9.9.2012

Kakkonen 9.9.

TP-47 - FC YPA +0,5 2 52% 2,03 2/10 188bet
TP-47 - FC YPA O3.25 57% 1,81 2/10 188bet
AC Kajaani - GBK O3.25 64% 1,61 5/10 188bet
AC Kajaani - GBK -0,75 1 61% 1,77 5/10 Sbobet

TP-47 - FC YPA 48 20 32
o/u 2.5: 72 28

FC YPA's decision to fire their coach was certainly strange considering that their last three (or four) games were against the very best teams of the league, and in none of those matches were they particularly outplayed. Now they'll be led by their former longtime coach, who wasn't that popular during his last two years. Bookies have given TP-47 slightly more chanches than me, which I naturally disagree with. Now that YPA has almost a full squad to choose from their line-up doesn't really pale in comparison to TP-47 and the form is just about equal too. YPA does have those three losses in their last few games, but they played pretty well in every one of those. TP-47 was quite poor in the second half against Santa Claus and they were really lethargic against GBK while winning HauPa should be always be just a routine performance for a team of their level. FC YPA probably still misses their new signing Savic and longterm injured Alasuutari, TP-47 has made a lot of changes to their team with players going in and out, but their core of Finnish players, who have done all the heavy lifting in terms of goals, has stayed intact.

AC Kajaani - GBK 65 16 19
o/u 2.5: 77 23

Motivation shouldn't be an issue because the hosts would confirm their promotion spot with a win and the away team would very much like to keep alive their slim hopes of reaching that spot. Despite their good record, you can see from the odds that nobody really seems to think that GBK is equal to PS Kemi. They do have some good players such as Melarti, Corcoran, Smith and Roiko but I guess the overall potential is just lower than what for example PS Kemi (who have many more players with Ykkönen experience/talent) has. AC Kajaani doesn't seem to be as dominant as the results tell if the match reports are anything to go by, but it probably doesn't matter whether they play with barca tactics or just throw long balls to their strikers because their foreign players seem to possess too much talent for this level anyway. GBK likely has only longterm injured T. Wentin and Halonen out, AC Kajaani's Traore made his return while Önal missed the PS Kemi game.

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