A few words about today's match before bidding farewell to Kakkonen's lined games tomorrow. The return of Nurmos is important for AC Oulu's defense, because in spite of his young age he has been almost as important as Hietanen in the defense line. Ojala importance is a so-so, as T. Siira has for the most of time been an adequate replacement for him. OPS' new players have obviously created a huge buzz, but according to the KooTeePee reports and what I saw against JIPPO they are not any better than the previous guys who were kicked out in the middle of the season. However, the most important thing is that they seem to be a step ahead of the likes of Huovinen, Juntunen and the juniors, who honestly have no skills to play in Ykkönen level so the overall effect for the team is positive (and for Finnish football, it's obviously the opposite).
AC Oulu has a really bad loss against HIFK from last week, but they've been a completely different team in away games so I wouldn't put too much weight on it when looking at this game. Even their two away wins (JIPPO, KooTeePee) have been quite lucky, but when playing at home they've even dominated RoPS for a one half in that 0-0 game, and have, for the most part, deserved their unbeaten (outside the cabinet) home record. OPS' new dawn is still a bit up in the air; KooTeePee win wasn't that convincing and JIPPO looked really uninterested and perhaps not motivated against them. AC Oulu is obviously the better team, but betting on them at -0,5 line is not interesting at all even when keeping in mind that OPS has no local supporters other than the player families; in fact OPS-jp would be a more appealing selection with these odds if forced to pick anything in the 1x2/handicap markets.
The odds for over have dropped considerably today, and if OPS continues to play in the same way as they did against JIPPO, where they fielded a 3 man defense, the over would definitely look good. And even if they wouldn't, they'll probably not adapt bus tactics which in AC Oulu's case usually means goals (just check the results outside JIPPO, FC Hämeenlinna, HIFK). However, despite the midsummer slump of OPS dragging their averages down, OPS isn't that explosive offensively even on a good day. Seeing that the over-hyped Leandro Costa is Jaksic-level at best, the goods and the goals will again have to come from the individual talents of Ngambe x2, Ramirez and set-pieces, so all in all with the 1,81 offered for the over 2.5 I'd prefer waiting for a few minutes for the odds to rise.
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