OLS - FC YPA 32 21 47
o/u 2.5: 66 34
Two rather similar games today, yet the form differs a lot in both matches. YPA has been a huge disappointment so far as most of the predictions placed them in the top half of the group. They can't blame their player situation as practically all the key guys have been available, though it looks like the new Serbians and Armstrong are not going help them that much if the local reports are to be trusted. The short turnaround of two days from KPV to JBK match did affect YPA but the overall schedule so far in terms of opponents has not been that tough. Additionally the performances aside from OPS and JBK first half have not promising so that's enough to skip any pregame bets. OLS has gathered plenty of points so far but aside from the JBK match (don't know what happened there) what they've displayed has been very unconvincing. The defending has been good as Wentin is a very stable goalkeeper and Lukkari has improved a lot after spending a year in SJK organization, but that said luck has played a big part in both TP-47 and OPS matches as the both teams missed plenty of opportunities. OLS' offense has been very ineffective in regards to creating chances. TP-47 match had one great individual effort which flew in the top left corner, and OPS game had one corner kick scramble which left a defender one-on-one with the keeper, but outside those OLS I can't really recall any proper opportunities.
That said, good organization as in style of play and how its followed is top notch in OLS and you don't get 7 points by just luck (OLS defense, while at times lucky, has been quite solid) so there's obviously some good things too. OLS still misses couple of vital attackers, Kainu (striker), a former Veikkausliiga player is questionable but they do get Welling from AC Oulu. He didn't impress last year in 3rd division but with young players improvement could happen quickly and he did score two against JBK. The odds for YPA have dropped to not valuable levels. In any case, I wouldn't have trusted them enough to take them pregame, so follow the tweets here to see for live selections.
TP-47 - AC Kajaani 30 21 49
o/u 2.5: 68 32
Jarmo Korhonen is already working his magic in Kajaani as the visitors have along with PS Kemi been head above the rest of the teams so far. Their schedule has admittedly been quite light as the first game was against OPS who was playing with Kolmonen squad and the next two were against bottom dwellers PK-37 and JBK. Completely outplaying KPV in last round was certainly impressive, though maybe not that much after what happened yesterday. The hosts are probably slightly below KPV in quality but this will probably be the stiffest test they've faced as this is their first true away game of the season. A fortunate schedule has offered two glimpses of TP-47 as they've visited both Oulu teams recently. Even if the results were the same, the two 1-1 draws couldn't have been more different. Against OLS, TP-47 was fully in control but they only managed a lucky last-minute equalizer. OPS held TP-47 in check for most of the match, but after the red card for the hosts took it toll TP-47 could again count themselves slightly unlucky as they missed three clear chances in the last 15 minutes.
TP-47 was strengthened by the addition of Mapoka, who even played in Veikkausliiga with TP-47 in 2005. He did display fine ball control in OPS match and should help them a lot this season. TP-47 does have respectable team for this level, the two centrebacks Dunyin and Shevchenko were impressive in both games and the third foreigner Badji has proved his worth in last season already. The rest of the team consisting of mostly local youngsters has plenty of experience from Kakkonen and relegation should not be a worry for TP-47. I'm still a little bit cautious with AC Kajaani and giving them over 50 % would maybe at this stage of the season be too much. On the other hand, in a few week's time we could be looking at minimum of -0,5 all over the place for AC Kajaani. The visitors do certainly have what it takes to be dominant in this league, a great coach and a group of players that has already proven they can win the group plus a bunch of other guys that should have no trouble succeeding at this level (Graciano, Ceesay and the others). I'll take AC Kajaani "unofficially" as I don't see them losing today, a more value-minded way would be to wait for a couple of games to see whether AC Kajaani is really that good, but I'll take the gut feeling approach personally.
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