30.8.2012

Kakkonen 30.8.

HauPa - PS Kemi -1,25 2 64% 1,79 9/10 Sbobet
HauPa - PS Kemi O3.25 64% 1,90 9/10 Sbobet
FC Santa Claus - TP-47 -0,25 2 59% 2,05 8/10 Sbobet
FC Santa Claus - TP-47 O3.0 59% 1,92 5/10 Sbobet

FC Santa Claus - TP-47 27 20 53
o/u 2.5: 68 32

Have to say I'm a bit puzzled with these odds, PS Kemi visited Rovaniemi just a while ago and their odds barely scratched 1,70 and TP-47, who are not that far behind PS Kemi are priced at 2,00. Both teams have had long pauses lately so the forms are a question mark, but as said before TP-47's real quality is somewhere behind GBK, PK-37 and PS Kemi, and on the other side Santa Claus would likely be deservedly knee deep in the relegation battle if it were not for the Warkaus JK's antics. But as of now, there's still the tiny chance that HauPa will somehow manage to string up a couple of wins so there should be no question about motivation on either side. With totals I'd lean more towards under, as Santa have been quite defense-oriented during the past few months and TP-47 is certainly not among the highest scoring teams this year.

HauPa - PS Kemi 10 13 77
o/u 2.5: 77 23

This is mainly a bet against HauPa, who have been completely outmatched in their last few games. Against PK-37 they still had some life left, but after that it hasn't looked pretty for them as TP-47 and a heavily undermanned GBK side easily dominated them. And last week it was KPV's, whose last win against anyone worth of note was from June 20, turn to beat them. PS Kemi's away woes have been well-documented and their promotion dream is more like a pipe dream, though they do have two h2h matches against AC Kajaani left. However, the fact is that after midsummer they've played as good as anyone apart from AC Kajaani, with their PK-37 loss being the only game where they played poorly. The over should be an equally good opportunity as PS Kemi's foreigners are still in scorching hot form and if there's one thing HauPa has been able to do better this year it's goalscoring (defending has of course been a completely different story).

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