17.7.2011

Kakkonen C 17.7

HauPa - FC Santa Claus +0.0 2 64,5% 1,80 5/10 Sbobet
HauPa - FC Santa Claus O2.75 62% 1,81 3/10 Sbobet
TP-47 - Kiisto U2.75 59% 1,95 4/10 Sbobet
JBK - Warkaus JK O3.0 56,5% 2,01 5/10 Sbobet

HauPa - FC Santa Claus 28 21 51
o/u 2.5: 66 34

I have to say I don't get this line at all, YPA was about -0,5 and 2,00 some weeks ago against HauPa and I don't think Santa Claus is any worse at all. Class difference is quite big despite HauPa being above Santa Claus in the table, and HauPa's performances lately look like they'll have to fight to stay up, just like they were predicted at the start of the season.

TP-47 - Kiisto 50 25 25
o/u 2.5: 47 53

Kiisto might have some value on the paper, but there's no way I'm playing them as TP-47 is really that better to deserve a -0,5 line. With the record and history these two teams have this is one of those rare games where a 2.5 total line would be justified, though I'll keep the stakes a bit lower as under bets are understandably not that tasty overall at this level.

JBK - Warkaus JK 43 22 35
o/u 2.5: 66 34

Two evenly matched teams so the handicap looks uninteresting at 0.25. Both teams have played some entertaining football lately and I'll go for a medium bet on the over.

At Ykkönen, Lahti looks pretty interesting from a Oulu point of view.

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