4.12.2009

Honka - VPS 4.12.2009 friendly review

The biased  match discussion thread in finnish is here.
Video highlights here.
Veikkausliiga match report from VPS point of view here.

As always the talk is between fans and is of no use as such.

The match was played indoors and both teams were testing players. Honka gave their academy players a chance and VPS were testing players mostly recruited from lower divisions. Early odds for Honka were -1 @ 1.85 which looked like generous enough to me as normally Honka have destroyed their visitors this time of year in their indoor arena, and VPS had to make a lot of changes also because of injuries.

I gave up the idea of making complete notes and stats after seeing the line-ups because neither of teams will play like this this season, but overall if they were to play again this match any time soon under the same circumstances the estimation for this set-up would be 75-19-6. Class A team vs Class D and a goal by VPS would be a huge surprise.

In asian odds this is approximately -1.5 handicap at 2.00  with a 2.5 goal expect. If I had to adjust this I would go down a bit with the Honka win and lower it to 70 % which gives -1.5 @ 2.19 and -1.25 @ 1.89. Only a rough example of course.

The best performances of the day were Hannu Haarala, Nicolas Otaru  and Joel Perovuo from the home side, also some promising stuff from Juuso Simpanen and Tim Väyrynen.  The notable players from VPS outfit were Yannick Ossok (Pallo-Iirot 2nd div), Sami Salmi (Klubi 04) and gk Mika Huuhtanen (Klubi 04). Arttu Seppälä as a lone striker is another bad joke. Apart from silly Honka mistakes in the defence and a few free-kicks VPS never looked like a team who could create goal chances.

All in all, a friendly after some six weeks of a break, Honka did 10 substitutions in the half-time. Should not make too deep conclusions out of this.

Pallohonka - Viikingit today in the same arena.

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