Kakkonen Pohjoinen 14.9

OLS - KPV 23 21 56
o/u 2.5: 58 42

Two teams with no motivation, unless you count one extra home game for KPV as an incentive. No solid ideas floating around my head, but I'd lean strongly towards KPV as the line is "only" -0,75 so if OLS again managed to keep it respectable it would be a half-win at least. Last week the home team managed to give some trouble for YPA so and KPV's form has been pretty erratic lately so the first home win for OLS would not sound totally impossible, but as said week from week OLS always manages to find a way to lose. In any case, the game's live on B365 so maybe there's something interesting there (live updates in www.kpv.fi and my twitter account). Despite the low total line I'm not interested in the over for obvious reasons.

GBK - TP-47 48 22 30
o/u 2.5: 58 42

Very evenly matched teams and while I rate GBK to be slightly better there's not enough value in -0,25 that it would be worth the bother. Nothing interesting in the total either.

PS Kemi - OPS 76 14 10
o/u 2.5: 66 34

OPS has been Kemi's boogeyman this year but those games were played in Oulu, now Kemi will get to play in their home field where they've again won almost all of their games (only the ACK game remains as a sore spot, and even then injuries were a big part of the loss). This still won't be easy for Kemi though, even with the defections OPS still possesses many talented and experienced players, and the last three games have showed that they've definitely not given up.

FC YPA - AC Kajaani 55 22 23
o/u 2.5: 56 44

You could argue that AC Kajaani has better players than YPA so in that light -0,75 is awful lot to pay for purely on motivational advantage. There is also the form though, YPA has been going from win to win (but their performance was not that good against OLS) while AC Kajaani has struggled against all kinds of teams. AC Kajaani has had a few overs lately which was almost unheard of in the midsummer, and as YPA must look for a win I was keenly eyeing the over. However, the asian odds don't offer any value so you'd have to use the european bookies.

PS Kemi - OPS -1,5 54% 1,98 4/10 Sbobet