The champions all home goals 2012 - HJK

Meistriliiga 2012 all stars

A note to self really. Easy to see the progress of Nomme Kalju; they will take part in Komia 2013 and have several other friendlies in Finland as usual during the winter. Teles was the gk at Jaro 2011.

How did local sports media fare with 2012 rankings?

Depending on what you want to look they did either well or poorly. Everyone knew the winner - HJK - no one guessed the relegated club right and the midtable estimations were a mess.

Rank	Kymppipaikka	Veikkaaja	Urheilulehti	Final table	Points
1	HJK	HJK	HJK	HJK	64
2	TPS	Inter	Inter	Inter	58
3	JJK	TPS	Honka	TPS	54
4	Honka	Honka	JJK	MIFK	51
5	Inter	JJK	TPS	Lahti	50
6	KuPS	KuPS	KuPS	MyPa	49
7	VPS	VPS	VPS	Honka	43
8	MIFK	Jaro	Jaro	VPS	43
9	Haka	MIFK	Haka	JJK	40
10	Jaro	Haka	MIFK	KuPS	36
11	MyPa	Lahti	Lahti	Jaro	33
12	Lahti	MyPa	MyPa	Haka	32

My own publicly published ranking was this : very obscure on purpose and I was expecting an even season, MIFK was the dark horse but I was as adamant as everyone else that MyPa would go down.

MIFK btw might get an added reward for their good season as they won the local Fair Play - competition as usually Finland have won the extra European ql spot. MIFK to Europe 2013? It will be decided in the spring.,

2012 1x2 distribution

Well, as the saying goes the years and seasons are not brothers! These seem to vary strongly from season to season and it was only a couple of seasons ago when "home" won "away" not until the very last round of Veikkausliiga. This season´s home win percentage is record high 52% and the question is if the home advantage has increased or is it variance? If there is a reason for the increase I would like to know why. 2011 the distribution was 47-27-26 so what we missed a lot were the equalizing goals from the away teams.

This raises the eternal question about the validity of any sample and the discussion will go on. Are any of the data  from season 2010 useful anymore? Is there a trend? Are there 60 % home wins next season?


There were significantly less goals this season at Veikkausliiga compared to 599 goals on previous season. I for once would had wanted to see some of the narrow TPS 1-0 wins to end up in a draw instead.

Most goals were seen at Kakkonen South, but partly there is LoPa to blame who earned only one point throughout the season. Needless to say that the 2-2 draw away at BK-46 was a costly one, nearly as bad as the cup game on neutral ground vs JäPS who won the Eastern group in the end. At that time bookies got a narrow escape as they offered a -0.5 line for JäPS.  (JäPS won after extra time, a fair line would had been around -2). LoPa´s games produced 179 goals with the avg of 6.63 per game.

The % for draws at Kakkonen varies a lot from season and group, but you do not have to be a rocket scientist to see that the high-looking odds of 4.5  for a draw often offer no value. At match totals the line of 2.5 is rarely offered and you can see why.

2012	Matches	1	x	2	Goals	Avg	U 2.5	O 2.5
Veikkausliiga	198	52	20,7	27,3	535	2,70	51	49
Ykkönen	135	45,9	22,2	31,9	365	2,70	50	50
2 South	135	52,6	14,1	33,3	522	3,87	31	69
2 East	135	45,9	20	34,1	448	3,32	31	69
2 West	135	42,2	17,8	40	469	3,47	36	64
2 North	108	42,6	20,4	37	362	3,35	33	67

Joel Pohjanpalo goals 2012