stats are available.
| Honka | TamU | |
| -1 | 2,28 | 1,78 |
| -0,75 | 1,98 | 2,02 |
MyPa are still value. Obviously team news do not travel that fast from Pietarsaari. Matrone seems not to be suspended after all, looks like no one can keep tab of these and I have myself lost count at the cup rounds where no stats are available.
| MyPa | Jaro | |
| -0,75 | 2,3 | 1,77 |
| -0,5 | 1,96 | 2,04 |
Kakkonen odds for Sunday
Kakkonen odds.
Something interesting but in general the asians have quite a good idea.
Something interesting but in general the asians have quite a good idea.
19.6.2010
Kakkonen C on Sunday - a likely no bet day
Analysis provided by the inhouse 2C expert, not me. Unless the asian bookies come up with something surprising there is not much value in this group today.
VIFK - KajHa
VIFK supposedly played their best 30 minutes of the season last week according to their coach, yet they still lost 0-3. Two important midfielders(Glasberg and Lindroos) have missed time recently so that is something to look out when the line-ups arrive. KajHa's 5-1 drubbing of SJK doesn't look that hot now that PK-37 played them equal on friday. They've had some flashes of fine form here and there but I'd like to see some consistency before I'm ready to start lifting their ranking. Their defense has been strenghtened by a former OPS-man Joonas Tikkanen, who should be a ok player for this level, but otherwise I have no idea of their injury situation. Even with their poor form, VIFK should still be a quite big favorite, but overall this really feels like a no-bet match(bookies also have the same estimations as me). KajHa's matches have been very high-scoring this season but I don't know if that will be the case this time because VIFK is usually so stiflingly boring and as they are the better team they should be able to dictate the match.
65 18 17
o/u 2.5: 65 35
FC YPA - FC Vaajakoski
Vaajakoski's loss on wednesday feels really puzzling because Korsholm looked quite terrible yesterday against OPA. There have been some talk that their playing style is not that effective against poor teams because they have also lost to some Kolmonen team(s?) in the training matches. Both teams have not been that convincing in their recent winning streaks, and my rankings have YPA one step above FCV mainly because of YPA's excellent strikers, bookies feel the same way about these two teams so probably no side bets in this one. YPA's matches have continued the familiar pattern from years past of being very high-scoring, but because FCV still feels quite underish team this season, a line of 3.25 wouldn't be that tasty, but probably a small bet still.
53 20 27
o/u 2.5: 69 31
VIFK supposedly played their best 30 minutes of the season last week according to their coach, yet they still lost 0-3. Two important midfielders(Glasberg and Lindroos) have missed time recently so that is something to look out when the line-ups arrive. KajHa's 5-1 drubbing of SJK doesn't look that hot now that PK-37 played them equal on friday. They've had some flashes of fine form here and there but I'd like to see some consistency before I'm ready to start lifting their ranking. Their defense has been strenghtened by a former OPS-man Joonas Tikkanen, who should be a ok player for this level, but otherwise I have no idea of their injury situation. Even with their poor form, VIFK should still be a quite big favorite, but overall this really feels like a no-bet match(bookies also have the same estimations as me). KajHa's matches have been very high-scoring this season but I don't know if that will be the case this time because VIFK is usually so stiflingly boring and as they are the better team they should be able to dictate the match.
65 18 17
o/u 2.5: 65 35
FC YPA - FC Vaajakoski
Vaajakoski's loss on wednesday feels really puzzling because Korsholm looked quite terrible yesterday against OPA. There have been some talk that their playing style is not that effective against poor teams because they have also lost to some Kolmonen team(s?) in the training matches. Both teams have not been that convincing in their recent winning streaks, and my rankings have YPA one step above FCV mainly because of YPA's excellent strikers, bookies feel the same way about these two teams so probably no side bets in this one. YPA's matches have continued the familiar pattern from years past of being very high-scoring, but because FCV still feels quite underish team this season, a line of 3.25 wouldn't be that tasty, but probably a small bet still.
53 20 27
o/u 2.5: 69 31
18.6.2010
Live Commentary Friday
No stream available for SJK-PK-37, so only JJK-MIFK commentary
FT Fully deserved win for MIFK, JJK wasn't that far behind in the first half but they were absolutely horrible in the second
90' Clear break-away for MIFK, but Paatelainen fails to finish
85' Nothing exciting going on
80' Still no chances, match is quite even now
74' Not much happening, JJK not threatening but the game has started to open up a bit
67' MIFK still in control, JJK still hasn't had any controlled attacks this half, smells like under if JJK doesn't start pushing up
63' First real chance of the half, MIFK counter-attack but a good save by JJK gk
60' MIFK in control, at the moment JJK looks very unlikely to come back
55' Midfield battle, this half has not been as exciting as the first half
50' MIFK has had the edge so far, no real chances though, but quite end-to-end action still
HT Deserved lead for MIFK, JJK did have some chances too and overall it has been a very pacy and exciting game so far
43' Another fast attack, this time MIFK is robbed of a clear penalty
40' Out of the blue excellent counter-attack by MIFK which is headed in
38' Nothing interesting happening right now, waiting for half-time..
30' JJK has the edge now, but no real scoring opportunities
25' JJK almost equalises, still dangerous chances for each team every couple of minutes
20' Match is more even now, IFK should have made it 2-0 but the ball rolled along the goal line
14' Dangerous counter-attack for IFK, good save by JJK gk
13' Two good chances in a row for JJK, both look vulnerable in defense
10' Deserved lead for IFK as they look dangerous all the time, fast pace too
FT Fully deserved win for MIFK, JJK wasn't that far behind in the first half but they were absolutely horrible in the second
90' Clear break-away for MIFK, but Paatelainen fails to finish
85' Nothing exciting going on
80' Still no chances, match is quite even now
74' Not much happening, JJK not threatening but the game has started to open up a bit
67' MIFK still in control, JJK still hasn't had any controlled attacks this half, smells like under if JJK doesn't start pushing up
63' First real chance of the half, MIFK counter-attack but a good save by JJK gk
60' MIFK in control, at the moment JJK looks very unlikely to come back
55' Midfield battle, this half has not been as exciting as the first half
50' MIFK has had the edge so far, no real chances though, but quite end-to-end action still
HT Deserved lead for MIFK, JJK did have some chances too and overall it has been a very pacy and exciting game so far
43' Another fast attack, this time MIFK is robbed of a clear penalty
40' Out of the blue excellent counter-attack by MIFK which is headed in
38' Nothing interesting happening right now, waiting for half-time..
30' JJK has the edge now, but no real scoring opportunities
25' JJK almost equalises, still dangerous chances for each team every couple of minutes
20' Match is more even now, IFK should have made it 2-0 but the ball rolled along the goal line
14' Dangerous counter-attack for IFK, good save by JJK gk
13' Two good chances in a row for JJK, both look vulnerable in defense
10' Deserved lead for IFK as they look dangerous all the time, fast pace too
JJK - MIFK starting line-ups
Simunac continues as a left back for IFK? The defence failed big time vs. HJK on Wednesday.
JJK – MIFK - a mother of all no-bets
JJK shifted to -0,25 @ 2.12 from yesterday´s 1.98, a bit of a move towards MIFK which is understandable but not very tempting. JJK have lost all home matches so far at Vaajakoski, which is not their normal home ground. IFK have been on the road since Tuesday because of the cup match on Wednesday in Helsinki, and there was no sense in travelling back to the island for a day. MIFK are almost a good team, but fail in the most important department which is winning the games, and unless there are really big odds movements I am not taking any bets for this game. Rough limits for this are JJK -0,25 @ 2.17 & MIFK +0,25 @ 1.86, but this looks uninteresting to me. JJK away at Jaro were not anything special, and MIFK shared the same destiny than most teams do away at HJK, they were outclassed. The home loss vs. Haka is worrying, and the center-back Guye has been in serious trouble when trying to play the ball on the ground, and the defence has hardly been the solid MIFK - defence we have been used to see in latest seasons. JJK center-backs have scored more than their strikers, but so far if someone has scored for JJK there has been some success.
Home
injuries: Tapaninen, Tumanto
doubtfuls:Niko Markkula (army)
Away
injuries; Ingves, Dujilo, Sundman, Strandvall
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