8.8.2010

Kakkonen sunday

FC Jyväskylä - PK-37 44 23 33
o/u 2.5: 60 40

Fairly equal teams playing here, PK-37 has a slight disadvantage of
having played midweek but they've been very competitive lately even
when they've had some important players out so the 2.15 offered for
the home team doesn't feel that interesting, also having no team news
isn't the greatest thing. With the exception of Korsholm matches, FCJ
has been very under-like in their latest matches, on the other side
PK-37 has suddenly transformed to a over team so the total isn't that
interesting either. If 2.75 becomes available it might be worth of a
try.

FC Jyväskylä - PK-37 O2.75 55% 1,91 2,5/10 Sbobet

VIFK - TP-47 53 23 24
o/u 2.5: 54 46

After a disappointing start VIFK has now rolled six games without a
loss, the fact that the opposition has been quite good makes that feat
quite impressive. Important defender Maki and couple of their
ineffective strikers in Krstevksi and Shyrobokov might miss this game,
but otherwise they should have a full squad. TP-47 suffered another
heavy blow in the transfer market, when they loaned out the former
Finnish national team striker Huusko to PS Kemi, in addition to that
important Hakasalo and couple of partial starters(Ahonpää,
Talvensaari, Vilppola) are missing. TP-47 will probably not have to
worry about relegation, but I think they'll find it difficult to get
any points against the most in-form at the moment(excluding Santa).
Like VIFK, TP-47 has also picked up lot of points lately, but the
opposition has been quite lightweight. Both teams are quite-under
like, and I'd think the probable line of 2.75 would suit fine.

VIFK - TP-47 1 53% 2,06 4,5/10 Sbobet

FC OPA - Kiisto 29 23 48
o/u 2.5: 54 46

OPA has played rather well lately even when they've had problems with
injuries and suspension, but their youthfulness on set-pieces has been
exposed numerous times as they've conceded a lot of goals from those.
Kiisto's play hasn't been the prettiest one around lately, but they're
a really tenacious team in that they rarely lose but are able to
muster at least a draw. OPA's squad status should be slightly
improved, player coach Väisänen's status is questionable but if he's
able to play he would be a huge boost to OPA's defence. Kiisto might
miss Ekström, Heiskari, Ahonpää and Enlund who all have been regular
starters so overall it might be a good idea to check the line-ups. My
estimation for Kiisto might be a little steep, but I really have hard
time seeing them lose as they are at least a couple of steps above OPA
and the -0,25 line is quite appealing. Kiisto has reverted back to
being a under team after a high-scoring start, and OPA has most of the
time huge problems in scoring goals while at the same time they
possess a quite solid defense so there are a lot of indicators
pointing to a boring and a low-scoring game. I personally put some
money on to under, but making it a value bet is a bit trickier.

FC OPA - Kiisto -0,25 2 55,5% 1,88 2/10 Sbobet

FC Korsholm - FC YPA 12 14 74
o/u 2.5: 72 28

Korsholm team news are not available, YPA misses important defender
Akhmetkhanov but otherwise they should have a full squad available.
Obviously there's a massive class difference between these two, and
the -1,5 was low enough for me to play YPA, but as Korsholm's losses
have been quite tight most of the time I've had to be somewhat
cautious with staking. Over is a slightly more tasty option as YPA is
usually a very high-scoring team and Korsholm's defense has been torn
to shreds lately by much worse teams than YPA.

FC Korsholm - FC YPA -1,5 2 53,5% 2,02 4,5/10 Sbobet
FC Korsholm - FC YPA O3.25 57% 1,89 5/10 Sbobet

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