Kakkonen 30.9.

For today I'd continue opposing KPV and betting on FC YPA. PK-37's form looks ugly but they haven't played that badly and most importantly their opponents have been really high-quality, and so I don't agree at all with setting KPV as favorites, the team which has shown basically nothing good in the second half of the season. HauPa - FC YPA is obviously a hugely important match, but I think HauPa might be a bit overrated after their wins against Santa Claus, who was playing with their second-rate squad and AC Kajaani, whose form has heavily dipped after their promotion spot became practically sure. Overs look quite appealing for both games, with KPV - PK-37 being a bit more interesting due to the no stakes nature of the clash.

Kakkonen 22.9.

FC YPA looks really appealing at ~1,85 odds. They're at full strength, need points badly and most of all KPV has still been really poor even if they managed to take a couple of wins from the hopeless teams (HauPa and bankrupt FC Santa Claus).

Jari Litmanen highlights from the "Respect" - game vs The world 2012

A real feelgood clip. Enjoy!

Kakkonen 9.9.

TP-47 - FC YPA +0,5 2 52% 2,03 2/10 188bet
TP-47 - FC YPA O3.25 57% 1,81 2/10 188bet
AC Kajaani - GBK O3.25 64% 1,61 5/10 188bet
AC Kajaani - GBK -0,75 1 61% 1,77 5/10 Sbobet

TP-47 - FC YPA 48 20 32
o/u 2.5: 72 28

FC YPA's decision to fire their coach was certainly strange considering that their last three (or four) games were against the very best teams of the league, and in none of those matches were they particularly outplayed. Now they'll be led by their former longtime coach, who wasn't that popular during his last two years. Bookies have given TP-47 slightly more chanches than me, which I naturally disagree with. Now that YPA has almost a full squad to choose from their line-up doesn't really pale in comparison to TP-47 and the form is just about equal too. YPA does have those three losses in their last few games, but they played pretty well in every one of those. TP-47 was quite poor in the second half against Santa Claus and they were really lethargic against GBK while winning HauPa should be always be just a routine performance for a team of their level. FC YPA probably still misses their new signing Savic and longterm injured Alasuutari, TP-47 has made a lot of changes to their team with players going in and out, but their core of Finnish players, who have done all the heavy lifting in terms of goals, has stayed intact.

AC Kajaani - GBK 65 16 19
o/u 2.5: 77 23

Motivation shouldn't be an issue because the hosts would confirm their promotion spot with a win and the away team would very much like to keep alive their slim hopes of reaching that spot. Despite their good record, you can see from the odds that nobody really seems to think that GBK is equal to PS Kemi. They do have some good players such as Melarti, Corcoran, Smith and Roiko but I guess the overall potential is just lower than what for example PS Kemi (who have many more players with Ykkönen experience/talent) has. AC Kajaani doesn't seem to be as dominant as the results tell if the match reports are anything to go by, but it probably doesn't matter whether they play with barca tactics or just throw long balls to their strikers because their foreign players seem to possess too much talent for this level anyway. GBK likely has only longterm injured T. Wentin and Halonen out, AC Kajaani's Traore made his return while Önal missed the PS Kemi game.

Kakkonen 8.9.

PS Kemi - PK-37 O3.25 59% 1,86 6/10 Sbobet

PS Kemi - PK-37 55 19 26
o/u 2.5: 73 27

Didn't really expect to see odds, but despite PS Kemi's seemingly long list of injuries they still have most of their key players available so a good home team and a class difference equals no bet on the 1x2. PK-37 usually have had a reputation of being a defensive side, but after midsummer they've been just like any other team in terms of goals so in a stakeless no-motivation clash against a really high-scoring team I'm confident enough to try the over.

Kakkonen 4.9.

AC Kajaani - PS Kemi O3.5 57,5% 1,92 7/10 Sbobet

AC Kajaani - PS Kemi 53 19 28
o/u 2.5: 77 23

The bonus round. AC Kajaani easily handled PK-37 in the last top clash, but this should be a much more even affair as the only time AC Kajaani has been completely outplayed this season was against PS Kemi (though ACK had some injury worries in that game). The odds look quite correct on the 1x2, the home team has been more consistent and their home record is almost perfect, while PS Kemi's poor start to the season and equally hideous away displays tell that they're not promotion material so it's easy to give AC Kajaani over 50% to win. Both teams possess excellent offensive players, and the stats also agree that this will have a lot of potential to be a high-scoring game, not to mention that the first meeting had seven goals in it even with the home team strikers missing sitters (just like they did against HauPa).

Kakkonen 1.9.

FC YPA - AC Kajaani 21 17 62
o/u 2.5: 77 23

GBK - KPV 55 19 26
o/u 2.5: 74 26

Bet365 seems to have this game open and live (with minimal limits) so a short preview. GBK still misses their long-term injured players so no surprises there, KPV doesn't have the services of their key defender N. Kalliokoski. GBK is in much better form even if some of their wins haven't been that convincing, KPV is still playing really badly as they haven't won anyone significant in ages so I'm fairly confident that -0,25 will be a half-loss at worst. Thursday's overs didn't have any luck despite plenty of chances in both games, but I'd pick over in this game too because KPV's already fragile defense is obviously weakened by the loss of Kalliokoski and GBK doesn't belong among the most boring sides this year.

edit: okay, GBK just scored when I posted this, but I'd probably bet the over and -0,25 still.