4.8.2012

Kakkonen 4.8.

HauPa - PK-37 U3.0 59% 1,90 6/10 188bet

FC Santa Claus - FC YPA 43 20 37
o/u 2.5: 74 26

According to their own preview, Santa should've been injury-free but their line-ups have been wildly varied lately. In the GBK match they had to field multiple local "talents", and you have to only think about RoPS' lineups of the years past to know that it is a very very bad thing. FC YPA's Pejic wasn't in the squad last week, so the previews really can't be trusted, but other than that they seem to have all their injured players back, though some of them started from the bench. Like bookmakers, I can't really tell which one of these teams sucks more than the other at the moment, so 1x2 is probably a no bet. Santa Claus has been really lucky to pick even a single point in their latest three matches, but they have certainly proved able to hold their own against the poorer teams, plus their home record is quite impressive, at least on the paper. YPA looks to be in upward form, but the KPV win wasn't really deserved so I'll hold my judgment for a moment, but the potential should be there to at least leapfrog HauPa and Warkaus JK, and maybe Santa Claus too.

AC Kajaani - PS Kemi 55 19 26
o/u 2.5: 76 24

The class difference is likely minimal in optimal conditions, but I can't disregard the mostly hideous away performances of PS Kemi and the equally impressive home performances of AC Kajaani. No team news, but there shouldn't be any major injury worries in either side. As usual, goals should be a given when AC Kajaani plays, and if PS Kemi ever wants to justify their big promotion talk they won't come only to defend in Kajaani, because after all there's still the 13 points gap separating these teams so draw wouldn't really do any good.

HauPa - PK-37 25 23 52
o/u 2.5: 54 46

Hard to see many goals being scored in this. HauPa has seemingly clamped down their defense considerably in the last two games and PK-37 strength has usually been their defending (or it sure as heck is not their no-name striking squad). PK-37 has continued to play at a high level - the two losses being mostly down to bad luck - so I can't really agree with Veikkaus' estimations. Yes, HauPa has picked up some points in their latest games, but those have been against some of the worst sides of the league, and PK-37 has been miles ahead of Warkaus and YPA. For what I can gather, both teams should be able relatively injury-free.

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