Predicition: A low-scoring game to be expected and the markets have reacted too strongly to the latest good results by JJK.
My estimation for this match is 41-31-28 and with a normal goal expectaction it shows
BIG value in KuPS + 0.5 @ 1.85 which should not last too long. A goalless draw would not surprise me at all! Limit for the + 0.5 bet for KuPS is at 1.69.
Edit: Funnily enough, the odds on KuPS are still rising, + 0.5 @ 1.96 now. I guess your mamas did not warn you of emphazizing too much the latest results? KuPS is not a quality team really, but better than JJK.
JJK : 0-0-0-3-1-3 --------------- KuPS: 0-3-0-1-1-1
H2H: 1-0-2
Last Game 10.5.2009 KuPs – JJK 2-0
Extremely important match for both teams, JJK is just above the relegation zone with 14 points and the visitors KuPS are occupying the straight relegation spot at 14th with 10 points in the bag. The teams have met once this season, in May at Kuopio KuPS won comfortably 2-0 with goal by strikers Ilja Venäläinen and Pele Koljonen and the mood at JJK camp was depressed at that time, they felt JJK did not belong to the topflight and that they would have no chances of survival.
Lately things have changed. Both teams have strengthened their teams by signing foreign players. JJK have concentrated in buying hidden gems from the Balkans while KuPS are reaching for survival by shopping from Africa, and it looks like that both teams have succeeded and their performances are picking up. JJK have gained 7 points in their last three matches against top teams Inter, TPS and Haka, and the future looks bright again. KuPS have not lost in their last three matches either, but they have dropped a lot of points by late equalizing goals from the visiting teams.
The key players in this are game are the new signings. Georgi Hristov has brought a lot of skill and control to the JJK attack which helps the whole team, and for the Kuopio side Nigerian striker Dickson Nwakaeme 2/1 has been desbribed as the strongest player ever in the Veikkausliiga and he is capable of winning the matches almost by himself.
JJK have no no new injury worries, for KuPS the injury of important striker Pele Koljonen 14/4 is definitely bad news as he was about to find the net finally also this season. Another new signing Raphael Udah 1/0 will probably take his place in the opening line-up
JJK: 30 Mihaly Szerovay 14/0 - 3 Janne Hannula 9/0 - 5 Ik Kuyng Nam 15/6 – 7 Anssi Viren 16/1 – 9 Mika Lahtinen 16/3 – 10 Tommi Kari 16/4 – 14 Jukka Sinisalo 15/0 – 19 Christian Sund 14/1 – 13 Tuomas Latikka 15/0 - 6 Jukka-Pekka Tuomanen 9/0 – 11 Georgij Hristov 3/0
Bench: 31 Antti-Jussi Karnio (gk) 3/0, 12 Sami Myllymäki 0/0, 8 Matti Lähitie 12/0, 21 Toni Koskela 15/0, 4 Markus Paija 7/0, 18 Zakaria Abahassine 11/0, 16 Niko Markkula 7/0
Out: 15 Antto Tapaninen 0/0, 24 Niko Kautto 0/0, 17 Hyun-Kwan Kim 4/0 left the team
Coach: Ville Priha
KuPS: 1 Ville Iiskola 15/0 – 8 Tero Taipale 17/0 – 20 Miikka Ilo 16/1 - 3 Janne Reinikainen 15/0 - 4 Patrik Turunen 13/0 – 15 Ollo 13/0 – 28 Raphael Udah 1/0 – 10 Ilja Venäläinen 15/4 - 27 Segun Ikudehinbu 5/0 - 7 Miikka Turunen 15/2 - 26 Dickson Nwakaeme 2/1
Bench: 17 Jussi Kolari 0/0, 23 Jussi-Pekka Savolainen 14/0, 12 Joonas Pöntinen (gk) 2/0, 24 Atte Hoivala 7/0, 6 Tuomas Kuparinen 12/0, 22 Jyrki Juvonen 1/0, 13 Betim Aliju 9/0, 9 Balazs Balogh 12/1
Out: 5 Jani Hartikainen 10/0 for the rest of the season, 21 Jesse Miettinen 0/0, 2 Joni Nissinen 1/0, 11 Pele Koljonen 14/4
Coach: Esa Pekonen
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