Hi!
My name is Antti and I'm full time bettor specialized in Finnish football. Puntteri has kindly given me the opportunity to write entries in his site so here we go. This text was published in my blogabet site yesterday the first time and it's worth putting here as well as I'm sure some you might find it interesting.
This is an example how everything isn't always like it seems in Kakkonen - and how even the best picks can go terrible wrong.
On 19 July 2014 Kufu played against Myllypuro. Match end 1-2 (1-0 58'; 1-1 83'; 1-2 89').
KuFu is the reserve team of KuPS (Veikkausliiga) and often gets players from them. That was the case also yesterday. Tero Taipale, Sami Räsänen, Saku Savolainen, Joona Kemppainen, Joonas Ojantie and Jani Mahanen were in the starting XI and Ilmari Niskanen on bench. Old-gun Taipale and youngster Savolainen are regulars in KuPS and the rest are more or less bench material. Anyway the point here is that KuFu had extremely good lineup in their standards. KuFu's lineup has changed a lot during the season; they've usually struggled to get players on away trips while playing home their lineup has been much better. With the lineup they had in this match they'd be roughly a mid-table team.
Myllypuro has reborn from the season opener and they've got multiple new players since then. With the current squad Myllypuro is lower-mid table/close to bottom team. They were extremely bad to beginning with and currently they can cause problems for any team (i.e. top team MP drew 2-2 against Myllypuro on 6 July and was close losing the match). Myllypuro like to keep their matters even more in the dark than most of the other Kakkonen clubs. In this match they had really hard time to get even enough players in the lineup.
In this match Myllypuro didn't have any substitute players at all. To fool around, they named several substitutes in the "official" Finnish FA's site. I've understood that none of them were really with the team. I't noteworthy that they've named even their owner/manager Alexander Hyppönen in the bench. He's a midle-age man who has some history in football but I'm not too familiar with his that side. 1 minute googling shows that he played one match in Atlantis in 1996 and perhaps that's enough information...
This match opened in Asia with KuFu-0.25@2 and the odds were gone during the day. I didn't see what the exact odds were when the game started at 19.00 but already hours before that not better than -0.25@1.6 was available. I managed to get some bets in myself with -0.5@1.90 and was really happy with those. Couldn't offer it to my subscribers (lucky for them) as there was really nothing left to offer as no bigger lines was available either.
As being said, I was expecting Kufu to win this match. There was a heat wave in Finland and Finns are pretty bad coping with heat. Thus it was safe to assume that at least close to end Myllypuro will get tired and that will know problems for them. Well, I didn't see a second of the match but after KuFu scored their first goal at 58' I thought there will be more to come though didn't expect Myllypuro to equalize at 83' and to score a winner at 89'...
Here's the link for the official site with lineups and other such http://palloverkko.palloliitto.fi/Live/stats/Fixtures.aspx?fixtureID=XmEw7XJSxZ6MI4kQte5XDQ==&matchID=vzP4XlVFC23iQ5++2Zn8Uw==
I didn't write this to boast with bad luck or for any such reasons. I haven't seen the match and don't know if the away win was deserved after all. Just wanted to provide you an example how Finnish low leagues might differ from what you've used to with bigger leagues.
Sincerely,
Antti / akaa89.blogabet.com
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