PK-37 - GBK 28 20 52
o/u 2.5: 66 34
The line-ups do not offer anything surprising on the away team's side so the big odds movement cannot be explained by that. Obviously the motivation is a big part of that but I'd still be interested in GBK as they're a reasonably good team for this level and PK-37 is a pretty terrible team (though I'll admit my view is a bit skewed from the OLS game that was played a month ago) whose only wins have been against awful OLS and motivation-challenged OPS. Over would have been a much more appealing choice but the line is just too high at 3.25, in euro bookies 1,55 for o2.5 is available in a few places which would be small value.
AC Kajaani - KPV 66 20 14
o/u 2.5: 52 48
Both teams not with their best line-ups and both have also been very disappointing lately considering the status of their squads. AC Kajaani's big wins have been extremely rare so in that light KPV +1 would make sense. However, they do miss their talisman Myntti so this is a safe game to skip. Total line is very low but that's to be expected because of the home team.
PK-37 - GBK -0,5 2 52% 2,09 2/10 Sbobet
31.8.2014
30.8.2014
Kakkonen Pohjoinen 30.8
OPS - OLS 55 21 24
o/u 2.5: 60 40
As if it wasn't already difficult to predict this game OPS recently parted ways with their Brazilian players and of them three were quite important for OPS. OLS has disappointed all season long while there has seemingly been a minor improvement after the coaching change you can probably guess they're not an appealing choice either. However, OLS has everything to play for and OPS has certainly had their share of blunders and poor performances against terrible teams so if I had to choose anything it would be OLS +0,75. Sadly this is not live so no tweeting today.
TP-47 - PS Kemi 20 20 60
o/u 2.5: 64 36
For a mostly neutral observer last week's TP-47-OPS did not much entertainment. TP-47 did their best to emulate a broken OPS bus by playing with a 5-4-1 looking formation and not bothering to attack at all after their opening goal, which was a blatant offside. Now one would except them to adopt a similar approach today against a much stronger opponent but whether it's this or that the odds don't offer much excitement in this game either. Kemi is flying high at the moment and they've just trashed TP-47 in this year's derbies so a hunch recommendation would veer towards PS Kemi. Both games today smell of over and the lines are acceptably low at Sbobet so if you're looking for fun bets today they could be a good choice.
o/u 2.5: 60 40
As if it wasn't already difficult to predict this game OPS recently parted ways with their Brazilian players and of them three were quite important for OPS. OLS has disappointed all season long while there has seemingly been a minor improvement after the coaching change you can probably guess they're not an appealing choice either. However, OLS has everything to play for and OPS has certainly had their share of blunders and poor performances against terrible teams so if I had to choose anything it would be OLS +0,75. Sadly this is not live so no tweeting today.
TP-47 - PS Kemi 20 20 60
o/u 2.5: 64 36
For a mostly neutral observer last week's TP-47-OPS did not much entertainment. TP-47 did their best to emulate a broken OPS bus by playing with a 5-4-1 looking formation and not bothering to attack at all after their opening goal, which was a blatant offside. Now one would except them to adopt a similar approach today against a much stronger opponent but whether it's this or that the odds don't offer much excitement in this game either. Kemi is flying high at the moment and they've just trashed TP-47 in this year's derbies so a hunch recommendation would veer towards PS Kemi. Both games today smell of over and the lines are acceptably low at Sbobet so if you're looking for fun bets today they could be a good choice.
24.8.2014
Kakkonen Pohjoinen 24.8
Rather interestingly two games from this group have found their way on to the Asian markets. AC Kajaani's situation looks bleak but they do have a h2h match against Kemi still left to play (not to mention that Kemi plays away to YPA in last round) so I wouldn't expect them to have completely given up yet. However, despite the fact that PK-37 has been destroyed often lately by better teams, Kajaani's latest games leave a lot of question marks in the air. Sure, they're a much better team but -1.25 is not at all interesting on a hunch level. Odds in the OPS game look perfectly set, TP-47 has been going from win to win but they'll have to admit that their opposition has been pretty bad most of the time. OPS form has been strange lately but outside one GBK game they've been quite reliable at home so I wouldn't write them off too much. Live tweets available as always.
PK-37 - AC Kajaani 10 16 74
o/u 2.5: 58 42
PS Kemi - GBK 73 15 12
o/u 2.5: 67 33
OPS - TP-47 52 22 26
o/u 2.5: 58 42
KPV - FC YPA 29 23 48
o/u 2.5: 56 44
PK-37 - AC Kajaani 10 16 74
o/u 2.5: 58 42
PS Kemi - GBK 73 15 12
o/u 2.5: 67 33
OPS - TP-47 52 22 26
o/u 2.5: 58 42
KPV - FC YPA 29 23 48
o/u 2.5: 56 44
17.8.2014
Kakkonen Pohjoinen 17.8
Only one game open today in the Asians, OPS would have been a definite selection as they've played very well against the top teams, 4,5 is available in multiple places for the away win. GBK-KPV o2.5 would have been the other probable bet.
OLS - PS Kemi 9 15 76
o/u 2.5: 63 37
The very same line for PS Kemi as last week, but as they are playing away in a pitch where they've had some unexplainable losses and draws (see: last year) I'm not eagerly jumping on the Kemi train. OLS didn't seem to have any noticeable improvement after the coaching change so they wouldn't be an interesting choice either, will wait for live for any betting opportunities.
FC YPA - OPS 52 22 26
o/u 2.5: 58 42
AC Kajaani - JBK 77 16 7
o/u 2.5: 53 47
TP-47 - PK-37 68 18 14
o/u 2.5: 58 42
GBK - KPV 37 23 40
o/u 2.5: 60 40
OLS - PS Kemi 9 15 76
o/u 2.5: 63 37
The very same line for PS Kemi as last week, but as they are playing away in a pitch where they've had some unexplainable losses and draws (see: last year) I'm not eagerly jumping on the Kemi train. OLS didn't seem to have any noticeable improvement after the coaching change so they wouldn't be an interesting choice either, will wait for live for any betting opportunities.
FC YPA - OPS 52 22 26
o/u 2.5: 58 42
AC Kajaani - JBK 77 16 7
o/u 2.5: 53 47
TP-47 - PK-37 68 18 14
o/u 2.5: 58 42
GBK - KPV 37 23 40
o/u 2.5: 60 40
12.8.2014
Kakkonen Pohjoinen 12.8
TP-47 - OLS 68 18 14
o/u 2.5: 61 39
As you can from the recent results TP-47 has pulled themselves out of the relegation battle. They don't seem to have played that excellently but considering how much misfortunes they had early in the season their luck is probably deserved enough. Twitter deep throats have been raving about new TP-47 player Jamar Dixon and their player situation is practically perfect as only one player is out. OLS finally "fired" their coach so some improvement could be expected from them, purely because the way the past few months have gone they couldn't have played any worse (though it's not like they haven't tried different styles). All the key players now back for OLS so no excuses can be made there, however couple of the more experienced players have been left on the bench today. -1,25 looks quite high if we just looked at the squads; form and performances overall this year are a completely different story and while I wouldn't fault anyone for trying OLS +1,25 today (coaching change effect) I've personally seen them too much this year that there's no way I'm wasting anything on them until they show some actual results.
o/u 2.5: 61 39
As you can from the recent results TP-47 has pulled themselves out of the relegation battle. They don't seem to have played that excellently but considering how much misfortunes they had early in the season their luck is probably deserved enough. Twitter deep throats have been raving about new TP-47 player Jamar Dixon and their player situation is practically perfect as only one player is out. OLS finally "fired" their coach so some improvement could be expected from them, purely because the way the past few months have gone they couldn't have played any worse (though it's not like they haven't tried different styles). All the key players now back for OLS so no excuses can be made there, however couple of the more experienced players have been left on the bench today. -1,25 looks quite high if we just looked at the squads; form and performances overall this year are a completely different story and while I wouldn't fault anyone for trying OLS +1,25 today (coaching change effect) I've personally seen them too much this year that there's no way I'm wasting anything on them until they show some actual results.
11.8.2014
Kakkonen Pohjoinen 11.8
JBK - KPV 33 24 43
o/u 2.5: 55 45
Just a few words, plenty of losses for both lately though JBK performances seem to have been a little bit better than KPV's. JBK is obviously in dire need of wins while KPV does not have much to play for anymore. KPV does possess much more quality and more reputable players than JBK but with -0,25 line it's tough to find any value either way (line-ups could change that, but won't be able to check them before kick-off). Total is a little more intriguing, based on what I've seen and read I don't think either team is so super under-like that it warrants a 2.5 line, small stakes however as statistics do tell a different story.
JBK - KPV O2.5 55% 1,90 1,5/10 188Bet
o/u 2.5: 55 45
Just a few words, plenty of losses for both lately though JBK performances seem to have been a little bit better than KPV's. JBK is obviously in dire need of wins while KPV does not have much to play for anymore. KPV does possess much more quality and more reputable players than JBK but with -0,25 line it's tough to find any value either way (line-ups could change that, but won't be able to check them before kick-off). Total is a little more intriguing, based on what I've seen and read I don't think either team is so super under-like that it warrants a 2.5 line, small stakes however as statistics do tell a different story.
JBK - KPV O2.5 55% 1,90 1,5/10 188Bet
10.8.2014
Kakkonen Pohjoinen 10.8
FC YPA - GBK 58 20 22
o/u 2.5: 61 39
Odds are perfectly set so not a big loss that there's no Asian odds available. YPA was impressive defensively against Kemi last week but it seems they forgot to attack, GBK on the other hand still continued to play the exact opposite way that I thought as they let JBK take their second win of the year. They were a bit unlucky in that game however, though when looking at the overall picture YPA has been a much steadier team with no humiliating losses like GBK has had with TP-47 and JBK so it's understandable that YPA odds are set at max 1,70 as they also possess a slightly better quality squad. O2.5 at 1,70 is slightly interesting mostly because of GBK who has been pretty reliable at breaking that line lately (outside notorious AC Kajaani). YPA won't do much with a draw and their coach has usually looked aggressively for a win against lesser teams so if GBK managed to score the over would look quite good.
PS Kemi - PK-37 86 10 4
o/u 2.5: 67 33
PK-37 has somehow managed to take two wins in their last three games, in OLS game they were very lucky while the OPS game seems to have been more about the attitude/motivation problems of OPS than PK-37's excellent displays as OPS beat AC Kajaani convincingly yesterday. Today looks more like PK-37's YPA match where they were easily outplayed by a better team, as said many times before PS Kemi rarely plays poorly at home and after two tough matches against the other members of top three this should be an easy win for them. However, in betting terms -1,75 with such a low odds is nothing to get too crazy about. PK-37 has after all been able to keep the numbers respectable most of the time despite their shortcomings in player material. Over would've been interesting too, but I'm not going to bother with 1,59 level odds.
PS Kemi - PK-37 -1,75 1 63,5% 1,70 4/10 Sbobet
o/u 2.5: 61 39
Odds are perfectly set so not a big loss that there's no Asian odds available. YPA was impressive defensively against Kemi last week but it seems they forgot to attack, GBK on the other hand still continued to play the exact opposite way that I thought as they let JBK take their second win of the year. They were a bit unlucky in that game however, though when looking at the overall picture YPA has been a much steadier team with no humiliating losses like GBK has had with TP-47 and JBK so it's understandable that YPA odds are set at max 1,70 as they also possess a slightly better quality squad. O2.5 at 1,70 is slightly interesting mostly because of GBK who has been pretty reliable at breaking that line lately (outside notorious AC Kajaani). YPA won't do much with a draw and their coach has usually looked aggressively for a win against lesser teams so if GBK managed to score the over would look quite good.
PS Kemi - PK-37 86 10 4
o/u 2.5: 67 33
PK-37 has somehow managed to take two wins in their last three games, in OLS game they were very lucky while the OPS game seems to have been more about the attitude/motivation problems of OPS than PK-37's excellent displays as OPS beat AC Kajaani convincingly yesterday. Today looks more like PK-37's YPA match where they were easily outplayed by a better team, as said many times before PS Kemi rarely plays poorly at home and after two tough matches against the other members of top three this should be an easy win for them. However, in betting terms -1,75 with such a low odds is nothing to get too crazy about. PK-37 has after all been able to keep the numbers respectable most of the time despite their shortcomings in player material. Over would've been interesting too, but I'm not going to bother with 1,59 level odds.
PS Kemi - PK-37 -1,75 1 63,5% 1,70 4/10 Sbobet
9.8.2014
Kakkonen Pohjoinen 9.8
OPS - AC Kajaani 23 22 55
o/u 2.5: 57 43
To say both teams had a different kinds of games Wednesday would be an understatement, OPS was destroyed by PK-37 and I mean destroyed if OPS report is to believed as OPS gk made plenty of saves even if the result was 4-1. AC Kajaani trashed OLS by equally humiliating numbers, but I don't know how much useful information you can take from that game as OLS was really poor that day and AC Kajaani's finishing was almost 100 %. OPS has some movement in their squad as the Brazilian midfielders Pereira and Rhoden are suspended, both are somewhat key players purely because OPS has zero depth in their squad. However, they do get goalie Koponen back, who's very likely the best gk in the group. A mystery card is AJ Gray, a former AC Oulu triallist who has impressed in Kolmonen (then again, OLS was unbeaten in Kolmonen last year). AC Kajaani is a big favorite, but I'll try not to be too hung up on midweek's OLS game as before that AC Kajaani had a long streak of results that certainly make a -0,75 line pretty unappealable, OPS has had a habit of making life difficult for even the top teams so I'm happy that this will be offered live on 188Bet which means that any betting decisions can be left there.
o/u 2.5: 57 43
To say both teams had a different kinds of games Wednesday would be an understatement, OPS was destroyed by PK-37 and I mean destroyed if OPS report is to believed as OPS gk made plenty of saves even if the result was 4-1. AC Kajaani trashed OLS by equally humiliating numbers, but I don't know how much useful information you can take from that game as OLS was really poor that day and AC Kajaani's finishing was almost 100 %. OPS has some movement in their squad as the Brazilian midfielders Pereira and Rhoden are suspended, both are somewhat key players purely because OPS has zero depth in their squad. However, they do get goalie Koponen back, who's very likely the best gk in the group. A mystery card is AJ Gray, a former AC Oulu triallist who has impressed in Kolmonen (then again, OLS was unbeaten in Kolmonen last year). AC Kajaani is a big favorite, but I'll try not to be too hung up on midweek's OLS game as before that AC Kajaani had a long streak of results that certainly make a -0,75 line pretty unappealable, OPS has had a habit of making life difficult for even the top teams so I'm happy that this will be offered live on 188Bet which means that any betting decisions can be left there.
7.8.2014
Kakkonen Pohjoinen 7.8
JBK - GBK 30 22 48
o/u 2.5: 60 40
Was planning on skipping this, but JBK does get an awful lot of credit for a team that has only won once. They've been able to harass better teams all year long but other than a few draws there's not much they have to show in terms of concrete results. GBK has had a few ups and downs recently but more importantly they've been able to beat teams of JBK's quality quite consistently, in fact aside from their loss to TP-47 where they were likely too tired they've only lost to good teams. There has been a massive amount of draws this season and this is probably a good candidate for that too, -0,25 is however a very appealing line for a team that has shown much better results all year long.
PS Kemi - FC YPA 58 20 22
o/u 2.5: 62 38
The top match of the day, the difference is likely not as big as the odds suggest but I'm not going to oppose PS Kemi at home. On the other hand, YPA +0,75 does not interest either so will take a pass with the handicap. I had some interest in the over as PS Kemi has found their scoring form and their home games usually have plenty of goals in them, however the line is too big at 3.0 considering how low-scoring YPA has been this year.
KPV - TP-47 55 21 24
o/u 2.5: 60 40
KPV didn't exactly impress in OPS game, though they did miss Tshibasu who by my understanding has been an important part of their attack. They do have two losses in a row but having to face PS Kemi and OPS in away games is as though as it gets (let's just ignore what happened in Iisalmi yesterday). TP-47 long looked like a team that was headed for a disaster but couple of home wins has meant that the threat of relegation is not as immediate as it was few weeks ago. TP-47 wasn't supposed to be as bad as their position in the table is right now as they did not weaken that much from last year when they finished fourth. In that sense I'm a bit cautious to select KPV but it's difficult to resist -0,5 with the home record that KPV has, and the overall displays both have shown this year.
JBK - GBK -0,25 2 54,5% 1,90 2/10 188Bet
KPV - TP-47 -0,5 1 55% 1,90 2/10 Sbobet
KPV- TP-47 O2.75 55% 1,85 1/10 188Bet
o/u 2.5: 60 40
Was planning on skipping this, but JBK does get an awful lot of credit for a team that has only won once. They've been able to harass better teams all year long but other than a few draws there's not much they have to show in terms of concrete results. GBK has had a few ups and downs recently but more importantly they've been able to beat teams of JBK's quality quite consistently, in fact aside from their loss to TP-47 where they were likely too tired they've only lost to good teams. There has been a massive amount of draws this season and this is probably a good candidate for that too, -0,25 is however a very appealing line for a team that has shown much better results all year long.
PS Kemi - FC YPA 58 20 22
o/u 2.5: 62 38
The top match of the day, the difference is likely not as big as the odds suggest but I'm not going to oppose PS Kemi at home. On the other hand, YPA +0,75 does not interest either so will take a pass with the handicap. I had some interest in the over as PS Kemi has found their scoring form and their home games usually have plenty of goals in them, however the line is too big at 3.0 considering how low-scoring YPA has been this year.
KPV - TP-47 55 21 24
o/u 2.5: 60 40
KPV didn't exactly impress in OPS game, though they did miss Tshibasu who by my understanding has been an important part of their attack. They do have two losses in a row but having to face PS Kemi and OPS in away games is as though as it gets (let's just ignore what happened in Iisalmi yesterday). TP-47 long looked like a team that was headed for a disaster but couple of home wins has meant that the threat of relegation is not as immediate as it was few weeks ago. TP-47 wasn't supposed to be as bad as their position in the table is right now as they did not weaken that much from last year when they finished fourth. In that sense I'm a bit cautious to select KPV but it's difficult to resist -0,5 with the home record that KPV has, and the overall displays both have shown this year.
JBK - GBK -0,25 2 54,5% 1,90 2/10 188Bet
KPV - TP-47 -0,5 1 55% 1,90 2/10 Sbobet
KPV- TP-47 O2.75 55% 1,85 1/10 188Bet
6.8.2014
Kakkonen Pohjoinen 6.8
OLS get extremely important Mahlakaarto back, he hasn't played this season so who knows how fit he is. Luckily you'll have the live commentary on my Twitter account.
OLS - AC Kajaani 10 18 72
o/u 2.5: 50 50
Unless something really surprising happens a correct score of 0-1 or 0-2 will very likely be close to the truth. OLS didn't seem to play that bad against GBK but when the winless streak has gone past a dozen there's not many excuses you can make anymore. By AC Kajaani's standards their last game was a goalfest as there was not just one but two of them, due to a weird scheduling it has taken this long to actually see AC Kajaani in action so main concentration will be on the live bets. Preferably OLS could hold on until the handicap reaches acceptable levels because -1,25 does not appeal that much for obvious reasons (just see how AC Kajaani has played all year).
PK-37 - OPS 16 19 65
o/u 2.5: 59 41
OPS has finally started to redeem the potential they had shown early in the season as they're actually now the most in-form team in the league. However, it's safe to say that I won't be rushing to take OPS at 1,50 level odds, they're a hefty favorite but I don't think playing those kind of odds will be particularly profitable in the long run. PK-37 has suffered a couple of collapses recently but their record and performances have mostly been respectable as they've usually concentrated on defending and thus have lost only by small margins. AC Kajaani game looms large for OPS in a few days so that could have an effect on their concentration too...
OLS - AC Kajaani 10 18 72
o/u 2.5: 50 50
Unless something really surprising happens a correct score of 0-1 or 0-2 will very likely be close to the truth. OLS didn't seem to play that bad against GBK but when the winless streak has gone past a dozen there's not many excuses you can make anymore. By AC Kajaani's standards their last game was a goalfest as there was not just one but two of them, due to a weird scheduling it has taken this long to actually see AC Kajaani in action so main concentration will be on the live bets. Preferably OLS could hold on until the handicap reaches acceptable levels because -1,25 does not appeal that much for obvious reasons (just see how AC Kajaani has played all year).
PK-37 - OPS 16 19 65
o/u 2.5: 59 41
OPS has finally started to redeem the potential they had shown early in the season as they're actually now the most in-form team in the league. However, it's safe to say that I won't be rushing to take OPS at 1,50 level odds, they're a hefty favorite but I don't think playing those kind of odds will be particularly profitable in the long run. PK-37 has suffered a couple of collapses recently but their record and performances have mostly been respectable as they've usually concentrated on defending and thus have lost only by small margins. AC Kajaani game looms large for OPS in a few days so that could have an effect on their concentration too...
3.8.2014
Kakkonen Pohjoinen 3.8
Only a couple of games open in Sbobet, but it's not a big waste because none of the games look interesting from a betting angle. I'll be on the venue in OPS-KPV which is one of the live games so possible live bets in Twitter.
GBK - OLS 69 18 13
o/u 2.5: 59 41
OLS played actually a pretty good game last week but their finishing let them down greatly. GBK's last few games have been a rollercoaster, they're obviously a big favorite here but with a -1 line it's an easy skip because OLS rarely gets blown out.
OPS - KPV 41 24 35
o/u 2.5: 55 45
OPS suffer a blow in their defense as their gk Koponen is again sidelined due to a suspension, I'm a bit surprised that they're a favorite this time because they've been underestimated in the past games. With -0,25 I'd actually lean towards the visitors but I'll leave any decisions to live.
FC YPA - PK-37 78 15 7
o/u 2.5: 57 43
PK-37 looked like garbage against OLS but they somehow got the win out of it. However, I would not have been keen on YPA anyway because as you can see from their results, they rarely win by big numbers.
AC Kajaani - PS Kemi 42 24 34
o/u 2.5: 55 45
Very similar to OPS - KPV, PS Kemi is maybe a bit better as they tend to look for the win more often than the fightin' Jarmo Korhonens, who just love their low-scoring draws. AC Kajaani's line-up actually looks quite strong with the addition of Caumo so if I had to choose something it would be ACK (just a hunch).
GBK - OLS 69 18 13
o/u 2.5: 59 41
OLS played actually a pretty good game last week but their finishing let them down greatly. GBK's last few games have been a rollercoaster, they're obviously a big favorite here but with a -1 line it's an easy skip because OLS rarely gets blown out.
OPS - KPV 41 24 35
o/u 2.5: 55 45
OPS suffer a blow in their defense as their gk Koponen is again sidelined due to a suspension, I'm a bit surprised that they're a favorite this time because they've been underestimated in the past games. With -0,25 I'd actually lean towards the visitors but I'll leave any decisions to live.
FC YPA - PK-37 78 15 7
o/u 2.5: 57 43
PK-37 looked like garbage against OLS but they somehow got the win out of it. However, I would not have been keen on YPA anyway because as you can see from their results, they rarely win by big numbers.
AC Kajaani - PS Kemi 42 24 34
o/u 2.5: 55 45
Very similar to OPS - KPV, PS Kemi is maybe a bit better as they tend to look for the win more often than the fightin' Jarmo Korhonens, who just love their low-scoring draws. AC Kajaani's line-up actually looks quite strong with the addition of Caumo so if I had to choose something it would be ACK (just a hunch).
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