21.7.2012

Kakkonen Pohjoinen 21.7

TP-47 - PS Kemi +0,5 1 58% 1,97 6/10 Sbobet
AC Kajaani - FC Santa Claus -1,5 1 68,5% 1,89 10/10 Sbobet
AC Kajaani - FC Santa Claus O3.75 66% 1,87 10/10 Sbobet
KPV - FC YPA O3.25 57% 1,99 5/10 Sbobet

TP-47 - PS Kemi 37 21 42
o/u 2.5: 68 32

Really outrageous odds here. If anything, I've mostly been overrating PS Kemi but with TP-47's current form and the class difference between these teams there's no way PS Kemi's chances to win this game should be rated at 50 % or more. TP-47 doesn't have the services of defender Kovalev, who has usually started for them, but other than that no one notable is out. The total line will likely be 3.25, which doesn't interest me either way.

AC Kajaani - FC Santa Claus 84 9 7
o/u 2.5: 85 15

If AC Kajaani doesn't dick around like they did against FC YPA this should be another clear home win for the hosts. Santa Claus has only one loss from their last six games, but their performances haven't really been that good overall. The home team looks to have almost a full squad to choose, with the long-term injured Traore being the only one out. They even have a new player, Kazakh-Dutch-Turkish midfielder, so they're doing their best to fit in with the rest of northern Finland. Santa Claus' Edereho and Figho were busy stuffing themselves up for Ramadan last week, or it could that they've just been fired since there's practically no info coming from Rovaniemi other than the occasional payment default notes.

KPV - FC YPA 64 17 19
o/u 2.5: 72 28

KPV's form still seems a bit sluggish, but they were the better side against Santa Claus last week. Nothing good can be said about the away team, whose ineptness made even Warkaus JK's defense look stifling. YPA does get one of their key players back, with more to come in the near future, but this match will probably be too early for YPA to handle, which is obviously reflected in the odds too. Over looks like it might offer some value, but KPV is one of those teams along with PK-37 that I'm not eager to play overs.

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