Yes,
there are dozens of ways to calculate xG, and another dozen to lead them into xP - expected points.
In short my method is based on expected goal count, but only until the match is decided. What it means is that any goals into empty net do not count. There is also some adjustment which respects the result. After all winning a match is also a skill of its own.
So, this is not "correct" by any means, but it is more correct than the actual table. In the past it has been a good tool to estimate the final points, but naturally we need another or so for this to gain some reliability.
Points per game in the table, as the number of matches may vary a lot.
We can say that RoPS deserve their lead, and the bottom two have started the league very poorly.
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