7.8.2014

Kakkonen Pohjoinen 7.8

JBK - GBK 30 22 48
o/u 2.5: 60 40

Was planning on skipping this, but JBK does get an awful lot of credit for a team that has only won once. They've been able to harass better teams all year long but other than a few draws there's not much they have to show in terms of concrete results. GBK has had a few ups and downs recently but more importantly they've been able to beat teams of JBK's quality quite consistently, in fact aside from their loss to TP-47 where they were likely too tired they've only lost to good teams. There has been a massive amount of draws this season and this is probably a good candidate for that too, -0,25 is however a very appealing line for a team that has shown much better results all year long.

PS Kemi - FC YPA 58 20 22
o/u 2.5: 62 38

The top match of the day, the difference is likely not as big as the odds suggest but I'm not going to oppose PS Kemi at home. On the other hand, YPA +0,75 does not interest either so will take a pass with the handicap. I had some interest in the over as PS Kemi has found their scoring form and their home games usually have plenty of goals in them, however the line is too big at 3.0 considering how low-scoring YPA has been this year.

KPV - TP-47 55 21 24
o/u 2.5: 60 40

KPV didn't exactly impress in OPS game, though they did miss Tshibasu who by my understanding has been an important part of their attack. They do have two losses in a row but having to face PS Kemi and OPS in away games is as though as it gets (let's just ignore what happened in Iisalmi yesterday). TP-47 long looked like a team that was headed for a disaster but couple of home wins has meant that the threat of relegation is not as immediate as it was few weeks ago. TP-47 wasn't supposed to be as bad as their position in the table is right now as they did not weaken that much from last year when they finished fourth. In that sense I'm a bit cautious to select KPV but it's difficult to resist -0,5 with the home record that KPV has, and the overall displays both have shown this year.

JBK - GBK -0,25 2 54,5% 1,90 2/10 188Bet
KPV - TP-47 -0,5 1 55% 1,90 2/10 Sbobet
KPV- TP-47 O2.75 55% 1,85 1/10 188Bet

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