20.9.2014

Kakkonen Pohjoinen 20.9

KPV - PS Kemi 13 17 70
o/u 2.5: 63 37

KPV's last game was just as bad as the result looks. Bottom dweller OLS did not have an excellent game but that was still enough to beat KPV who looked pretty uninspired. That said, I doubt KPV can play any worse and they should be more fired up for this match but as it remains there's no way I'd get involved with them. PS Kemi annoyingly won only by one goal last week but the win nevertheless was yet again a deserved one. They're at full strength and there's not much you can criticize on their recent form. The odds at asian bookmakers however are a joke so if you want to bet on Kemi it's best to look at the european bookies (1,45 to 1,50 available). At hunch level I can't see anything other than an away win, in totals over at 1,70 could be worth a try but again the asian odds are much lower.

AC Kajaani - GBK 62 20 18
o/u 2.5: 57 43

Jarmo Korhonen always finds a way to ruin the entertainment levels, this time it was a draw against YPA last week which all but assured that Kemi will take the play-off spot. But back to this game again, despite not playing that good lately Kajaani still remains a very tough team to beat and they should be a pretty big favorite purely by the sheer quality they possess in their squad. However, the times they have actually won by more than a one goal can be counted by one one hand so because the line is -1/+1 and as GBK is not playing too badly lately my hunch recommendation would definitely be towards visitors.

TP-47 - FC YPA 21 21 58
o/u 2.5: 58 42

A do or die game for YPA and I wouldn't be too surprised to see them stumble here. While TP-47 has been a pesky opponent most of the season (in the start of the season they didn't many concrete results of that) YPA's long streak of wins is respectable enough that they're a hefty favorites even at away field. But in betting terms the -0,75 has that extra -0,25 which means no interest in the visitors, YPA's recent OLS game did not leave an good impression as they didn't create that many chances and actually employed heavy timewasting tactics in the second half. Even more so than last week YPA will have to go for a win so that urgency could help with the total but I'm personally skipping that also. All in all the odds are pretty spot on today, GBK +1, PS Kemi straight win and overs for YPA and Kemi would be my hunch choices.

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