22.4.2009

VPS - Haka 22.04.2009 Veikkausliiga

Let´s take a more mathematical approach this time.

1x2 % 32.0% - 32.0% - 36.0% (3.13 - 3.13 - 2.78)

Moneyline 47.1% - 52.9% (2.12 - 1.89)

Double 1x 64.0% (1.56)
Double x2 68.0% (1.47)
Double 12 68.0% (1.47)

1-0 11.2% 8.90 0-0 12.2% 8.21 0-1 12.1% 8.24
2-0 6.0% 16.79 1-1 14.7% 6.79 0-2 6.9% 14.45
2-1 6.8% 14.72 2-2 4.4% 22.48 0-3 2.6% 38.03

Home -0.5 : Away +0.5 32.0% - 68.0% (3.13 - 1.47)
Home -1.5 : Away +1.5 12.5% - 87.5% (8.03 - 1.14)
Home +0.5 : Away -0.5 64.0% - 36.0% (1.56 - 2.78)
Home +1.5 : Away -1.5 85.1% - 14.9% (1.17 - 6.71)

One must remember that last season VPS drew 8 times out of 26 (5 home/3away) a goalless draw and the team has not changed that much. This is the first game of the season for VPS as their first game was postponed, Haka took a surprise away win at TPS quite comfortably.

There are some injuries on both sides but nothing huge.

The pitch at Vaasa is far from green but the match will be played in rather cold conditions.

My prediction, 0-0,1, there is some value in asian handicaps for Haka.

1 kommentti:

  1. FT 0-1 (0-1)

    VPS could not create any chances even when Haka had gotten a red card in the first half.

    Very poor performance.

    VastaaPoista