10.8.2015

Kakkonen South


Total of 27 rounds will be played in this group which means all teams face each other 3 times. The winner of the group goes to two-leg promotion play-offs vs another group winner in October and the winner gets promoted to Ykkönen for season 2016.

Obviously at this point - and even before the season started - it is clear that Honka wins it, and the more interesting fight is in the relegation zone. Total of 13 teams will get relegated this season out of 39(40), which means that all teams at 8th position or worse and also the worst 7th placed team. (points per game is the decisive factor as there are only 9 teams in Eastern group because of turmoil during the off-season, long story)

Naturally Gnistan is still mathematically in the competition, but as Honka are 2 goals better than any of their opponents this is very much a theoretical approach and I rather skip it as it is not going to happen. Same applies still to NJS, if they win all their remaining 8 games they would end up in 33 points which would be most likely enough to survive. Not going to happen, is it?

Why is Honka so strong?

Honka played in Veikkausliiga last season, and survived. What did not survive was the finance front and they were denied league license during off-season and got relegated to Kakkonen where their reserve club Pallohonka played. The squad is full of league class players, some of them rising stars and also several returning Honka heroes from the times when Honka got promoted the first time to Veikkausliiga. Tha class difference between league and Kakkonen is roughly 3 goals depending naturally on the teams.

In practice at least 30 points are needed for survival and at the moment it looks like the big battle is between KäPa - who robbed the first point off Honka last round - and Atlantis. KäPa is one of the best youth clubs in the country with a massive player bank, Atlantis is totally the contrary and the big audience for sure would prefer KäPa to stay and Atlantis to drop, class-wise though Atlantis do have the edge here. PKKU is "safe" now, they got important players back a few rounds ago and they are in top-form. FCV need to watch their back!

If you are a betting man the best place with biggest odds and limits and best availability is without a doubt


League table from soccerstats.com




RkGPWDLGFGAGDPtsformppgcsfts
1 FC Honka171610405+3549
2.8871%0%
2 Gnistan1812423618+1840
2.2239%6%
3 JaPS188372929027
1.5022%39%
4 TPV178273126+526
1.5329%35%
5 FCV197482121025
1.3237%32%
6 PKKU186572323023
1.2817%39%
7 KaPa174762123-219
1.1212%18%
8 Atlantis175482131-1019
1.1224%35%
9 Ilves-Kissat1841131929-1013
0.7217%28%
10 NJS1923142056-369
0.475%37%

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