HauPa - PS Kemi -1,25 2 64% 1,79 9/10 Sbobet
HauPa - PS Kemi O3.25 64% 1,90 9/10 Sbobet
FC Santa Claus - TP-47 -0,25 2 59% 2,05 8/10 Sbobet
FC Santa Claus - TP-47 O3.0 59% 1,92 5/10 Sbobet
FC Santa Claus - TP-47 27 20 53
o/u 2.5: 68 32
Have to say I'm a bit puzzled with these odds, PS Kemi visited Rovaniemi just a while ago and their odds barely scratched 1,70 and TP-47, who are not that far behind PS Kemi are priced at 2,00. Both teams have had long pauses lately so the forms are a question mark, but as said before TP-47's real quality is somewhere behind GBK, PK-37 and PS Kemi, and on the other side Santa Claus would likely be deservedly knee deep in the relegation battle if it were not for the Warkaus JK's antics. But as of now, there's still the tiny chance that HauPa will somehow manage to string up a couple of wins so there should be no question about motivation on either side. With totals I'd lean more towards under, as Santa have been quite defense-oriented during the past few months and TP-47 is certainly not among the highest scoring teams this year.
HauPa - PS Kemi 10 13 77
o/u 2.5: 77 23
This is mainly a bet against HauPa, who have been completely outmatched in their last few games. Against PK-37 they still had some life left, but after that it hasn't looked pretty for them as TP-47 and a heavily undermanned GBK side easily dominated them. And last week it was KPV's, whose last win against anyone worth of note was from June 20, turn to beat them. PS Kemi's away woes have been well-documented and their promotion dream is more like a pipe dream, though they do have two h2h matches against AC Kajaani left. However, the fact is that after midsummer they've played as good as anyone apart from AC Kajaani, with their PK-37 loss being the only game where they played poorly. The over should be an equally good opportunity as PS Kemi's foreigners are still in scorching hot form and if there's one thing HauPa has been able to do better this year it's goalscoring (defending has of course been a completely different story).
30.8.2012
29.8.2012
AC Oulu - OPS 29.8.
A few words about today's match before bidding farewell to Kakkonen's lined games tomorrow. The return of Nurmos is important for AC Oulu's defense, because in spite of his young age he has been almost as important as Hietanen in the defense line. Ojala importance is a so-so, as T. Siira has for the most of time been an adequate replacement for him. OPS' new players have obviously created a huge buzz, but according to the KooTeePee reports and what I saw against JIPPO they are not any better than the previous guys who were kicked out in the middle of the season. However, the most important thing is that they seem to be a step ahead of the likes of Huovinen, Juntunen and the juniors, who honestly have no skills to play in Ykkönen level so the overall effect for the team is positive (and for Finnish football, it's obviously the opposite).
AC Oulu has a really bad loss against HIFK from last week, but they've been a completely different team in away games so I wouldn't put too much weight on it when looking at this game. Even their two away wins (JIPPO, KooTeePee) have been quite lucky, but when playing at home they've even dominated RoPS for a one half in that 0-0 game, and have, for the most part, deserved their unbeaten (outside the cabinet) home record. OPS' new dawn is still a bit up in the air; KooTeePee win wasn't that convincing and JIPPO looked really uninterested and perhaps not motivated against them. AC Oulu is obviously the better team, but betting on them at -0,5 line is not interesting at all even when keeping in mind that OPS has no local supporters other than the player families; in fact OPS-jp would be a more appealing selection with these odds if forced to pick anything in the 1x2/handicap markets.
The odds for over have dropped considerably today, and if OPS continues to play in the same way as they did against JIPPO, where they fielded a 3 man defense, the over would definitely look good. And even if they wouldn't, they'll probably not adapt bus tactics which in AC Oulu's case usually means goals (just check the results outside JIPPO, FC Hämeenlinna, HIFK). However, despite the midsummer slump of OPS dragging their averages down, OPS isn't that explosive offensively even on a good day. Seeing that the over-hyped Leandro Costa is Jaksic-level at best, the goods and the goals will again have to come from the individual talents of Ngambe x2, Ramirez and set-pieces, so all in all with the 1,81 offered for the over 2.5 I'd prefer waiting for a few minutes for the odds to rise.
AC Oulu has a really bad loss against HIFK from last week, but they've been a completely different team in away games so I wouldn't put too much weight on it when looking at this game. Even their two away wins (JIPPO, KooTeePee) have been quite lucky, but when playing at home they've even dominated RoPS for a one half in that 0-0 game, and have, for the most part, deserved their unbeaten (outside the cabinet) home record. OPS' new dawn is still a bit up in the air; KooTeePee win wasn't that convincing and JIPPO looked really uninterested and perhaps not motivated against them. AC Oulu is obviously the better team, but betting on them at -0,5 line is not interesting at all even when keeping in mind that OPS has no local supporters other than the player families; in fact OPS-jp would be a more appealing selection with these odds if forced to pick anything in the 1x2/handicap markets.
The odds for over have dropped considerably today, and if OPS continues to play in the same way as they did against JIPPO, where they fielded a 3 man defense, the over would definitely look good. And even if they wouldn't, they'll probably not adapt bus tactics which in AC Oulu's case usually means goals (just check the results outside JIPPO, FC Hämeenlinna, HIFK). However, despite the midsummer slump of OPS dragging their averages down, OPS isn't that explosive offensively even on a good day. Seeing that the over-hyped Leandro Costa is Jaksic-level at best, the goods and the goals will again have to come from the individual talents of Ngambe x2, Ramirez and set-pieces, so all in all with the 1,81 offered for the over 2.5 I'd prefer waiting for a few minutes for the odds to rise.
21.8.2012
FIN U18 vs Switzerland early Sept 2012
Looks like the FA read closely the fan forums
Ville Viljala, JJK
Frédéric Gotte, AS Monaco
Rasmus Kautto, HJK
Hampus Holmgren, VIFK
Joel Mero, FC Lahti
Ville-Valtteri Starck, TPS
Saku Kvist, FC KooTeePee
Lucas Gabrielsson, TPS
Glen Kamara, Arsenal FC
Simon Skrabb, FF Jaro
Teppo Syrjänen, TPV
Toni Viljanen, FC Inter
Jerry Voutilainen, KuPS
Riku Sjöroos, TPS
Matej Hradecky, TPS
Joonas Jokinen, Wycombe Wanderers
Mikko Viitikko, HJK
Youness Rahimi, FC Honka
Ville Viljala, JJK
Frédéric Gotte, AS Monaco
Rasmus Kautto, HJK
Hampus Holmgren, VIFK
Joel Mero, FC Lahti
Ville-Valtteri Starck, TPS
Saku Kvist, FC KooTeePee
Lucas Gabrielsson, TPS
Glen Kamara, Arsenal FC
Simon Skrabb, FF Jaro
Teppo Syrjänen, TPV
Toni Viljanen, FC Inter
Jerry Voutilainen, KuPS
Riku Sjöroos, TPS
Matej Hradecky, TPS
Joonas Jokinen, Wycombe Wanderers
Mikko Viitikko, HJK
Youness Rahimi, FC Honka
20.8.2012
18.8.2012
Kakkonen Pohjoinen 18.8.
HauPa - GBK 40 20 40
o/u 2.5: 72 28
GBK is suffering from a severe player shortage, because in addition to their long-term injured players (T. Wentin, Halonen, Smith) they have three more players suspended (Jylhä, Svenlin, Roiko), who all were more or less regular starters. And if that wasn't enough, they have had huge problems with HauPa everytime they've played against them, in fact it isn't that much of a stretch to say that HauPa has been the better team or at least equal in every modern era encounter these two have had. However, even with all the sidelined players and not so good history I think having HauPa as a favorite would be just too much. The loss of Räisänen to FC Dreeverit in the off-season has obviously been an issue since HauPa's defense is just a shadow of what it was last year. Considering that they let in almost double the amount of goals last season when Räisänen wasn't playing, that probably doesn't come as that big of a surprise when keeping in mind that they didn't bring any noteworthy replacements in. In the last few weeks HauPa has been somewhat competitive, and they look to have no significant injuries apart from Paldan, who has somehow scored three goals, and Reinikainen (questionable), who has been a regular starter in the center of the defense. GBK does have that infamous Warkaus JK loss in their recent games, but overall I can't say that they've played any worse than HauPa during the past few weeks. For all their fighting spirit, HauPa just doesn't possess enough quality for this level, so even at home it would be really difficult to find value with the current odds.
o/u 2.5: 72 28
GBK is suffering from a severe player shortage, because in addition to their long-term injured players (T. Wentin, Halonen, Smith) they have three more players suspended (Jylhä, Svenlin, Roiko), who all were more or less regular starters. And if that wasn't enough, they have had huge problems with HauPa everytime they've played against them, in fact it isn't that much of a stretch to say that HauPa has been the better team or at least equal in every modern era encounter these two have had. However, even with all the sidelined players and not so good history I think having HauPa as a favorite would be just too much. The loss of Räisänen to FC Dreeverit in the off-season has obviously been an issue since HauPa's defense is just a shadow of what it was last year. Considering that they let in almost double the amount of goals last season when Räisänen wasn't playing, that probably doesn't come as that big of a surprise when keeping in mind that they didn't bring any noteworthy replacements in. In the last few weeks HauPa has been somewhat competitive, and they look to have no significant injuries apart from Paldan, who has somehow scored three goals, and Reinikainen (questionable), who has been a regular starter in the center of the defense. GBK does have that infamous Warkaus JK loss in their recent games, but overall I can't say that they've played any worse than HauPa during the past few weeks. For all their fighting spirit, HauPa just doesn't possess enough quality for this level, so even at home it would be really difficult to find value with the current odds.
17.8.2012
Kakkonen Pohjoinen 17.8
KPV - AC Kajaani O3.5 56% 1,89 4/10 Sbobet
KPV - AC Kajaani -0,75 2 63% 1,73 8/10 188bet
FC YPA - PK-37 O3.0 62% 1,89 7/10 Sbobet
FC YPA - PK-37 +0.0 2 54% 2,08 5/10 188bet
KPV - AC Kajaani 17 16 67
o/u 2.5: 76 24
Time for an exaggerated kneejerk reaction again, KPV has been actually as bad as OPS-jp during the past few months if we disregard that Warkaus JK win, where the visitors played almost half of the game with a 9-man squad. In other words, their ranking needed to be downsized a lot. AC Kajaani could be a little rusty, as their last "competitive" game was nearly three weeks ago. Like you can see from the table, they've mastered the rather important art of winning so without actually seeing the games there's not much you can say about them. Other than those few games against PK-37 and PS Kemi, they've ran almost unopposed for most of the season. Of course, away games can be tricky, like we could see from PS Kemi's bumbling yesterday and AC Kajaani is no exception to that as almost all of their dropped points have been in away games, but overall there's a big difference in quality and most likely in form too so let's hope that ACK will not pull a Kemi today.
FC YPA - PK-37 36 21 43
o/u 2.5: 70 30
If I wasn't fully sold on YPA's upward form before, I can't really argue against it after they completely manhandled GBK last week. They're now practically playing with a full squad, so for once the excuses have been likely valid. Against most teams it would probably be a good idea to ride the YPA train, but PK-37 deserves to be given credit for their good season. They're one of the few teams, or probably the second team along with ACK, who are able to pull consistent performances round after round, so despite their non-star-studded squad it's not really a fluke that they're second in the league. PK-37 missed their playmaker Sirviö (né Rönkkö) last week, but he should be back now.
KPV - AC Kajaani -0,75 2 63% 1,73 8/10 188bet
FC YPA - PK-37 O3.0 62% 1,89 7/10 Sbobet
FC YPA - PK-37 +0.0 2 54% 2,08 5/10 188bet
KPV - AC Kajaani 17 16 67
o/u 2.5: 76 24
Time for an exaggerated kneejerk reaction again, KPV has been actually as bad as OPS-jp during the past few months if we disregard that Warkaus JK win, where the visitors played almost half of the game with a 9-man squad. In other words, their ranking needed to be downsized a lot. AC Kajaani could be a little rusty, as their last "competitive" game was nearly three weeks ago. Like you can see from the table, they've mastered the rather important art of winning so without actually seeing the games there's not much you can say about them. Other than those few games against PK-37 and PS Kemi, they've ran almost unopposed for most of the season. Of course, away games can be tricky, like we could see from PS Kemi's bumbling yesterday and AC Kajaani is no exception to that as almost all of their dropped points have been in away games, but overall there's a big difference in quality and most likely in form too so let's hope that ACK will not pull a Kemi today.
FC YPA - PK-37 36 21 43
o/u 2.5: 70 30
If I wasn't fully sold on YPA's upward form before, I can't really argue against it after they completely manhandled GBK last week. They're now practically playing with a full squad, so for once the excuses have been likely valid. Against most teams it would probably be a good idea to ride the YPA train, but PK-37 deserves to be given credit for their good season. They're one of the few teams, or probably the second team along with ACK, who are able to pull consistent performances round after round, so despite their non-star-studded squad it's not really a fluke that they're second in the league. PK-37 missed their playmaker Sirviö (né Rönkkö) last week, but he should be back now.
16.8.2012
Kakkonen Pohjoinen 16.8.
FC Santa Claus - PS Kemi -0,75 2 62% 1,81 7/10 188bet
FC Santa Claus - PS Kemi O3.5 53,5% 1,94 2/10 188bet
FC Santa Claus - PS Kemi 17 17 66
o/u 2.5: 74 26
As sad as it is to see a team not be able to field 11 players, Warkaus JK's withdrawal could be a blessing in disguise because it means that AC Kajaani's lead is much slimmer now. PS Kemi is obviously one of the leading candidates to dethrone AC Kajaani. Aside from their weak performance against PK-37, they've definitely started to resemble a promotion chasing team in the last weeks. Reports tell that Santa's draw last week against PK-37 was extremely undeserved and overall they haven't shown anything worthwhile lately besides that 0-2 loss to YPA. However, Santa Claus isn't Korsholm, so the 1,50 type of odds for the away win are not really inviting. The same goes for the over 3.5, since the PK-37 report tells that Santa Claus are playing with total bus tactics now, which does make sense as they have let in more than a one goal just a couple of times in the last month or so. On the other hand PS Kemi's attack is easily the second best this year; their foreign players especially have been in red hot form lately, so I can't say that under would appeal either. Injury situation is not known at the moment, but PS Kemi should be free of injuries assuming no one has gotten hurt this week. edit: -0,75 is naturally not what I expected, so you can discard everything that's written above.
FC Santa Claus - PS Kemi O3.5 53,5% 1,94 2/10 188bet
FC Santa Claus - PS Kemi 17 17 66
o/u 2.5: 74 26
As sad as it is to see a team not be able to field 11 players, Warkaus JK's withdrawal could be a blessing in disguise because it means that AC Kajaani's lead is much slimmer now. PS Kemi is obviously one of the leading candidates to dethrone AC Kajaani. Aside from their weak performance against PK-37, they've definitely started to resemble a promotion chasing team in the last weeks. Reports tell that Santa's draw last week against PK-37 was extremely undeserved and overall they haven't shown anything worthwhile lately besides that 0-2 loss to YPA. However, Santa Claus isn't Korsholm, so the 1,50 type of odds for the away win are not really inviting. The same goes for the over 3.5, since the PK-37 report tells that Santa Claus are playing with total bus tactics now, which does make sense as they have let in more than a one goal just a couple of times in the last month or so. On the other hand PS Kemi's attack is easily the second best this year; their foreign players especially have been in red hot form lately, so I can't say that under would appeal either. Injury situation is not known at the moment, but PS Kemi should be free of injuries assuming no one has gotten hurt this week. edit: -0,75 is naturally not what I expected, so you can discard everything that's written above.
15.8.2012
FIN Veikkausliiga Sep 26th 2012
No updates anymore today, fingers crossed now for Inter goal!
JJK keeper Korhonen so far being close to destroy my day.
80 m MyPa 1-0. Well-deserved.
VPS better now and sounds like a late goal for someone here.
Inter again looking for a late winner.
Lahti top scorer Nguekam 2nd yellow.
Games sound settled now, Jaro had a great chance.
Stadion contact expects 4-0 for HJK.
2-2 MIFK. Sub scored. Well done!
TPS 1-0 Agyeman. Totally different half now. Lively.
Haka fight for their lives but must get tired under constant pressure.
59 min MIFK sub df out - striker in. Lahti keep on doing well.
56 min at TPS vs VPS. Game has turned out to be lively. Still 0-0 though.
Lahti praised at MIFK and sound confident and aggressive.
51 min at JJK - game, Inter much closer to win so far.
MyPa Sihvola another great chance. They should win. Sub df out, striker in.
Honka best chance so far, still 1-0.
HJK 3-0 Pelvas.
news - RoPS top striker Kokko out rest of the season.
Jaro bring in quality kid Skrabb.
2nd half start soon. MyPa stream for example here.
Time for half-time sausages and beer.
Jaro in full control.
HJK been dominant, should be up more than 2-0.
No chances at TPS - VPS. TPS unable to create the game as expected.
MyPa close to score but it remains 0-0. Haka sub out attacking mf and bring in df mf C. Matrone.
MIFK vs Lahti 1-2. Nguekam 38.
HJK sub OUT injured cb Lahti - IN Moren.
MIFK vs Lahti still running coast to coast.
Haka red card. Df Sanevuori 2nd yellow.
Jaro 1-0 at 44, Niang.
HJK control 100-0. Waiting for more HJK goals.
Not much happening at TPS vs VPS. Host only slighly better.
MyPa (Sihvola) very close of scoring into an empty net. MyPa control and Haka are under pressure.
It is a rainy and stormy night at someplaces and cool in every venue if not cold.
At JJK game Inter´s Sirbiladze had already 3 great chances but missed.
HJK 2-0, Pelvas. Sounds like HJK are having fun with KuPS today who think about next game already.
26 min, TPS slightly better but very slow game.
MyPa in control vs Haka.
Inter taking command now. Have taken them to win at 2
1-1 at MIFK at 21, Nguekam pass to Hauhia a great ball. Souds fast and overish.
Jaro been dominating strongly lately.
HJK 1-0 16th min Savage. Easy goal and a deserved one.
Lahti are in the game at MIFK and it is open an even.
JJK vs Inter is coast-to-coast game and goals should start pouring in.
At JJK top scorer Gruburovics plays as cb, both have had chances already.
At Jaro a slow start with slight home dominance. Only half chances so far.
One good chance for HJK so far.
Slow start at TPS vs VPS. 1 shot in 10 minutes.
MyPa start with 5 defenders and sound nervous.
1-0 was a great effort bt Kangaskolkka (MIFK). MIFK also hit the post once.
At JJK game one half a chance already for both.
Jaro 4th df is new guy Irwin.
MIFK to score first. 1st minute 1-0.
RoPS CEO interviewed, new players promised for 2013.
Kick-off getting nearer.
Lineups:
HJK regular, Väyrynen and Mattila not starting and Väyrynen was missed vs Inter, upfront Pohjanpalo and Pelvas but look good as always;
KuPS stronger than expected and they have also signed a new american kid Johann Smith from some unknown place with unknown methods as the transfer window should be closed. They say he is a striker.
******
Jaro without 3 defenders Sara, Vaganov and Vasiljev as known earlier
Honka rotate heavily. Gk Viitala likely to concede at least one easy goal and only the cb captain Heikkilä looks like a player likely to start also on Saturday in the cup final. A few recovering players, some regular subs and 5 players from the reserves. Jaro definitely deserve being favourites, how big exactly is hard to tell under these a bit special circumstances.
TPS about the same than last time away at Honka
VPS benched gk Henriksson and let inexperienced Kevari to start. Dont know him too well, have my doubts though. Df Uimaniemi returns, winger Strandvall also on bench.
***
MyPa only slight surprise is cb Aho not starting, Haka are at their strongest.
***
MIFK without df Trafford and have young Nordström instead. A bit of weakening there. 1st choice keeper still out but it is no problem.
Lahti preview seemed to be wrong with the suspensions as only Rafael is missing. (Lepola too but not missed)
********
JJK miss two centerbacks due suspension and one by injury so there are changes. JJK´s mystery preview tried to make a good thing as Inter have previosly pressed the centerbacks hard but now they do not know what to expect. I am not sure who the other cb there is alongside Pasoja but this is unlikely any stronger JJK defense than they have had before. It could be mf Tuomanen, or someone else.
Inter no surprises and they came out early with the lineup as they often do as they have nothing to hide.
Inter to win.!
HJK vs KuPS not out yet.
JJK keeper Korhonen so far being close to destroy my day.
80 m MyPa 1-0. Well-deserved.
VPS better now and sounds like a late goal for someone here.
Inter again looking for a late winner.
Lahti top scorer Nguekam 2nd yellow.
Games sound settled now, Jaro had a great chance.
Stadion contact expects 4-0 for HJK.
2-2 MIFK. Sub scored. Well done!
TPS 1-0 Agyeman. Totally different half now. Lively.
Haka fight for their lives but must get tired under constant pressure.
59 min MIFK sub df out - striker in. Lahti keep on doing well.
56 min at TPS vs VPS. Game has turned out to be lively. Still 0-0 though.
Lahti praised at MIFK and sound confident and aggressive.
51 min at JJK - game, Inter much closer to win so far.
MyPa Sihvola another great chance. They should win. Sub df out, striker in.
Honka best chance so far, still 1-0.
HJK 3-0 Pelvas.
news - RoPS top striker Kokko out rest of the season.
Jaro bring in quality kid Skrabb.
2nd half start soon. MyPa stream for example here.
Time for half-time sausages and beer.
Jaro in full control.
HJK been dominant, should be up more than 2-0.
No chances at TPS - VPS. TPS unable to create the game as expected.
MyPa close to score but it remains 0-0. Haka sub out attacking mf and bring in df mf C. Matrone.
MIFK vs Lahti 1-2. Nguekam 38.
HJK sub OUT injured cb Lahti - IN Moren.
MIFK vs Lahti still running coast to coast.
Haka red card. Df Sanevuori 2nd yellow.
Jaro 1-0 at 44, Niang.
HJK control 100-0. Waiting for more HJK goals.
Not much happening at TPS vs VPS. Host only slighly better.
MyPa (Sihvola) very close of scoring into an empty net. MyPa control and Haka are under pressure.
It is a rainy and stormy night at someplaces and cool in every venue if not cold.
At JJK game Inter´s Sirbiladze had already 3 great chances but missed.
HJK 2-0, Pelvas. Sounds like HJK are having fun with KuPS today who think about next game already.
26 min, TPS slightly better but very slow game.
MyPa in control vs Haka.
Inter taking command now. Have taken them to win at 2
1-1 at MIFK at 21, Nguekam pass to Hauhia a great ball. Souds fast and overish.
Jaro been dominating strongly lately.
HJK 1-0 16th min Savage. Easy goal and a deserved one.
Lahti are in the game at MIFK and it is open an even.
JJK vs Inter is coast-to-coast game and goals should start pouring in.
At JJK top scorer Gruburovics plays as cb, both have had chances already.
At Jaro a slow start with slight home dominance. Only half chances so far.
One good chance for HJK so far.
Slow start at TPS vs VPS. 1 shot in 10 minutes.
MyPa start with 5 defenders and sound nervous.
1-0 was a great effort bt Kangaskolkka (MIFK). MIFK also hit the post once.
At JJK game one half a chance already for both.
Jaro 4th df is new guy Irwin.
MIFK to score first. 1st minute 1-0.
RoPS CEO interviewed, new players promised for 2013.
Kick-off getting nearer.
Lineups:
HJK regular, Väyrynen and Mattila not starting and Väyrynen was missed vs Inter, upfront Pohjanpalo and Pelvas but look good as always;
KuPS stronger than expected and they have also signed a new american kid Johann Smith from some unknown place with unknown methods as the transfer window should be closed. They say he is a striker.
******
Jaro without 3 defenders Sara, Vaganov and Vasiljev as known earlier
Honka rotate heavily. Gk Viitala likely to concede at least one easy goal and only the cb captain Heikkilä looks like a player likely to start also on Saturday in the cup final. A few recovering players, some regular subs and 5 players from the reserves. Jaro definitely deserve being favourites, how big exactly is hard to tell under these a bit special circumstances.
TPS about the same than last time away at Honka
VPS benched gk Henriksson and let inexperienced Kevari to start. Dont know him too well, have my doubts though. Df Uimaniemi returns, winger Strandvall also on bench.
***
MyPa only slight surprise is cb Aho not starting, Haka are at their strongest.
***
MIFK without df Trafford and have young Nordström instead. A bit of weakening there. 1st choice keeper still out but it is no problem.
Lahti preview seemed to be wrong with the suspensions as only Rafael is missing. (Lepola too but not missed)
********
JJK miss two centerbacks due suspension and one by injury so there are changes. JJK´s mystery preview tried to make a good thing as Inter have previosly pressed the centerbacks hard but now they do not know what to expect. I am not sure who the other cb there is alongside Pasoja but this is unlikely any stronger JJK defense than they have had before. It could be mf Tuomanen, or someone else.
Inter no surprises and they came out early with the lineup as they often do as they have nothing to hide.
Inter to win.!
HJK vs KuPS not out yet.
14.8.2012
FIN U19 away in Sweden
Starting lineup:
Daniel Kollár, FC Honka
Lassi Nurmos, AC Oulu
Ville Rannikko, TPS
Dani Hatakka, FC Honka
Felipe Aspegren, HJK
Emerik Grönroos, HJK
Jesper Brechtel, Karlsruher SC
Matti Klinga, FC Lahti
Patrick Aaltonen, FC Honka
Jaakko Hietikko, FC Honka
Kasperi Liikonen, FC Espoo
Subs
Carljohan Eriksson, HJK
Kaarlo Kervinen, HJK
Tuure Siira, AC Oulu
Topi Järvinen, JJK
Matias Louanto, FC Inter
Riku Heinonen, JäPS
Matti Saari, HIFK
Carljohan Eriksson, HJK
Kaarlo Kervinen, HJK
Tuure Siira, AC Oulu
Topi Järvinen, JJK
Matias Louanto, FC Inter
Riku Heinonen, JäPS
Matti Saari, HIFK
FIN U21 vs Lithuania Aug 15th at Turku
Saku-Pekka Sahlgren
Walter Viitala, FC Honka
Tapio Heikkilä, FC Honka
Valtteri Moren, HJK
Samu Nieminen, JJK
Mikko Sumusalo, HJK
Henri Toivomäki, Almere City
Atte Hoivala, KuPS
Joni Kauko, FC Inter
Rasmus Schüller, HJK
Juho Lähde, TPS
Robin Lod, HJK
Lauri Dalla Valle, Fulham FC
Tim Väyrynen, FC Honka
Joel Pohjanpalo, HJK
Kalle Kauppi, FC Inter
Nikolai Alho, HJK
Aleksi Paananen, KuPS
11.8.2012
Kakkonen 11.8.
PK-37 - FC Santa Claus 68 16 16
o/u 2.5: 72 28
PK-37 great run this year is certainly something that should be applauded, and it shows that you can actually have some success with a team composed of local players as long as you have patience and some luck too. However, I can't help but to think that the quality of Northern group has taken a step backward this year; PS Kemi and KPV suffering from a relegation hangover, Santa Claus teetering on the brink of financial collapse, Warkaus and YPA having severe player shortage at times, TP-47 having a terrible first 1/3 of the season and HauPa being just plain bad. Nevertheless, 1.35-1.45 level odds are fully deserved, since Santa Claus is simply not in PK-37's level at any department. Perusing RoPS' preview I can see that it's unlikely that Santa will get anyone from there, otherwise it's a total guesswork who's out. PK-37 looks to be in full strength apart from their madman goalkeeper Kosonen, who's still serving his suspension.
AC Kajaani - Warkaus JK 89 7 4
o/u 2.5: 85 15
Really weird odds for AC Kajaani. Warkaus JK pulled off an improbably feat last week they won GBK after being one goal down and playing with 10 men, but drawing from the sparse information available it was just a case of mental breakdown on GBK's part. Other than that their standard of play has been, to put it kindly, really inadequate in post-Markkanen games. Of the many things that AC Kajaani have excelled in during this season has been their ruthlessness against the poorer sides; in fact they haven't lost a single point against them the whole year. If I'm interpreting FF2 correctly AC will miss their captain Heikkinen. He has scored an impressive amount of goals, but I assume that's just the Sohlo effect where anyone could score a lot of goals when playing alongside better players, because he didn't show any quality couple of years ago. Warkaus managed to get three substitutes in the bench for the last match so their situation is "improving", but based on what the team has said on the local newspapers they wouldn't be bothered with the possible relegation, so unlike with TP-47 and FC YPA, no help will be coming from the outside.
PS Kemi - KPV 62 18 20
o/u 2.5: 73 27
KPV hasn't been at their best lately, but giving PS Kemi almost the same kind of odds that they had against Warkaus is just insulting to KPV. PS Kemi at home is surely not something that should be disrespected, but KPV has already beaten them twice deservedly this year and the class difference should in no way warrant an estimation of 70 % for the home team. The red card of KPV's Kalliokoski is obviously a big blow, so the over could serve as a good cover for the handicap since KPV hasn't really looked like an under-team recently even when he has been playing. In addition to Kalliokoski, former Veikkausliiga player Koskela has left but he only played a few games for them anyway. PS Kemi should have no injury worries.
GBK - FC YPA 58 18 24
o/u 2.5: 74 26
YPA continued their upward form against Santa Claus, but according to the reports it was a pretty even game. Apart from one long-term injured player, they finally have a full squad to choose from. That's, of course, makes the job of predicting even harder than usual. In theory, with players like Pejic, Pakola, Heikkilä, Akmetkhanov and Vuletic they shouldn't have any worry about relegation, but last year and the start of this have been really disappointing even when playing at full strength. Because most of the players are not even that old, the reason for their downfall could be the substandard coaching of the former manager Myllykangas and this year's inexperienced Kostinschuk, or as it's often the case, the whole organisation has become stagnant according to the forum talk. Even with numerous wins against the best sides of the group lately, GBK hasn't really been at the top of their game in the past weeks. However, against the YPA-like sides they've been pretty good, so I can't really get excited about the lousy odds for the away win. GBK's player situation seems to be more or less the same as last week.
o/u 2.5: 72 28
PK-37 great run this year is certainly something that should be applauded, and it shows that you can actually have some success with a team composed of local players as long as you have patience and some luck too. However, I can't help but to think that the quality of Northern group has taken a step backward this year; PS Kemi and KPV suffering from a relegation hangover, Santa Claus teetering on the brink of financial collapse, Warkaus and YPA having severe player shortage at times, TP-47 having a terrible first 1/3 of the season and HauPa being just plain bad. Nevertheless, 1.35-1.45 level odds are fully deserved, since Santa Claus is simply not in PK-37's level at any department. Perusing RoPS' preview I can see that it's unlikely that Santa will get anyone from there, otherwise it's a total guesswork who's out. PK-37 looks to be in full strength apart from their madman goalkeeper Kosonen, who's still serving his suspension.
AC Kajaani - Warkaus JK 89 7 4
o/u 2.5: 85 15
Really weird odds for AC Kajaani. Warkaus JK pulled off an improbably feat last week they won GBK after being one goal down and playing with 10 men, but drawing from the sparse information available it was just a case of mental breakdown on GBK's part. Other than that their standard of play has been, to put it kindly, really inadequate in post-Markkanen games. Of the many things that AC Kajaani have excelled in during this season has been their ruthlessness against the poorer sides; in fact they haven't lost a single point against them the whole year. If I'm interpreting FF2 correctly AC will miss their captain Heikkinen. He has scored an impressive amount of goals, but I assume that's just the Sohlo effect where anyone could score a lot of goals when playing alongside better players, because he didn't show any quality couple of years ago. Warkaus managed to get three substitutes in the bench for the last match so their situation is "improving", but based on what the team has said on the local newspapers they wouldn't be bothered with the possible relegation, so unlike with TP-47 and FC YPA, no help will be coming from the outside.
PS Kemi - KPV 62 18 20
o/u 2.5: 73 27
KPV hasn't been at their best lately, but giving PS Kemi almost the same kind of odds that they had against Warkaus is just insulting to KPV. PS Kemi at home is surely not something that should be disrespected, but KPV has already beaten them twice deservedly this year and the class difference should in no way warrant an estimation of 70 % for the home team. The red card of KPV's Kalliokoski is obviously a big blow, so the over could serve as a good cover for the handicap since KPV hasn't really looked like an under-team recently even when he has been playing. In addition to Kalliokoski, former Veikkausliiga player Koskela has left but he only played a few games for them anyway. PS Kemi should have no injury worries.
GBK - FC YPA 58 18 24
o/u 2.5: 74 26
YPA continued their upward form against Santa Claus, but according to the reports it was a pretty even game. Apart from one long-term injured player, they finally have a full squad to choose from. That's, of course, makes the job of predicting even harder than usual. In theory, with players like Pejic, Pakola, Heikkilä, Akmetkhanov and Vuletic they shouldn't have any worry about relegation, but last year and the start of this have been really disappointing even when playing at full strength. Because most of the players are not even that old, the reason for their downfall could be the substandard coaching of the former manager Myllykangas and this year's inexperienced Kostinschuk, or as it's often the case, the whole organisation has become stagnant according to the forum talk. Even with numerous wins against the best sides of the group lately, GBK hasn't really been at the top of their game in the past weeks. However, against the YPA-like sides they've been pretty good, so I can't really get excited about the lousy odds for the away win. GBK's player situation seems to be more or less the same as last week.
9.8.2012
Kakkonen 9.8.
TP-47 - HauPa -0,75 1 60,5% 1,81 6/10 188bet
TP-47 - HauPa U3.25 56% 1,90 3/10 188bet
TP-47 - HauPa 65 19 16
o/u 2.5: 62 38
Okay, so as you can see from the odds this is not a relegation battle in a classical sense, because TP-47's performances and likely the squad too is top-4 material at the moment, and HauPa's position is mostly right considering their capabilities. HauPa looks like they miss a couple of players (at least Hanhela and Halmet), but they're not exactly key players. TP-47 had a long list of injuries in their preview, but as usual they were not correct at all because Kovalev, Konde and Gullsten are playing. The suspensions of Ahonpää and Väänänen especially are tough losses, but they still easily have enough quality left. I have to admit that I haven't had a clue about totals lately (or it's just bad luck), but this game should definitely have potential to be quite low scoring. Apart from that last week's strange match against KPV, TP-47 haven't gone over 3 goals since the coaching change and principally they've been a really boring team during the past couple of years. HauPa's away record is of course bothersome and their defense is not like last year, but lately they've shown much better defending ability. PK-37 match did have four goal in it, but based on what I saw that was simply PK-37 being extremely efficient in converting their few chances. HauPa's attacking play on the other hand was as bad as I remembered, with their good chances limited to the goal and one shot that hit the crossbar.
TP-47 - HauPa U3.25 56% 1,90 3/10 188bet
TP-47 - HauPa 65 19 16
o/u 2.5: 62 38
Okay, so as you can see from the odds this is not a relegation battle in a classical sense, because TP-47's performances and likely the squad too is top-4 material at the moment, and HauPa's position is mostly right considering their capabilities. HauPa looks like they miss a couple of players (at least Hanhela and Halmet), but they're not exactly key players. TP-47 had a long list of injuries in their preview, but as usual they were not correct at all because Kovalev, Konde and Gullsten are playing. The suspensions of Ahonpää and Väänänen especially are tough losses, but they still easily have enough quality left. I have to admit that I haven't had a clue about totals lately (or it's just bad luck), but this game should definitely have potential to be quite low scoring. Apart from that last week's strange match against KPV, TP-47 haven't gone over 3 goals since the coaching change and principally they've been a really boring team during the past couple of years. HauPa's away record is of course bothersome and their defense is not like last year, but lately they've shown much better defending ability. PK-37 match did have four goal in it, but based on what I saw that was simply PK-37 being extremely efficient in converting their few chances. HauPa's attacking play on the other hand was as bad as I remembered, with their good chances limited to the goal and one shot that hit the crossbar.
5.8.2012
Kakkonen 5.8.
Warkaus JK - GBK 24 19 57
o/u 2.5: 73 27
For the last couple of months Warkaus has just been annihilated by every team worth anything, so hopefully ze asians won't follow Veikkaus odds too closely because anything over 2,00 would be very tasty for the away team. Warkaus seems to have still trouble scraping up a full line-up, which is quite sad even for this level so who knows who they will field this time. GBK probably still misses their long term injured players Smith, Wentin and Halonen.
KPV - TP-47 39 24 37
o/u 2.5: 55 45
KPV has had some bad luck lately, but even so they're not playing at the same level of effectiveness as they did during the first part of the season. TP-47 is almost the complete opposite; they've played really good after the coaching change and going by the reports their real quality is firmly among the AC Kajaani -chasing trio of PS Kemi, GBK and PK-37. KPV's key player and their captain Kalliokoski was injured in PK-37 game. Additionally they will probably miss at least some of the younger players due to army, but that should not affect them too much. TP-47's regular starters Kovalev and Herala are likely to be out.
o/u 2.5: 73 27
For the last couple of months Warkaus has just been annihilated by every team worth anything, so hopefully ze asians won't follow Veikkaus odds too closely because anything over 2,00 would be very tasty for the away team. Warkaus seems to have still trouble scraping up a full line-up, which is quite sad even for this level so who knows who they will field this time. GBK probably still misses their long term injured players Smith, Wentin and Halonen.
KPV - TP-47 39 24 37
o/u 2.5: 55 45
KPV has had some bad luck lately, but even so they're not playing at the same level of effectiveness as they did during the first part of the season. TP-47 is almost the complete opposite; they've played really good after the coaching change and going by the reports their real quality is firmly among the AC Kajaani -chasing trio of PS Kemi, GBK and PK-37. KPV's key player and their captain Kalliokoski was injured in PK-37 game. Additionally they will probably miss at least some of the younger players due to army, but that should not affect them too much. TP-47's regular starters Kovalev and Herala are likely to be out.
4.8.2012
Kakkonen 4.8.
HauPa - PK-37 U3.0 59% 1,90 6/10 188bet
FC Santa Claus - FC YPA 43 20 37
o/u 2.5: 74 26
According to their own preview, Santa should've been injury-free but their line-ups have been wildly varied lately. In the GBK match they had to field multiple local "talents", and you have to only think about RoPS' lineups of the years past to know that it is a very very bad thing. FC YPA's Pejic wasn't in the squad last week, so the previews really can't be trusted, but other than that they seem to have all their injured players back, though some of them started from the bench. Like bookmakers, I can't really tell which one of these teams sucks more than the other at the moment, so 1x2 is probably a no bet. Santa Claus has been really lucky to pick even a single point in their latest three matches, but they have certainly proved able to hold their own against the poorer teams, plus their home record is quite impressive, at least on the paper. YPA looks to be in upward form, but the KPV win wasn't really deserved so I'll hold my judgment for a moment, but the potential should be there to at least leapfrog HauPa and Warkaus JK, and maybe Santa Claus too.
AC Kajaani - PS Kemi 55 19 26
o/u 2.5: 76 24
The class difference is likely minimal in optimal conditions, but I can't disregard the mostly hideous away performances of PS Kemi and the equally impressive home performances of AC Kajaani. No team news, but there shouldn't be any major injury worries in either side. As usual, goals should be a given when AC Kajaani plays, and if PS Kemi ever wants to justify their big promotion talk they won't come only to defend in Kajaani, because after all there's still the 13 points gap separating these teams so draw wouldn't really do any good.
HauPa - PK-37 25 23 52
o/u 2.5: 54 46
Hard to see many goals being scored in this. HauPa has seemingly clamped down their defense considerably in the last two games and PK-37 strength has usually been their defending (or it sure as heck is not their no-name striking squad). PK-37 has continued to play at a high level - the two losses being mostly down to bad luck - so I can't really agree with Veikkaus' estimations. Yes, HauPa has picked up some points in their latest games, but those have been against some of the worst sides of the league, and PK-37 has been miles ahead of Warkaus and YPA. For what I can gather, both teams should be able relatively injury-free.
FC Santa Claus - FC YPA 43 20 37
o/u 2.5: 74 26
According to their own preview, Santa should've been injury-free but their line-ups have been wildly varied lately. In the GBK match they had to field multiple local "talents", and you have to only think about RoPS' lineups of the years past to know that it is a very very bad thing. FC YPA's Pejic wasn't in the squad last week, so the previews really can't be trusted, but other than that they seem to have all their injured players back, though some of them started from the bench. Like bookmakers, I can't really tell which one of these teams sucks more than the other at the moment, so 1x2 is probably a no bet. Santa Claus has been really lucky to pick even a single point in their latest three matches, but they have certainly proved able to hold their own against the poorer teams, plus their home record is quite impressive, at least on the paper. YPA looks to be in upward form, but the KPV win wasn't really deserved so I'll hold my judgment for a moment, but the potential should be there to at least leapfrog HauPa and Warkaus JK, and maybe Santa Claus too.
AC Kajaani - PS Kemi 55 19 26
o/u 2.5: 76 24
The class difference is likely minimal in optimal conditions, but I can't disregard the mostly hideous away performances of PS Kemi and the equally impressive home performances of AC Kajaani. No team news, but there shouldn't be any major injury worries in either side. As usual, goals should be a given when AC Kajaani plays, and if PS Kemi ever wants to justify their big promotion talk they won't come only to defend in Kajaani, because after all there's still the 13 points gap separating these teams so draw wouldn't really do any good.
HauPa - PK-37 25 23 52
o/u 2.5: 54 46
Hard to see many goals being scored in this. HauPa has seemingly clamped down their defense considerably in the last two games and PK-37 strength has usually been their defending (or it sure as heck is not their no-name striking squad). PK-37 has continued to play at a high level - the two losses being mostly down to bad luck - so I can't really agree with Veikkaus' estimations. Yes, HauPa has picked up some points in their latest games, but those have been against some of the worst sides of the league, and PK-37 has been miles ahead of Warkaus and YPA. For what I can gather, both teams should be able relatively injury-free.
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