30.5.2011

No more Free Newsletters

Two basic reasons for it:

It is unfair towards paying customers to give out freebies, it has only been bits and pieces every now and then, but nevertheless I do not want my Premium customers to suffer as I rate them very highly.

My own good trust has been exploited, and though I could live with occasional requests for  short and free trial periods the experience shows that from my point of view it is not worth it. In the worst case experience  it lead to a fact where my name was used - picked from the Newsletter -  and someone was buying services on credit by pretending to be the owner of this site and being me. Trying to be positive about it is of course very flattering that I am considered to be so reliable that my name and a fake hotmail address is convincing enough, but sometimes being positive is too much asked.

******
The footballing action goes on as all leagues have some 4-7 rounds played already. Some clubs are overperforming, some are underachievers and a good few of them are very unstable with good and terrible performances both  home and away. The lower leagues have a busy schedule during international break, and there are full rounds at Ykkönen and Kakkonen.

*******


Contact admin@ftfinland.com for serious questions or feedback, or even to complain about a free pick that did not win and you lost money if you feel sharing that information helps, but since I started betting in the 90´s I have seen a few winning and losing bets and  the success or misfortune of a few single picks is not that mind-blowing experience as it may feel. All serious emails will be answered to.

29.5.2011

Week May 30th -->

30.05.11 Mon Kakkonen A Klubi04 Atlantis FC
30.05.11 Mon Ykkönen FC PoPa FC lahti
30.05.11 Mon League Haka RoPS
30.05.11 Mon League KuPS Honka
30.05.11 Mon League TPS MyPa
01.06.11 Wed Kakkonen A MPS GrIFK
01.06.11 Wed Kakkonen A IF Gnistan LPS
01.06.11 Wed Kakkonen A Pallohonka FC Kuusysi
01.06.11 Wed Kakkonen A FC Futura Kiffen
01.06.11 Wed Kakkonen B SalPa Åbo IFK
01.06.11 Wed Kakkonen B Ilves MuSa
01.06.11 Wed Kakkonen B BK-46 JäPS
01.06.11 Wed Ykkönen PK-35 Jippo
01.06.11 Wed Ykkönen KPV FC Viikingit
02.06.11 Thu Kakkonen A Klubi04 KäPa
02.06.11 Thu Kakkonen A MP KTP
02.06.11 Thu Kakkonen A Atlantis FC Sudet
02.06.11 Thu Kakkonen B FC Jazz LoPa
02.06.11 Thu Kakkonen B TiPS TPV
02.06.11 Thu Kakkonen B Närpes Kraft Ilves-Kissat
02.06.11 Thu Kakkonen B Turun Toverit P-Iirot
02.06.11 Thu Kakkonen C FC Kiisto Pallo-Kerho 37
02.06.11 Thu Kakkonen C WJK Tornion Pallo-47
02.06.11 Thu Kakkonen C YPA JBK
02.06.11 Thu Kakkonen C FC Vaajakoski Vasa IFK
02.06.11 Thu Kakkonen C HauPa Riverball
02.06.11 Thu Kakkonen C FC Santa Claus GBK
02.06.11 Thu Kakkonen C SJK ViPa
02.06.11 Thu Women PK-35 HJK
02.06.11 Thu Women F 10 NiceF
02.06.11 Thu Women FC Honka United
02.06.11 Thu Women KMF TPS
02.06.11 Thu Women Ilves ÅU
02.06.11 Thu Ykkönen HIFK FC PoPa
02.06.11 Thu Ykkönen FC lahti PS Kemi
02.06.11 Thu Ykkönen FC Hämeenlinna AC Oulu
02.06.11 Thu Ykkönen FC Espoo FC KooTeePee
03.06.11 Fri Int FIN U21 Malta
03.06.11 Fri Int San Marino FIN
05.06.11 Sun Kakkonen A Sudet IF Gnistan
05.06.11 Sun Kakkonen A FC Kuusysi FC Futura
05.06.11 Sun Kakkonen A GrIFK MP
05.06.11 Sun Kakkonen B P-Iirot BK-46
05.06.11 Sun Kakkonen B JäPS Ilves
05.06.11 Sun Kakkonen B Åbo IFK FC Jazz
05.06.11 Sun Kakkonen B LoPa TiPS
05.06.11 Sun Kakkonen B TPV Närpes Kraft
05.06.11 Sun Kakkonen C Vasa IFK HauPa
05.06.11 Sun Kakkonen C Riverball FC Santa Claus
05.06.11 Sun Kakkonen C ViPa FC Kiisto
05.06.11 Sun Kakkonen C Pallo-Kerho 37 WJK
05.06.11 Sun Kakkonen C Tornion Pallo-47 YPA
05.06.11 Sun Kakkonen C JBK FC Vaajakoski
05.06.11 Sun Ykkönen AC Oulu HIFK
05.06.11 Sun Ykkönen FC Viikingit OPS
05.06.11 Sun Ykkönen PS Kemi FC Espoo
05.06.11 Sun Ykkönen PK-35 FC Hämeenlinna
05.06.11 Sun Ykkönen FC KooTeePee KPV

The last Free Newsletter to be published on Monday

Sadly I must say that the Free Edition has come to an end.

There has been a cheater using a fake identity and saying that he is the owner of www.ftfinland.com - and using a fake hotmail - address as a contact address, something like ftfinland@hotmail.com. The problem is that this waste of space has been buying services faking to be me, and then disappeared without paying. It is very easy to prove that I have nothing to do with this, but being involved in any shit like this getting and  any bad reputation and even spending a minute of my time clearing this mess is too much.

The idiot will be exposed and caught, but I have a request to you people out there, if you think you or your friends have a problem with me talk to me first, to admin@ftfinland.com and nowhere else unless authorized from this address.

Anyway, this arsehole is the final straw, and no more free information is given or sent. Free Newsletter will become a very reasonably priced Newsletter, the main purpose is that I want to know who anyone ordering it is and there will be traces at moneybookers or at the paypal or bank.

Thanks for undestanding, when I calm down tomorrow I will create something almost Free, but for a minimal price with proper contact details.

Sad but true, the world would be a much better place without cocksuckers like this one. It relieves the pain and anger a bit that I know he will be caught. An identity theft is something that will be taken very seriously.

27.5.2011

Bull´s eye with Friday previews

Who said Ykkönen and Kakkonen are difficult?

LINK

There were even very nice 2.1 odds available for OPS before kick-off, Kiffen under dropped like a stone from line 2.75 to 2.25 for a reason.

OPS - KPV 2-0
Kiffen - KTP 1-0

26.5.2011

Finland Cup finalists found

HJK - KuPS will be played in September. HJK did beat Lahti 3-0 and KuPS earned a 0-3 away win at Mariehamn. HJK´s home match went pretty according to the plan, it was not glourious but rather a routine win over Lahti who did what they could. The notable thing bettingwise was the market behaviour in live betting as it took only some 10 minutes to drop the hc by two steps, and by HT 0-0 there was a tasty -0,75 available at 0-0.

The matches were previewed like this in the Newsletter;

*******
Well, for some clubs these are bigger than for others, but if the League Champion is also the Cup winner then the losing club in the final is still earning a place in the Europe League, and as HJK are a big favourite to do so it means that both MIFK and KuPS are only one win away from it.


HJK - Lahti
I wish I could are say that the HJK odds are still good value after been dropped two handicaps but I can not. Now they are short to say the least, but the set-up to the match remains the same, HJK are huge favourites to win, but will they beat the handicap as well? In the previous home matches HJK have beaten then pre-game hc fully only in the 4-1 win over KuPS. Against Inter it started at -0,75 and according the performance the 1-0 win is not a fair result as HJK dominated from the start, and -1.25 vs Jaro was also half lost as HJK found the net only once. Can not blame HJK at home for anything else than for wasting goal chances as there have been enough opportunities to score 4 in each match, the strikers have just missed the target by a few cents several times and/or goalkeepers have made spectacular saves. As discussed HJK away are completely another matter.

Lahti this season are playing at Ykkönen, qualitywise with their best possible line-up they are in the same basket with RoPS and Haka, but as they still do miss several players due injury it is extremely difficult to see them capable of causing any shock today. At Ykkönen they have had problems in creating goal chances and in finishing them, last round they came back from Oulu with a deserved 2-0 loss.

There is big rivarly between the teams, or more like between the fans. Several players and even manager Muurinen have come to HJK from Lahti, and it has never been taken lightly at Lahti, but it should have no impact on the pitch and among the players the atmosphere should remain friendly as always.

What can I say? Nothing would make me take Lahti in this match, but it would require some magic to make these current home odds look like value tonight. HJK home win likely, even by two goals, but at -1.75 it is not good enough. Lahti unlikely to score which also makes the total markets unattractive.  I will send a msg to PRO list if there is a good chance in LIVE, but it would require both odds rising and no HJK goals and a promise of goals in the near future and there is no guarantee that the right moment will ever come. My guess - a popular one - is 2,3 - 0.


MIFK-KuPS
When they met in Kuopio some time ago KuPS emerged as 2-1 winners, but MIFK were the better team and can feel robbed. MIFK have rotated quite a lot of players, but all in all their performances have been good in almost all of the matches with any lineups. It is starting to look like that of the 4 players from TamU at least defenders Värttö and Kojola would belong to the ideal starting line-up and striker Kangaskolkka is also a regular. Today all 4 TamU - players are in my understanding cup-tied because they played with TamU in April in the Cup, and as also regular center-back De Abreu is injured MIFK need to build up their line-up once more from the scratch.

KuPS have not been performing on a reliable level and keeping up the concentration for the full 90 minutes has been too much to ask. KuPS have fielded their key players Ilo and Venäläinen only for some 45 minutes in several games but no injuries has been mentioned, so maybe it is just a precaution or rotation. Defender Hoivala is doubtful, but he has also been one of the weakest links lately, mf Ollo is doubtful.

As stakes are high in this and the teams should know each other quite well by now a cautious approach is to be expected and a low-scoring draw would not surprise me the slightest. MIFK did make life difficult for KuPS in Kuopio by challenging KuPS defenders and keeping up the pressure, the question is if they are brave enough to do the same and try to win the control of the ball and the midfield, but risk giving space to KuPS key striker Dickson?

MIFK are the favourites here, but the odds are correct enough not to raise interest. With the line-ups I expect and the run of the play I give them now roughly 43 % and the limit for value at -0,25 would be at 1.90, but it only takes one or two changes in line-ups to make that tiny value go away, so this match is either best left alone or a small-staked cs for 1-1 is advised.

A bit more about match-fixing in Finland

Willis Ochieng, the kenyan goal-keeper of IFK Mariehamn was obviously involved in several games last season and possibly also before that, he got reportedly 25 000 € per game. Welcome back to Finland if you are not too busy dear Willis! Let us go for a pint!

25.5.2011

Finland vs San Marino and Sweden June 3rd & 7th

New manager Mixu Paatelainen along with his new assistant Sami Hyypiä have chosen the squad for the unmeaninful qualifiers:



Gk
Jukka Lehtovaara TPS 15.03.1988 1/0
Lukas Hradecky Esbjerg fB 24.11.1989 2/0
Anssi Jaakkola Kilmarnock FC 13.03.1987 0/0

Df
Veli Lampi Willem II 18.07.1984 23/0
Niklas Moisander AZ Alkmaar 29.09.1985 17/1
Markus Heikkinen SK Rapid Wien 13.10.1978 58/0
Petri Pasanen Werder Bremen 24.09.1980 63/1
Jukka Raitala SC Paderborn 07 15.09.1988 4/0
Joona Toivio Djurgårdens IF 10.03.1988 2/0

Mf & att
Kasper Hämäläinen Djurgårdens IF 08.08.1986 12/2
Alexander Ring HJK 09.04.1991 0/0
Tim Sparv FC Groningen 20.02.1987 14/0
Riku Riski RTS Widzew Lodz 16.08.1989 2/0
Mika Väyrynen SC Heerenveen 28.12.1981 49/5
Roman Eremenko (vain Ruotsi) FC Dynamo Kyiv 19.03.1987 34/1
Alexei Eremenko jr Kilmarnock FC 24.03.1983 50/13
Roni Porokara KFC Germinal Beerschot 12.12.1983 20/5
Perparim Hetemaj Brescia Calcio 12.12.1986 4/0
Mikael Forssell Hannover 96 15.03.1981 74/24




Team Sweden
Pär Hansson,Helsingborgs IF 1/0


Andreas Isaksson, PSV Eindhoven 82/0
Johan Wiland, FC København 6/0
Mikael Antonsson, FC København 4/0
Andreas Granqvist, FC Groningen 11/2
Mikael Lustig, Rosenborg BK 14/1
Daniel Majstorovic, Celtic FC 40/2
Olof Mellberg, Olympiacos CFP 105/7
Behrang Safari, FC Basel 21/0
Oscar Wendt, FC København 14/0
Emir Bajrami, FC Twente 8/1
Johan Elmander, Bolton Wanderers FC 53/14
Alexander Gerndt, Helsingborgs IF 5/1
Tobias Hysén, IFK Göteborg 15/2
Zlatan Ibrahimovic, AC Milan 68/25
Kim Källström, Olympique Lyonnais 80/13
Sebastian Larsson, Birmingham City FC29/1
Martin Olsson, Blackburn Rovers FC 3/2
Anders Svensson, IF Elfsborg 114/18
Ola Toivonen, PSV Eindhoven 13/2
Pontus Wernbloom, AZ Alkmaar 14/2
Christian Wilhelmsson, Al Hilal 65/5

I assume San Marino´s squad raises too much of interest, not from me anyway. Seen them.

Finland U21 vs Malta June 3rd

Squad includes the new Arsenal signing Carl Jenkinson. Congrats!

Gk
Saku-Pekka Sahlgren  HJK  08.04.1992  2/0
Jesse Joronen  Fulham FC  21.03.1993  0/0
Walter Viitala  HIFK  09.01.1992  1/0

Df
Tero Mäntylä  FC Inter  18.04.1991  5/0
Timi Lahti  FC Haka  28.06.1990  6/0
Valtteri Moren  HJK  15.06.1991  4/0
Mikko Sumusalo  HJK  12.03.1990  14/0
Tuomas Rannankari  FC Twente  21.05.1991  2/0
Henri Toivomäki  AFC Ajax  21.02.1991  6/0
Carl Jenkinson  Arsenal FC  08.02.1992  0/0

Mf & att
Joni Kauko  FC Inter  12.07.1990  15/3
Rasmus Schüller  FC Honka  18.06.1991  7/0
Juho Lähde  TPS  11.02.1991  4/0
Denis Abdulahi  Víkingur R.  22.05.1990  6/1
Petteri Pennanen  TPS  19.09.1990  4/0
Juuso Simpanen  FC Honka  08.06.1991  7/1
Petteri Forsell  IFK Mariehamn  16.10.1990  0/0
Roope Riski  AC Cesena  16.08.1991  6/5
Lauri Dalla Valle  Fulham FC  14.09.1991  0/0
Teemu Pukki  HJK  29.03.1990  21/6

Finland U-18 away at Portugal

FT 2-1. FA report.


Starting 11:


Jesse Joronen, Fulham FC

Jere Uronen, TPS
Dani Hatakka, FC Honka       
Thomas Lam, AZ Alkmaar
Kevin Peth, AC Cesena

Nikolai Alho, HJK
Matias Ojala, AC Oulu
Verneri Välimaa, Weston FC Academy
Janne Saksela, PK-35

Aleksi Paananen, KuPS
Mikael Lähde, FC Honka

SubsJuhani Pennanen, AC Oulu
Johannes Nordström, IFK Mariehamn
Aapi Helvelahti, U.D. Dos Hermanas San Andrés
Tim Väyrynen, FC Honka
Jusu Karvonen, AC Cesena
Antti Mäkijärvi, FC Honka
Robin Lod, HJK
Daniel O’Shaughnessy, HJK
Matti Klinga, FC Reipas

Veikkausliiga odds for round 7

Veikkausliiga overview after 6 rounds

Free Newsletter to be sent out on Wednesday around 17.00 CET with an overview of the Veikkausliiga after 6 rounds, and a look at things in lower divisions and on the international level as well.

Order your copy from the right unless you have not yet subscribed.

23.5.2011

Champions League final - Barcelona!

Hi, out of my league really but as there is no doubt that all Finnish football lovers are also at least slightly interested in the Champions League final here is a rather impressive look into it.  My own thoughts are in a Barca win, but here is some data to back up any ideas.



Finland this week - 39 matches to go

Date
League Home Away
23.05.11 Mon Kakkonen A IF Gnistan Klubi04
23.05.11 Mon Kakkonen B Ilves-Kissat MuSa
23.05.11 Mon Ykkönen FC Hämeenlinna FC KooTeePee
23.05.11 Mon League JJK KuPS
23.05.11 Mon League Honka TPS
23.05.11 Mon League Jaro VPS
24.05.11 Tue Kakkonen A Atlantis FC FC Futura
24.05.11 Tue Kakkonen A KäPa LPS
24.05.11 Tue Kakkonen A MPS Pallohonka
26.05.11 Thu Cup MIFK KuPS
26.05.11 Thu Cup HJK Lahti
27.05.11 Fri Kakkonen A Kiffen KTP
27.05.11 Fri Ykkönen OPS KPV
28.05.11 Sat Kakkonen A Sudet KäPa
28.05.11 Sat Kakkonen A FC Kuusysi MPS
28.05.11 Sat Kakkonen A FC Futura MP
28.05.11 Sat Kakkonen A Pallohonka IF Gnistan
28.05.11 Sat Kakkonen B Ilves BK-46
28.05.11 Sat Kakkonen B JäPS TPV
28.05.11 Sat Kakkonen B MuSa TiPS
28.05.11 Sat Kakkonen C SJK FC Santa Claus
28.05.11 Sat Kakkonen C Riverball Tornion Pallo-47
28.05.11 Sat Kakkonen C GBK JBK
28.05.11 Sat Kakkonen C FC Kiisto FC Vaajakoski
29.05.11 Sun Kakkonen A LPS GrIFK
29.05.11 Sun Kakkonen B Åbo IFK Ilves-Kissat
29.05.11 Sun Kakkonen B SalPa Närpes Kraft
29.05.11 Sun Kakkonen B P-Iirot LoPa
29.05.11 Sun Kakkonen B FC Jazz Turun Toverit
29.05.11 Sun Kakkonen C WJK HauPa
29.05.11 Sun Kakkonen C ViPa YPA
29.05.11 Sun Kakkonen C Pallo-Kerho 37 Vasa IFK
29.05.11 Sun Ykkönen FC Viikingit Jippo
29.05.11 Sun Ykkönen PS Kemi FC Hämeenlinna
29.05.11 Sun Ykkönen FC Espoo HIFK
29.05.11 Sun Ykkönen FC KooTeePee AC Oulu
29.05.11 Sun League HJK JJK
29.05.11 Sun League VPS Mariehamn
29.05.11 Sun League Jaro Inter