OPS have yet to beat AC Oulu in any match, be it a training or an official one. And mostly that has not been just a fluke either, because there's definitely some mental edge that AC Oulu currently possesses over OPS. OPS is in a really poor form at the moment and the losses have been completely deserved. AC Oulu has picked up a lot of points lately, but to be truthful they've not played any better than when they had their winless streak in the first quarter of the season. Based on what I've seen this year, +0,25/-0,25 is just about right.
The total, however, is a different story. AC Oulu's defending has been, to put it mildly, really unstable for most of the season. Meriläinen - the slowest Veikkausliiga player ever, aging Hietanen and strikers, who don't bother with defending at all are part of the problem, but mostly it's probably the result of tactical choices. On the other hand, the current forward line and the experienced midfielders can create goals out of nowhere, so the huge amount of o2.5 games is not just a random occurrence. With OPS things are much more chaotic as they mostly rely on the individual talents of Ngambe x2 and co to create opportunities. Lately their defending has been just as shaky as AC Oulu's. AC Oulu misses Nurmos from their defense, and in theory that's a good thing for the over, but if it means that Kauppila switches over to the defense then that would be a really bad thing, because there's no one to replace him especially with Ojala out. OPS does seem to be in full strength.
If it doesn't take forever for the first goal to come, then I'm very confident with the outcome being o2.5. The odds are quite low at the moment, but as usual waiting a few minutes for them to rise is a good idea.
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