Kakkonen Pohjoinen 14.7

FC Santa Claus - KPV O3.0 64,5% 1,76 7/10 188bet
PK-37 - TP-47 +1,25 2 63,5% 1,87 4/10 188bet
FC YPA - Warkaus JK O3.25 60% 1,92 6/10 188bet
HauPa - AC Kajaani -1 2 61% 1,90 7/10 188bet
PS Kemi - GBK +1 2 58% 1,90 3/10 188bet

FC Santa Claus - KPV 37 20 43
o/u 2.5: 72 28

Santa won again last week, but since there's practically no information available from that game I'm not yet conviced enough that they've turned the corner. KPV's Warkaus win is something that should be taken lightly for various reasons, but when looking at the overall picture KPV has probably shown more promise than Santa, so I'm not surprised to see the bookies rate them as small favorites. That said the estimation could as easily be the other way around, so 1x2 is something that I'll have no trouble skipping. Neither team looks to be having any significant injury problems.

PK-37 - TP-47 55 21 24
o/u 2.5: 63 37

The european odds for TP-47 have already dropped and for a good reason, because they've continued to play at a very good level after they changed their coach. I could rave more about TP-47's potential but when looking at this match only it's good to keep in mind that PK-37 has been even better lately, so I wouldn't dare to give TP-47 more than that. TP-47's improved form means previews too, and it tells that they could miss a couple of important players in Kovalev and Konde. PK-37 had some important players out from Kemi game, namely captain Vidgren and first-choice goalkeeper Junnilainen.

FC YPA - Warkaus JK 42 20 28
o/u 2.5: 74 26

No kind words can be said about the form of either team. YPA still does have about a half of their starting line-up missing, so they can be partly excused. There have been some jokes about Warkaus' midsummer slumps but the reality is that it seems to be happening again. Though it has to be said that like YPA, Warkaus has been bothered by injuries a lot, which culminated in last week's KPV match where they had no one on the bench. For this match they received an ever bigger blow, when JJK loan Markkanen, who has scored nearly half of their goals, was called back. YPA could have some small value, but unless the line is +0,25 I'm not going to bother.

HauPa - AC Kajaani 15 16 69
o/u 2.5: 75 25

Normally I'd be very cautious going against HauPa at home, but AC Kajaani have already won there once so it's not exactly an impossible task that they're up against. Judging by the reports, the away team doesn't seem to be as dominant as SJK, OPS or OPA, but the wins just keep coming so it's difficult to do any criticizing either. Now that TP-47 has awakened from their slump, HauPa's situation is looking pretty grim. They probably still possess the potential to surprise now and then, but I don't think this is one of those games where points can be expected. HauPa will miss Makowski and Festus, who are one of the few players that have proven their worth at this level. AC Kajaani's Akbar, who has been in impressive goal scoring form lately, is suspended.

PS Kemi - GBK 54 20 26
o/u 2.5: 71 29

I had the illusion of PS Kemi being a good idea for this week, but the bookmakers have gone even farther than that by giving the home team almost 60 % chance of winning. Like I've said before, these teams were predicted to be the top contenders this year, and while that idea can now be safely disregarded the fact is that the class difference should not be as huge as the odds suggest. Still, PS Kemi has been almost invincible at home so small stakes are the most reasonable choice, even if the handicap is +1. The injury situation seems to be almost equal: GBK has a couple of fringe players suspended in addition to important defender Smith, PS Kemi has a handful of players questionable but none of them can be considered a key player.