27.7.2012
Kakkonen Pohjoinen 27.7
FC YPA - HauPa O3.0 64,5% 1,84 8/10 Sbobet
FC YPA - HauPa 49 20 31
o/u 2.5: 72 28
HauPa missed quite many dudes in Warkaus game, but when the whole team is made up of fringe quality players I don't know whether that makes any difference one way or the other. YPA is finally starting to get their key players back, and if I'm reading the preview correctly only the long-term injured Alasuutari and Pejic are sure to be out from this game. However, as the odds seem to be perfectly set at the moment I'm not going to bother with 1x2 because predicting YPA's quality at the moment is complete guesswork. On paper they're obviously better, but it's bit of a stretch to raise them a lot considering how unimpressive they've mostly been this year and the last even when at full strength.
FC YPA - HauPa 49 20 31
o/u 2.5: 72 28
HauPa missed quite many dudes in Warkaus game, but when the whole team is made up of fringe quality players I don't know whether that makes any difference one way or the other. YPA is finally starting to get their key players back, and if I'm reading the preview correctly only the long-term injured Alasuutari and Pejic are sure to be out from this game. However, as the odds seem to be perfectly set at the moment I'm not going to bother with 1x2 because predicting YPA's quality at the moment is complete guesswork. On paper they're obviously better, but it's bit of a stretch to raise them a lot considering how unimpressive they've mostly been this year and the last even when at full strength.
25.7.2012
Kakkonen 2012 July overview to follow
Soon.
The quickest way to receive any updates is naturally by ordering the Free Edition of the Newsletter by using the quick sign-up form on the right. Not all information provided in the Free Edition is published also here.
The quickest way to receive any updates is naturally by ordering the Free Edition of the Newsletter by using the quick sign-up form on the right. Not all information provided in the Free Edition is published also here.
23.7.2012
22.7.2012
Kakkonen Pohjoinen 22.7
Warkaus JK - HauPa +1 2 64,5% 1,90 6/10 Sbobet
Warkaus JK - HauPa O3.0 62% 1,88 7/10 Sbobet
Warkaus JK - HauPa 49 20 31
o/u 2.5: 70 30
Huge relegation battle. Long away trips don't usually sound appealing, but I think Warkaus JK's odds are a bit too low. Both teams have been equally awful lately and now that Markkanen is gone Warkaus doesn't look as intimidating as before. They probably possess an edge in quality, but +1 or so would be more than welcome as there's very few match-ups this year that would be deserve such a high handicap. Warkaus hasn't been as high-scoring as I thought, but they're certainly not one of the lowest scoring teams either. HauPa has been slightly more predictable; at home it's boring and low-scoring but in away games it's again the complete opposite. In fact, the only away game that went under was the last meeting between these teams.
Warkaus JK - HauPa O3.0 62% 1,88 7/10 Sbobet
Warkaus JK - HauPa 49 20 31
o/u 2.5: 70 30
Huge relegation battle. Long away trips don't usually sound appealing, but I think Warkaus JK's odds are a bit too low. Both teams have been equally awful lately and now that Markkanen is gone Warkaus doesn't look as intimidating as before. They probably possess an edge in quality, but +1 or so would be more than welcome as there's very few match-ups this year that would be deserve such a high handicap. Warkaus hasn't been as high-scoring as I thought, but they're certainly not one of the lowest scoring teams either. HauPa has been slightly more predictable; at home it's boring and low-scoring but in away games it's again the complete opposite. In fact, the only away game that went under was the last meeting between these teams.
21.7.2012
Kakkonen Pohjoinen 21.7
TP-47 - PS Kemi +0,5 1 58% 1,97 6/10 Sbobet
AC Kajaani - FC Santa Claus -1,5 1 68,5% 1,89 10/10 Sbobet
AC Kajaani - FC Santa Claus O3.75 66% 1,87 10/10 Sbobet
KPV - FC YPA O3.25 57% 1,99 5/10 Sbobet
TP-47 - PS Kemi 37 21 42
o/u 2.5: 68 32
Really outrageous odds here. If anything, I've mostly been overrating PS Kemi but with TP-47's current form and the class difference between these teams there's no way PS Kemi's chances to win this game should be rated at 50 % or more. TP-47 doesn't have the services of defender Kovalev, who has usually started for them, but other than that no one notable is out. The total line will likely be 3.25, which doesn't interest me either way.
AC Kajaani - FC Santa Claus 84 9 7
o/u 2.5: 85 15
If AC Kajaani doesn't dick around like they did against FC YPA this should be another clear home win for the hosts. Santa Claus has only one loss from their last six games, but their performances haven't really been that good overall. The home team looks to have almost a full squad to choose, with the long-term injured Traore being the only one out. They even have a new player, Kazakh-Dutch-Turkish midfielder, so they're doing their best to fit in with the rest of northern Finland. Santa Claus' Edereho and Figho were busy stuffing themselves up for Ramadan last week, or it could that they've just been fired since there's practically no info coming from Rovaniemi other than the occasional payment default notes.
KPV - FC YPA 64 17 19
o/u 2.5: 72 28
KPV's form still seems a bit sluggish, but they were the better side against Santa Claus last week. Nothing good can be said about the away team, whose ineptness made even Warkaus JK's defense look stifling. YPA does get one of their key players back, with more to come in the near future, but this match will probably be too early for YPA to handle, which is obviously reflected in the odds too. Over looks like it might offer some value, but KPV is one of those teams along with PK-37 that I'm not eager to play overs.
AC Kajaani - FC Santa Claus -1,5 1 68,5% 1,89 10/10 Sbobet
AC Kajaani - FC Santa Claus O3.75 66% 1,87 10/10 Sbobet
KPV - FC YPA O3.25 57% 1,99 5/10 Sbobet
TP-47 - PS Kemi 37 21 42
o/u 2.5: 68 32
Really outrageous odds here. If anything, I've mostly been overrating PS Kemi but with TP-47's current form and the class difference between these teams there's no way PS Kemi's chances to win this game should be rated at 50 % or more. TP-47 doesn't have the services of defender Kovalev, who has usually started for them, but other than that no one notable is out. The total line will likely be 3.25, which doesn't interest me either way.
AC Kajaani - FC Santa Claus 84 9 7
o/u 2.5: 85 15
If AC Kajaani doesn't dick around like they did against FC YPA this should be another clear home win for the hosts. Santa Claus has only one loss from their last six games, but their performances haven't really been that good overall. The home team looks to have almost a full squad to choose, with the long-term injured Traore being the only one out. They even have a new player, Kazakh-Dutch-Turkish midfielder, so they're doing their best to fit in with the rest of northern Finland. Santa Claus' Edereho and Figho were busy stuffing themselves up for Ramadan last week, or it could that they've just been fired since there's practically no info coming from Rovaniemi other than the occasional payment default notes.
KPV - FC YPA 64 17 19
o/u 2.5: 72 28
KPV's form still seems a bit sluggish, but they were the better side against Santa Claus last week. Nothing good can be said about the away team, whose ineptness made even Warkaus JK's defense look stifling. YPA does get one of their key players back, with more to come in the near future, but this match will probably be too early for YPA to handle, which is obviously reflected in the odds too. Over looks like it might offer some value, but KPV is one of those teams along with PK-37 that I'm not eager to play overs.
20.7.2012
18.7.2012
Gambling and other wholesome interests
A promotion and a top offer for you guys, please read for your own good!
This is from the service provider Gambling and other wholesome interests; Keith
This is from the service provider Gambling and other wholesome interests; Keith
*************
I have explained below what I do and you can see samples of one week's emails on this link. That will give you a feel for how the daily service operates, but a better way is to sign up for the seven day free trial. I will then include you on the subscriber list for one week, there is no obligation and you will get no hard sell, I will of course send you details of how to sign up to the full service near the end of the trial period, but that will be the extent of my sales pitch !
All you need to do is send an email to me at ..... gowi8@btinternet.com , with the subject title " free trial" and I will include you on the subscriber list starting the following Monday.
Hi,
My name is Keith and I have been writing a sports betting blog GAMBLING AND OTHER WHOLESOME INTERESTS, since April 2006.
All you need to do is send an email to me at ..... gowi8@btinternet.com , with the subject title " free trial" and I will include you on the subscriber list starting the following Monday.
Hi,
My name is Keith and I have been writing a sports betting blog GAMBLING AND OTHER WHOLESOME INTERESTS, since April 2006.
I also run a daily email service, this is a subscription based pay service and subscribers receive my full daily notes each day, usually at 10.00 UK time, at very busy times ( most Sunday's for example) there are two emails per day. These are written in newsletter format and usually include a brief look back at the events of the previous day and full preview of all sporting events taking place that day, or in the future, which interest me.
The average email runs to between 1200-2000 words, with most events discussed given reasonably comprehensive coverage. IMO the content is worth more than the actual tip/ selection. Most of my readers are fairly experienced punters ( not all), some are full time professional players and need this information to make a considered call on whether to bet the selection or not. Every event previewed carries either a black type suggestion, or red type official selection, I would not expect readers/ subscribers to bet everything, but some do and long term they will make a profit, but there is far more about the service than simply the bottom line and by reading the full preview, readers will get far more from the emails.
This is why I do not usually give out stats for the red type bets, as IMO this devalues the content/ back type picks, all of which have great value in my opinion.... I am writing them for a reason ! About 10% of these previews are reproduced on the blog, the other 90%+ are only ever available to subscribers and not published elsewhere.
I can explain the previews in a little more detail..... Red type picks are selections I will definitely be backing myself, the black type have something if not exactly "wrong" with them, maybe something which requires a little thought or consideration. This could be that the odds have fallen below what I want to take, my minimum quote, it might be that at the time of writing some teams news was still unclear, it could be that I have already given a red type selection for the game, all of these reasons are usually made clear.
For example, on June 13 for the Portugal - Denmark game my suggestion, where I was very keen on Portugal read .....However, we are not going to get very fat on 1.85-1.9 for the win, so I will leave it in black type, if the line shifts later in the day, or you find 2.0 + early in the match and both should be reasonably cautious through the opening exchanges, then take it ( I would make that a 1.25 unit bet @ 2.0+).
Portugal traded at 2.06 after nine minutes and won 3-2.
Another example was this match LINK , this was a game where if you read the preview it was obvious that I was about as keen on the match as possible from a betting perspective, but I gave two red type bets on the game and did not want to put up five, so the three others were put up as suggestions, for subscribers to make up their own mind. The two main bets won at 2.84 and 2.92 and two of the black types also won at odds of 5.0 and 10.0, the correct score of 6-2 @ 125-1 just missed, as Real won 5-2 and had a clear chance late in the game for the sixth ! That game is an extreme example, it is rare for me to ever put up even one extra suggestion in a game, let alone two or three, but it gives you an idea of how things work and also, subscribers were well aware of exactly how keen I was on that match.
Any red type selections are also given a ranking of between 0.25 and 2.0 units, one unit is standard, so I do not usually mention a stake for these, just give the pick, sub one unit is rare, so most picks are between 1-1.5 units, two units is my maximum and since the turn of the year, whilst still only two units, these have been given a higher ranking ( if that makes sense). There have been far fewer of them and subscribers have been told that the difference between a 1.5 and 2 unit pick is FAR greater than even between a 0.5 and 1.5 unit selection and should be backed as such. The maximum bets have all the boxes ticked and whilst they are not "bankers", which is a term you will never hear me use, they fulfill all my criteria, including the most important of all and that is offering fantastic value. There have been just three of these in 2012 and all have won at odds of 2.29, 2.20 and 2.00.
I am loathe to give stats for the email service for the reasons given above and also as they are not proofed anywhere, but over the last 15 weeks I have previewed over 300 events and put up 270 red type selections, stakes were a total of 327 units and returns 424.44 units, a ROI of 129.80 % and a profit of 97.44 units, a 50 euro unit flat stake would have won 4,872 euros . I have also put up "suggestions" in this sequence that have won at odds of 28-1 LINK 25-1 LINK , 9-1
You can view five years of stats on the blog here LINK and on that page there are further links to more detailed country by county and sport by sport breakdowns, back in the day, most of my picks were on the blog, now just a very small sample.
Kind regards,
Keith
Kakkonen Pohjoinen 18.7
GBK - PK-37 45 21 34
o/u 2.5: 68 32
With the odds as it is, there's not much that can be said. GBK took a very lucky win against PS Kemi last week while PK-37 finally lost, though according to the bizarrely poetic reports the game was pretty equal and at the moment there's no shame in losing to TP-47. Class difference could be slightly on GBK's side, but PK-37 has definitely been the more consistent performer of these two so it's not that surprising to see them ahead GBK. Totals were catastrophically unpredictable last week, and this is one of those games where no clear idea can be found. Normally PK-37 has been a pretty boring and low-scoring team, but lately they've cracked the o2.5 barrier too many times to make the under interesting, but... e: the over is not appealing with a 3.25 line.
o/u 2.5: 68 32
With the odds as it is, there's not much that can be said. GBK took a very lucky win against PS Kemi last week while PK-37 finally lost, though according to the bizarrely poetic reports the game was pretty equal and at the moment there's no shame in losing to TP-47. Class difference could be slightly on GBK's side, but PK-37 has definitely been the more consistent performer of these two so it's not that surprising to see them ahead GBK. Totals were catastrophically unpredictable last week, and this is one of those games where no clear idea can be found. Normally PK-37 has been a pretty boring and low-scoring team, but lately they've cracked the o2.5 barrier too many times to make the under interesting, but... e: the over is not appealing with a 3.25 line.
14.7.2012
Kakkonen Pohjoinen additional bets
Lots of odds movement for some reason..
HauPa - AC Kajaani O3.5 54,5% 2,02 3,5/10 188bet
FC YPA - Warkaus JK O3.0 67,5% 2,13 3/10 Sbobet
PS Kemi - GBK O3.25 56% 1,94 4/10 Sbobet
HauPa - AC Kajaani O3.5 54,5% 2,02 3,5/10 188bet
FC YPA - Warkaus JK O3.0 67,5% 2,13 3/10 Sbobet
PS Kemi - GBK O3.25 56% 1,94 4/10 Sbobet
Kakkonen Pohjoinen 14.7
FC Santa Claus - KPV O3.0 64,5% 1,76 7/10 188bet
PK-37 - TP-47 +1,25 2 63,5% 1,87 4/10 188bet
FC YPA - Warkaus JK O3.25 60% 1,92 6/10 188bet
HauPa - AC Kajaani -1 2 61% 1,90 7/10 188bet
PS Kemi - GBK +1 2 58% 1,90 3/10 188bet
FC Santa Claus - KPV 37 20 43
o/u 2.5: 72 28
Santa won again last week, but since there's practically no information available from that game I'm not yet conviced enough that they've turned the corner. KPV's Warkaus win is something that should be taken lightly for various reasons, but when looking at the overall picture KPV has probably shown more promise than Santa, so I'm not surprised to see the bookies rate them as small favorites. That said the estimation could as easily be the other way around, so 1x2 is something that I'll have no trouble skipping. Neither team looks to be having any significant injury problems.
PK-37 - TP-47 55 21 24
o/u 2.5: 63 37
The european odds for TP-47 have already dropped and for a good reason, because they've continued to play at a very good level after they changed their coach. I could rave more about TP-47's potential but when looking at this match only it's good to keep in mind that PK-37 has been even better lately, so I wouldn't dare to give TP-47 more than that. TP-47's improved form means previews too, and it tells that they could miss a couple of important players in Kovalev and Konde. PK-37 had some important players out from Kemi game, namely captain Vidgren and first-choice goalkeeper Junnilainen.
FC YPA - Warkaus JK 42 20 28
o/u 2.5: 74 26
No kind words can be said about the form of either team. YPA still does have about a half of their starting line-up missing, so they can be partly excused. There have been some jokes about Warkaus' midsummer slumps but the reality is that it seems to be happening again. Though it has to be said that like YPA, Warkaus has been bothered by injuries a lot, which culminated in last week's KPV match where they had no one on the bench. For this match they received an ever bigger blow, when JJK loan Markkanen, who has scored nearly half of their goals, was called back. YPA could have some small value, but unless the line is +0,25 I'm not going to bother.
HauPa - AC Kajaani 15 16 69
o/u 2.5: 75 25
Normally I'd be very cautious going against HauPa at home, but AC Kajaani have already won there once so it's not exactly an impossible task that they're up against. Judging by the reports, the away team doesn't seem to be as dominant as SJK, OPS or OPA, but the wins just keep coming so it's difficult to do any criticizing either. Now that TP-47 has awakened from their slump, HauPa's situation is looking pretty grim. They probably still possess the potential to surprise now and then, but I don't think this is one of those games where points can be expected. HauPa will miss Makowski and Festus, who are one of the few players that have proven their worth at this level. AC Kajaani's Akbar, who has been in impressive goal scoring form lately, is suspended.
PS Kemi - GBK 54 20 26
o/u 2.5: 71 29
I had the illusion of PS Kemi being a good idea for this week, but the bookmakers have gone even farther than that by giving the home team almost 60 % chance of winning. Like I've said before, these teams were predicted to be the top contenders this year, and while that idea can now be safely disregarded the fact is that the class difference should not be as huge as the odds suggest. Still, PS Kemi has been almost invincible at home so small stakes are the most reasonable choice, even if the handicap is +1. The injury situation seems to be almost equal: GBK has a couple of fringe players suspended in addition to important defender Smith, PS Kemi has a handful of players questionable but none of them can be considered a key player.
PK-37 - TP-47 +1,25 2 63,5% 1,87 4/10 188bet
FC YPA - Warkaus JK O3.25 60% 1,92 6/10 188bet
HauPa - AC Kajaani -1 2 61% 1,90 7/10 188bet
PS Kemi - GBK +1 2 58% 1,90 3/10 188bet
FC Santa Claus - KPV 37 20 43
o/u 2.5: 72 28
Santa won again last week, but since there's practically no information available from that game I'm not yet conviced enough that they've turned the corner. KPV's Warkaus win is something that should be taken lightly for various reasons, but when looking at the overall picture KPV has probably shown more promise than Santa, so I'm not surprised to see the bookies rate them as small favorites. That said the estimation could as easily be the other way around, so 1x2 is something that I'll have no trouble skipping. Neither team looks to be having any significant injury problems.
PK-37 - TP-47 55 21 24
o/u 2.5: 63 37
The european odds for TP-47 have already dropped and for a good reason, because they've continued to play at a very good level after they changed their coach. I could rave more about TP-47's potential but when looking at this match only it's good to keep in mind that PK-37 has been even better lately, so I wouldn't dare to give TP-47 more than that. TP-47's improved form means previews too, and it tells that they could miss a couple of important players in Kovalev and Konde. PK-37 had some important players out from Kemi game, namely captain Vidgren and first-choice goalkeeper Junnilainen.
FC YPA - Warkaus JK 42 20 28
o/u 2.5: 74 26
No kind words can be said about the form of either team. YPA still does have about a half of their starting line-up missing, so they can be partly excused. There have been some jokes about Warkaus' midsummer slumps but the reality is that it seems to be happening again. Though it has to be said that like YPA, Warkaus has been bothered by injuries a lot, which culminated in last week's KPV match where they had no one on the bench. For this match they received an ever bigger blow, when JJK loan Markkanen, who has scored nearly half of their goals, was called back. YPA could have some small value, but unless the line is +0,25 I'm not going to bother.
HauPa - AC Kajaani 15 16 69
o/u 2.5: 75 25
Normally I'd be very cautious going against HauPa at home, but AC Kajaani have already won there once so it's not exactly an impossible task that they're up against. Judging by the reports, the away team doesn't seem to be as dominant as SJK, OPS or OPA, but the wins just keep coming so it's difficult to do any criticizing either. Now that TP-47 has awakened from their slump, HauPa's situation is looking pretty grim. They probably still possess the potential to surprise now and then, but I don't think this is one of those games where points can be expected. HauPa will miss Makowski and Festus, who are one of the few players that have proven their worth at this level. AC Kajaani's Akbar, who has been in impressive goal scoring form lately, is suspended.
PS Kemi - GBK 54 20 26
o/u 2.5: 71 29
I had the illusion of PS Kemi being a good idea for this week, but the bookmakers have gone even farther than that by giving the home team almost 60 % chance of winning. Like I've said before, these teams were predicted to be the top contenders this year, and while that idea can now be safely disregarded the fact is that the class difference should not be as huge as the odds suggest. Still, PS Kemi has been almost invincible at home so small stakes are the most reasonable choice, even if the handicap is +1. The injury situation seems to be almost equal: GBK has a couple of fringe players suspended in addition to important defender Smith, PS Kemi has a handful of players questionable but none of them can be considered a key player.
8.7.2012
Kakkonen Pohjoinen 8.7
PK-37 - PS Kemi +0.0 1 51% 2,14 3/10 188bet
GBK - AC Kajaani +0,25 2 56,5% 1,92 5/10 Sbobet
FC Santa Claus - HauPa +0,5 2 57% 2,00 4/10 Sbobet
FC Santa Claus - HauPa O3.25 60% 1,82 7/10 12bet
PK-37 - PS Kemi 40 21 39
o/u 2.5: 67 33
I've had to make some huge bumps to PK-37's ranking as they've continued to play at a very high level. Now they have a couple of injuries for this match, but PS Kemi hasn't been that dominating that I would rate them as favorites, so a small bet on PK-37 with the increased odds.
GBK - AC Kajaani 39 20 41
o/u 2.5: 76 24
There might not be a big difference, if any, in class, but the bottom line is that AC Kajaani knows how to win and GBK just knows how to play tons of draws. That said I'd have very much liked to play over too, but a 3.5 line in a supposed top clash is not exactly inviting with these low odds.
FC Santa Claus - HauPa 42 20 38
o/u 2.5: 74 26
Santa Claus did manage to win TP-47, but that doesn't really change the fact that they've sucked for the last month or so. With HauPa you could almost say the same thing, but according to the reports they've shown much more potential than Santa. In addition to a small bet on HauPa, over looks really interesting. Santa Claus has, for the most part, kept up their goal scoring and conceding form, and on the other side HauPa has seemingly started to emulate JIPPO, as in transforming from a clear under team into a team that scores and concedes plenty of goals.
GBK - AC Kajaani +0,25 2 56,5% 1,92 5/10 Sbobet
FC Santa Claus - HauPa +0,5 2 57% 2,00 4/10 Sbobet
FC Santa Claus - HauPa O3.25 60% 1,82 7/10 12bet
PK-37 - PS Kemi 40 21 39
o/u 2.5: 67 33
I've had to make some huge bumps to PK-37's ranking as they've continued to play at a very high level. Now they have a couple of injuries for this match, but PS Kemi hasn't been that dominating that I would rate them as favorites, so a small bet on PK-37 with the increased odds.
GBK - AC Kajaani 39 20 41
o/u 2.5: 76 24
There might not be a big difference, if any, in class, but the bottom line is that AC Kajaani knows how to win and GBK just knows how to play tons of draws. That said I'd have very much liked to play over too, but a 3.5 line in a supposed top clash is not exactly inviting with these low odds.
FC Santa Claus - HauPa 42 20 38
o/u 2.5: 74 26
Santa Claus did manage to win TP-47, but that doesn't really change the fact that they've sucked for the last month or so. With HauPa you could almost say the same thing, but according to the reports they've shown much more potential than Santa. In addition to a small bet on HauPa, over looks really interesting. Santa Claus has, for the most part, kept up their goal scoring and conceding form, and on the other side HauPa has seemingly started to emulate JIPPO, as in transforming from a clear under team into a team that scores and concedes plenty of goals.
Veikkausliiga lineups for Sunday matches MyPa - KuPS & JJK vs FC Lahti
MyPa: Gk,Sesay,Vuorinen,Koskinen, O´Shaugnessy, Opoku,Gela,Saxman,Oksanen,O´
Aho and Selin not playing at all; Kukka, Sihvola, Vesala, Gk Iiskola and Ramadingaye to jump in from the bench. Those 3 Africans who rested the EL game start, rather normal lineup for MyPa as they have rotated a lot. Goal-scoring power on the bench in form of dead-ball specialist Kukka and best striker Sihvola.
KuPS: Hilander,Nissinen, Joenmäki, Tabe, Hynynen, Puri, Obiefule, Kärkkäinen, Voutilainen, Paananen, Venäläinen.
On the bench Ilo, Zahovaiko and Purje from the regular ones. James suspended.
Still not getting interested in this. Probably going to be the worst Veikkausliiga match of 2012 and I will go and see a Kakkonen game in torrent rain instead.
***
JJK are resting no one.
Perhaps Van Gelderen play as a left-back again? Korhonen, VG, Pasoja, Nieminen, Turpeenniemi, Innanen, Tuomainen, Gruborovics, Poutiainen, Virtanen, Wusu.
From the bench we find Reintam, Markkula, Latikka, Tapaninen and the only attacking option Hilska.
FC Lahti gk is fortunately Szentpeteri. The rest: Hauhia, Mero, Sinisalo, Hietanen, Bernhard, Klinga, Grössohmichen,
Markets not moving, opinions not changing. Weather can be - and will be at least in Helsinki area - full of thunder and lightning.
| Finland : Veikkausliiga - Odds From 188BET.COM | ||||||||||
| Time GMT+0 | Betting event | Current | Open | Total Line | Over/Under | |||||
| spread | odds | spread | odds | current | open | type | current | open | ||
| Finland : Veikkausliiga - 08/07/2012 | ||||||||||
16:30  | JJK Jyvaskyla | -0.25 | 1.850 | -0.5 | 2.020 | 2.75 | 2.75 | over | 1.920 | 1.980 |
| FC Lahti | +0.25 | 2.070 | +0.5 | 1.900 | under | 1.980 | 1.920 | |||
 | ||||||||||
| 16:30 | MyPa | -0.25 | 1.970 | -0.5 | 2.120 | 2.25 | 2.25 | over | 1.960 | 1.870 |
| KuPS | +0.25 | 1.950 | +0.5 | 1.810 | under | 1.940 | 2.030 | |||
| 09/07/2012 | ||||||||||
| 16:30 | TPS Turku | -0.25 | 1.940 | -0.25 | 1.950 | 2.5 | 2.5 | over | 1.990 | 2.030 |
| Honka Espoo | +0.25 | 1.980 | +0.25 | 1.970 | under | 1.910 | 1.870 | |||
7.7.2012
Kakkonen Pohjoinen 7.7
FC YPA - TP-47 41 21 38
o/u 2.5: 68 32
TP-47 might have been a small play with the opening odds, but as of now this is yet another no bet. According to the few tidbits of info that are available from TP-47's last match they were again pretty good, so they're definitely still in upward form. The case is slightly the same with YPA, where Heikkilä's return has boosted them to almost-draws against AC Kajaani and PS Kemi, who are currently the best teams in the league. Under their new coach TP-47 seems to have locked down their defense to last year's form, so over is not particularly interesting.
o/u 2.5: 68 32
TP-47 might have been a small play with the opening odds, but as of now this is yet another no bet. According to the few tidbits of info that are available from TP-47's last match they were again pretty good, so they're definitely still in upward form. The case is slightly the same with YPA, where Heikkilä's return has boosted them to almost-draws against AC Kajaani and PS Kemi, who are currently the best teams in the league. Under their new coach TP-47 seems to have locked down their defense to last year's form, so over is not particularly interesting.
6.7.2012
Kakkonen Pohjoinen 6.7
KPV - Warkaus JK 56 20 24
o/u 2.5: 67 33
Some relentless scheduling going on here, so KPV's odds dropping might have something to do with that. Of course Warkaus did have only three guys on the bench on Wednesday so one can imagine what kind of a squad they will put up when traveling to the other side of Finland. Neither side is performing well at the moment, but KPV should have enough quality to not worry about relegation while for Warkaus that could definitely be a real possibility.
o/u 2.5: 67 33
Some relentless scheduling going on here, so KPV's odds dropping might have something to do with that. Of course Warkaus did have only three guys on the bench on Wednesday so one can imagine what kind of a squad they will put up when traveling to the other side of Finland. Neither side is performing well at the moment, but KPV should have enough quality to not worry about relegation while for Warkaus that could definitely be a real possibility.
5.7.2012
Kakkonen Pohjoinen 5.7
PS Kemi - HauPa 65 18 17
o/u 2.5: 69 31
Just when I was ready to drop HauPa to Kolmonen they played two very good games against solid opposition (GBK, KPV). The odds, however, reflect the huge quality difference that these teams have and I can't say I'd be eager to play HauPa even if there might be some value in the under and the + handicap at the moment. According to their preview, HauPa won't miss anyone important. Kemi misses two key players, Spivack from midfield and Hyvärinen from defense so looking from that angle the heavy odds movement looks weird.
o/u 2.5: 69 31
Just when I was ready to drop HauPa to Kolmonen they played two very good games against solid opposition (GBK, KPV). The odds, however, reflect the huge quality difference that these teams have and I can't say I'd be eager to play HauPa even if there might be some value in the under and the + handicap at the moment. According to their preview, HauPa won't miss anyone important. Kemi misses two key players, Spivack from midfield and Hyvärinen from defense so looking from that angle the heavy odds movement looks weird.
4.7.2012
OPS - AC Oulu
OPS have yet to beat AC Oulu in any match, be it a training or an official one. And mostly that has not been just a fluke either, because there's definitely some mental edge that AC Oulu currently possesses over OPS. OPS is in a really poor form at the moment and the losses have been completely deserved. AC Oulu has picked up a lot of points lately, but to be truthful they've not played any better than when they had their winless streak in the first quarter of the season. Based on what I've seen this year, +0,25/-0,25 is just about right.
The total, however, is a different story. AC Oulu's defending has been, to put it mildly, really unstable for most of the season. Meriläinen - the slowest Veikkausliiga player ever, aging Hietanen and strikers, who don't bother with defending at all are part of the problem, but mostly it's probably the result of tactical choices. On the other hand, the current forward line and the experienced midfielders can create goals out of nowhere, so the huge amount of o2.5 games is not just a random occurrence. With OPS things are much more chaotic as they mostly rely on the individual talents of Ngambe x2 and co to create opportunities. Lately their defending has been just as shaky as AC Oulu's. AC Oulu misses Nurmos from their defense, and in theory that's a good thing for the over, but if it means that Kauppila switches over to the defense then that would be a really bad thing, because there's no one to replace him especially with Ojala out. OPS does seem to be in full strength.
If it doesn't take forever for the first goal to come, then I'm very confident with the outcome being o2.5. The odds are quite low at the moment, but as usual waiting a few minutes for them to rise is a good idea.
The total, however, is a different story. AC Oulu's defending has been, to put it mildly, really unstable for most of the season. Meriläinen - the slowest Veikkausliiga player ever, aging Hietanen and strikers, who don't bother with defending at all are part of the problem, but mostly it's probably the result of tactical choices. On the other hand, the current forward line and the experienced midfielders can create goals out of nowhere, so the huge amount of o2.5 games is not just a random occurrence. With OPS things are much more chaotic as they mostly rely on the individual talents of Ngambe x2 and co to create opportunities. Lately their defending has been just as shaky as AC Oulu's. AC Oulu misses Nurmos from their defense, and in theory that's a good thing for the over, but if it means that Kauppila switches over to the defense then that would be a really bad thing, because there's no one to replace him especially with Ojala out. OPS does seem to be in full strength.
If it doesn't take forever for the first goal to come, then I'm very confident with the outcome being o2.5. The odds are quite low at the moment, but as usual waiting a few minutes for them to rise is a good idea.
Kakkonen Pohjoinen 4.7
TP-47 - FC Santa Claus O3.25 59% 1,89 6/10 Sbobet
AC Kajaani - FC YPA -1,5 1 58,5% 1,84 6/10 Sbobet
AC Kajaani - FC YPA O3.5 61,5% 1,87 9/10 Sbobet
TP-47 - FC Santa Claus 50 20 30
o/u 2.5: 73 27
TP-47's last three games haven't been missed by anyone, but I'm not yet confident enough to give them such a huge estimation that would make value out of the sub 2,00 odds that are offered. However, I'll still give the over a try because with the exception of GBK game TP-47 hasn't really impressed with their defending this year, and Santa we know how their situation is.
Warkaus JK - PK-37 41 22 37
o/u 2.5: 65 35
PK-37 has been pretty good lately so I can't fault the huge odds movement - or at least I'd have definitely played the +0,5 that was available at opening.
AC Kajaani - FC YPA 77 13 10
o/u 2.5: 80 20
Simply put, it's the best team versus the second-worst team so I'm quite surprised to see the same kind of odds that we had when GBK played against HauPa and TP-47. YPA did play a good game against PS Kemi, but other than that they've been mostly garbage lately. However, they did get Heikkilä back and most of the others should return this month so there's something to look forward for them.
AC Kajaani - FC YPA -1,5 1 58,5% 1,84 6/10 Sbobet
AC Kajaani - FC YPA O3.5 61,5% 1,87 9/10 Sbobet
TP-47 - FC Santa Claus 50 20 30
o/u 2.5: 73 27
TP-47's last three games haven't been missed by anyone, but I'm not yet confident enough to give them such a huge estimation that would make value out of the sub 2,00 odds that are offered. However, I'll still give the over a try because with the exception of GBK game TP-47 hasn't really impressed with their defending this year, and Santa we know how their situation is.
Warkaus JK - PK-37 41 22 37
o/u 2.5: 65 35
PK-37 has been pretty good lately so I can't fault the huge odds movement - or at least I'd have definitely played the +0,5 that was available at opening.
AC Kajaani - FC YPA 77 13 10
o/u 2.5: 80 20
Simply put, it's the best team versus the second-worst team so I'm quite surprised to see the same kind of odds that we had when GBK played against HauPa and TP-47. YPA did play a good game against PS Kemi, but other than that they've been mostly garbage lately. However, they did get Heikkilä back and most of the others should return this month so there's something to look forward for them.
3.7.2012
Kakkonen Pohjoinen 3.7.
KPV - GBK +0,25 1 55% 1,97 4/10 188bet
KPV - GBK 38 22 40
o/u 2.5: 63 37
KPV might be on a losing streak, but I don't think GBK's masterful ability of playing draws qualifies them to be such a big favorites that they are now. I'll give the fact that GBK has more quality in their squad, but with almost half of the season gone there's hasn't been much to indicate that so far. KPV will probably miss very important N. Kalliokoski, but GBK does have two regulars out in Smith and Halonen.
KPV - GBK 38 22 40
o/u 2.5: 63 37
KPV might be on a losing streak, but I don't think GBK's masterful ability of playing draws qualifies them to be such a big favorites that they are now. I'll give the fact that GBK has more quality in their squad, but with almost half of the season gone there's hasn't been much to indicate that so far. KPV will probably miss very important N. Kalliokoski, but GBK does have two regulars out in Smith and Halonen.
2.7.2012
1.7.2012
Kakkonen Pohjoinen 1.7
FC Santa Claus - Warkaus JK O3.25 61% 1,77 6/10 188bet
FC Santa Claus - Warkaus JK 40 20 40
o/u 2.5: 75 25
Some bookmakers have Santa as favorites, the others have Warkaus, and all in all you're probably better off flipping a coin or calculating biorhythms unless you have some kind of inside info with these teams as Santa Claus especially has some wild swings in their form. However, I'm more confident in over because counting out the game against PK-37 (who seems to be the bogeyman of over bets with their excessive amount of 1-1 results) they've been pretty consistent in having entertaining and goal rich games.
FC Santa Claus - Warkaus JK 40 20 40
o/u 2.5: 75 25
Some bookmakers have Santa as favorites, the others have Warkaus, and all in all you're probably better off flipping a coin or calculating biorhythms unless you have some kind of inside info with these teams as Santa Claus especially has some wild swings in their form. However, I'm more confident in over because counting out the game against PK-37 (who seems to be the bogeyman of over bets with their excessive amount of 1-1 results) they've been pretty consistent in having entertaining and goal rich games.
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