Kakkonen Pohjoinen 8.9

FC YPA - KPV -1,25 1 58,5% 1,89 5/10 Sbobet
PK-37 - ORPa -0,5 1 58% 1,85 4/10 188Bet
VIFK - PS Kemi O3.25 57% 1,96 5,5/10 Sbobet
VIFK - PS Kemi -0,25 2 53,5% 1,99 3/10 188Bet
GBK - Kerho 07 -0,5 1 58% 1,90 4/10 Dafabet
GBK - Kerho 07 O3.25 59% 1,94 6/10 Sbobet


FC YPA - KPV 73 15 12
o/u 2.5: 74 26

Important Pejic questionable for YPA (and out), some other guys are doubts but none are really that important. KPV's key Watson will return from suspension. Really similar game to last week's YPA-PK-37, with the small difference being KPV's level, which is now probably slightly above PK-37. YPA is a clear top-3 team and there's a big gap in class between the top and lower middle where KPV is that the -1,25 is again acceptable. KPV does have a handful wins from last few weeks ago but the their opponents were nowhere near the quality of YPA so not too worried about that. The only game today where the line is 3.5, KPV does certainly have a over streak going on but it's really tough to twist the 3.5 line into a value bet since YPA has been so disappointing on the goal front lately (not counting last week) so I'm skipping the total. 

PK-37 - ORPa 58 19 23
o/u 2.5: 67 33

A gigantic relegation battle. The results have been equally bad lately so at least the forms are similar. However, even with a local bias it's difficult to see this one going in ORPa's way. They've not beaten anyone other than Tervarit since May and even with the handful of new players they severely lack the player quality for Kakkonen. PK-37 is an experienced team and they usually play well at home so ~1,85 is okayish. Under or nothing is usually the theme in ORPa's games, but the nature of this match makes that option uninteresting so I'll pass. 

VIFK - PS Kemi 32 20 48
o/u 2.5: 72 28

Really disappointing games for both last week, but they obviously remain the top squads in the league along with YPA. Even with Pasher out from PS Kemi, I'll trust PS Kemi again. In the games against YPA and Kemi, VIFK has usually been quite outmatched qualitywise. Also, PS Kemi has still lost only three times, with one of them being the game where Eissele was out and the other two defeats were very unlucky according to the match reports. VIFK did have an under last round, but overall they've been very over-like lately. The same thing cannot be said about PS Kemi, but they remain one of the most potential teams in the group when it comes to goals, though admittedly Pasher missing is quite worrying. 

Tervarit - TP-47 8 12 80
o/u 2.5: 76 24

No odds in asian bookies. Tervarit does still try but the losses still continue, and if TP-47 has stopped celebrating their PS Kemi win this should be a two goal win at minimum for the visitors. Apart from VIFK loss, TP-47 performances have been quite good lately and they should have no problems with any missing players so the -1,75 and O3.25 offered on Bet365 would be warmly recommended for anyone who isn't limited to 0.20e there. 

GBK - Kerho 07 58 18 24
o/u 2.5: 73 27

Extremely important Carlsson out from GBK, on the other hand no nasty surprises coming from SJK to Kerho 07. In spite of Kerho 07's VIFK on Monday, I'd still rate GBK as a much better team than Kerho 07, not to mention that GBK has been playing better lately too. That said, I've dropped GBK's estimation a lot as this is still a no motivation game and Kerho has picked surprisingly many points lately (though PK-37 and ORP are poor), but even with that on mind the ~1,90 level odds remain easily playable.