26.1.2017

FF Jaro signing a "right winger" from Greece - Katidis?


Unless the storm in the media is too much.




Sportmarket Pro update

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Example of an early match, not yet nine though:


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25.1.2017

Suomen cup continues on Friday


Highlights from matchday 1 here.

Inter Turku will start their season and introduce a few new familiar faces vs EIF. Local book also opened matches for the weekend.







18.1.2017

Veikkausliiga transfers 2017



Due to the fact that the transfer window is more or less always open here this would be a never-ending story,
so I decided to give you an overview of what is going on now, and links to more detailed sources. Hope it is ok?

Playerdatabase, Transfermarkt and local fan forum FF2 should be more up to date.

This site is an excellent place for detailed info of 2016, Minor Soccer League.

At the moment January 19th the overview is about like this:

MIFK lost 3 key players gk Viitala, mf Assis and striker Orgill. All in all MIFK used only 16 players last season and were lucky to avoid injuries, so far their only signing is an striker from MLS/USL , Lucky Mkosama. Edit, mf Robbie Sellin also introduced, might be good.

Verdict: MIFK not going to repeat last season's success. 3-6.


HJK is once again changing quite a lot. There are some good new defenders Obilor and Patronen, but on the other hand all wingers have gone. Top striker Morelos also likely to be sold and need to be replaced.

Verdict: Far from ready but always a favourite to do well and win stuff.

SJK had and do have a strong squad, but there are some holes now too as a few players changed to Ilves, top striker Riski is on loan at a low level German side and one important midfielder retired.

Verdict: No worries, but perhaps need a high profile striker, or perhaps not as there are good kids. Top-2.

VPS over- achieved last season are there were really not that many key players. However some of them have left, gk Kobozev and cb Boxall.  Most of the leaving players are not missed.  A lot of VPS success was down to good coaching and a bit of luck.

Verdict: Can not see them in top-3, they were the most boring team to follow last season and that is likely to continue as they tend to pass the ball on their own half for hours. 6-8.

Ilves did lose their top winger Soisalo to Middlesbrough, but there are some new faces who bring something new - and depth at least - to the squad. Good cd Tanska, all-round handyman Penninkangas and occasionally effective striker Tuco.

Verdict: Top-6.

RoPS are one the losers at the transfer markets and lack of funds shows in the signings. Losing top scorer Kokko in the middle of last season was however the biggest blow. RoPS lost 5 regular starters, and from the signings I would not except a lot apart from striker Tukiainen who finally can show if he can make it in Veikkausliiga, and I think he can if the midfield can feed him.

Bottom half.

KuPS are of the most interesting clubs this season, mostly because of managerial change as the gone Rajamäki was a poor tactician. New guy Honkavaara (HIFK) was early out there to sign the names he wanted, and even if they are not the biggest household names this might actually work. Not sure about the keeper situation though, Otso Virtanen did not get any playing time at Hibernians and I am afraid there is a reason for it.

Verdict: Top half unless keeper problems arise big time.

Lahti. Blah... mediocrity, bad Brazilian signings and a manager who has yet to earn my trust. Another club needing a keeper since the Russian one is gone. Latest signing mf Helmke has been a top player in this league before and he might do some difference, or not. He has not played for a veeeeery long time at all.

Verdict: 8th or so.

PS Kemi. Biggest losers so far, a lot of new faces in and it has taken a lot of imagination to handpick them. The latest cb Kaljumäe from Levadia has the highest profile.

Verdict: Would be automatically relegated unless there was JJK. Relegation play-off then.

HIFK. A combination of a few top players and a dozen of kids who will not be let to play. In most parts you might call it unchanged since last season. Lack of money a big hindrance to build the team, but they might get old timer Mikael Forssell cheap as he is no longer wanted at HJK.

Verdict: Will survive because of Kemi and JJK.

Inter Turku. Winners of the silly season but still a few players - like a cb - needed, and the presence of Shefki Kuqi at the managerial seat always kind of a time bomb. Faubert, Furuholm, Mäkitalo all top signings and the fiasco of 2016 will be quickly forgotten.

Verdict: Might be top-4, but nothing would surprise with Kuqi, Kuqi, Faubert, Furuholm..

JJK They were a rather weak side to win Ykkönen and promotion, and some of their key players already gone and unreplaced. Half the starting 11 need to be replaced if they want to dream of survival in the league.

Verdict: Gone. Bye.



















FIN odds for FIN cup - Suomen cup

Naturally no odds for SJK vs SJK here, someone offered 1.07 for a sure thing.


16.1.2017

Suomen Cup 2017 - FIN Cup


The newly formatted Suomen Cup group phase will start on Friday and here are the fixtures for week 3.





There are 5 groups of 6 clubs in each, there was almost no competition for the few places thar were open for all clubs as all 12 Veikkausliiga clubs, all 10 Ykkönen clubs and the best 4 Kakkonen clubs were automatically invited (and forced) to take part.  The winners of the group go to best-8, the remaining 3 places require a play-off between all runners-up and "best" third placed.

The 4 clubs who more or less won their place to the group phase are

HauPa
Legirus Inter
Pallo-Iirot
SJK Academy

Legirus were promoted to Kakkonen, the rest are from one level below, Kolmonen. SJK Academy may win a cabinet promotion though as there is one Kakkonen club giving up for financial reasons, YPA. They will be replaced either by Villiketut, or SJK Academy. (Edit: Villiketut got promoted, SJK Academy continue at Kolmonen.)

The fact which makes this cup format super interesting is, that for the clubs taking part in the group phase have to have some kind of an official squad ready. Now. Not in April or May but now. The policy until now has been that there are trialists all preseason, and they were also able  to play in the league cup. The consequence is that some of the clubs have signed a lot of cheap kids to be able to take part, and the lineups in some cases are almost ridiculously weak. This is also a big difference for non-Veikkausliiga clubs who previously had only friendlies to play during Jan-April.

Most - if not all - of the matches will be available for betting also at Asian markets. The least likely matches not to be found are those with the Kolmonen clubs involved, and/or if there are matches at the busiest hours on the weekends. However as the matches are played indoors anyway in arenas with very limited facilities they may also be played at silly hours, very early local time, and thus they may attract huge volumes at the markets as they are almost the only competitive matches available for the betting, worldwide! Inter Turku seem to have a regular spot at 14:00 on Fridays for example.

In those cases when there is only limited access at Asian markets like Singbet, IBCbet or ISN there are also betting brokers available, my personal favourite tool is Sportmarket PRO. More about it can be found in a separate article in this blog. In case you still have a healthy account at Bet365 you will do just fine.


The groups are:

Group A


None of these is impressing at any way right now, Kemi have signed a lot of unknown young players and I doubt that their scouting is faultless. OPS will be an exception in the rule I mentioned earlier, they do not give a damn about this cup and they will order their load of Africans later. OPS manager' s 14 yo son played in their latest friendly vs Jaro and it tells a lot about their attitude here.


Group B


SJK will win this group, but it is rather remarkable that the FA allowed their Academy to play in the same group.



Group C


HJK wins this one, but Honka are once again building a strong team even if they are at Ykkönen 2017. Return to Veikkausliiga looms ahead! Gnistan is the reserve team of HIFK this year and in some other country this would not be allowed.



Group D


Inter Turku should return to limelight after a disappointing year, and perhaps they even are a title contender? MIFK will return to mediocrity after a a Leicesterish  title season.


Group E



Strong group, Ilves, KuPS and Lahti to decide the winner between themselves. 

First cup odds have been released at some eurobookies already on Monday.








15.1.2017

FIN week 2 review


No competitive matches yet, but it will change on week 3 when FIN cup group phase and U20 league will kick off.

As all of these are friendlies there is not much point to look at the result, expect perhaps from a betting point of view. A lot of matches were matches of two halves, a lot of substitutions were made. Mostly at half-time.

FIN nt won a game! Morocco at neutral ground, but that team is a b team who got lucky, and disposed in the next match vs Slovenia B.

HIFK tested a lot of youngsters who are not going to play this season in Veikkausliiga if ever, and their 2 goals were all down to KuPS keepers shaky hands.

Kultsu, Pepo and MiPK played a tournament with shorter playing time and a heavy schedule. We can ignore all those results.

EIF squad was a far cry of a Ykkönen one.

OPS at the moment, and at most of the moments, was a joke of a team. Managers 14 year old son played there too.

Fin u17 continue their tournament on Monday vs BLR, but more of the week in the next post.



ftahc home
9.1.2017MoroccoFinintfriendly01−1
13.1.2017SloveniaFinintfriendly200.25
13.1.2017EsPaGrIFKclubfriendly050,75
13.1.2017TPSSalPaclubfriendly11
13.1.2017HIFKKuPSclubfriendly230.75
14.1.2017KultsuMiPKclubfriendly11
14.1.2017PePoMiPKclubfriendly21
14.1.2017KultsuJippoclubfriendly24
14.1.2017JiPPOPePoclubfriendly02
14.1.2017SJKIlvesclubfriendly21
14.1.2017HJSHakaclubfriendly06
14.1.2017GnistanEIFclubfriendly300
14.1.2017JäPSViikingitclubfriendly13−0,5
14.1.2017JaroOPSclubfriendly40
14.1.2017KäPaNuPSclubfriendly210
14.1.2017LegirusEspooclubfriendly33−0,5
14.1.2017IFK MariehamnFC Ålandclubfriendly
14.1.2017KTPKuFuclubfriendly51
14.1.2017HJKPKKUwfriendly90
14.1.2017TuPSPKKUclubfriendly03
14.1.2017SJK AkatVIFKclubfriendly
14.1.2017LahtiHonkaclubfriendly21
15.1.2017PePoKultsuclubfriendly
15.1.2017SVKFinU17friendly11−0,25

9.1.2017

FIN starting lineup vs Morocco

1 Walter Viitala
5 Juhani Ojala
6 Matej Hradecky
7 Simon Skrabb
8 Juha Pirinen
11 Rasmus Schüller
13 Kari Arkivuo (C)
15 Markus Halsti
16 Sakari Mattila
20 Petteri Forsell
21 Tim Väyrynen
Vaihdossa:
12 Mika Hilander
23 Markus Uusitalo
2 Albin Granlund
3 Kristian Kojola
4 Sauli Väisänen
10 Akseli Pelvas
17 Joni Kauko
18 Robert Taylor
19 Jasse Tuominen
22 Mikko Sumusalo

FT 0-1 (0-1)

Whole match at youtube


1.1.2017

Finland football week 1/2017 preview




From now on the plan is to introduce the week of FIN football ahead on Mondays. It will not 100% guaranteed to be up to date - especially now on preseason - but the matches mentioned here will be the ones I place on Blogabet service. There will be cases when the match is not yet known on Monday but will be played over the weekend, but it does not matter in the big picture.


On year 2017 there will be +95 % FIN football only, hopefully 100%, in that case there would be only to blame and thank for the winning&losing picks. Me.


But a long story short, here are the fixtures for the week 1 in Finland:


7.1 NuPs vs Gnistan 12:00 CET


NuPs promoted to Kakkonen, Gnistan promoted from Kakkonen to Ykkönen. Indoors, 30 km distance. This very much depends on who plays - during Dec there were very little teams - but last summer this would has been some -2 ahc at the markets.


7.1. Ilves vs TPV 12:00 CET


A derby between league and Kakkonen, thus another -2 would be understandable. However for Ilves this is nothing, they will face SJK the following week and also start the cup later in Jan. I would field a lot of kids at Ilves if this was up to me. Indoors.

Edit: Ilves preview out, 5-6 best players out. Makes any big handicaps a stupid idea.



8.1. TamU vs Lahti Akatemia 17:15 CET


TamU who once were the champions have started their climb back from pub leagues after they got kicked off from FA leagues because of Perumal a few good years back. TamU will probably have a decent Kakkonen class side this year, of Lahti Akatemia one will never know beforehand as they are the reserves of the Lahti league team. Indoors.

Not yet the busiest of weeks, but there are some 70 fixtures in January and there will be a lot of gems out there, and there will be a plenty of live picks during the preseason. Already now I know that Ilves and TamU matches have been sold to live bet reporting services and will be somewhere available.