Kakkonen Pohjoinen 24.7

FC YPA - TP-47 65 20 15
o/u 2.5: 56 44

YPA seemed to display a better performance against AC Kajaani than what they did in OLS game, but that was not enough against a team of ACK's caliber. To put it kindly, opposing TP-47 did not go well last week as they completely dominated GBK. I suspect GBK might've been tired after their midweek game (maybe I'll learn to take those in account next year... ) or it was just one of those wild Kakkonen form swings. In any case, TP-47 has now played two good games after a long string of poor results and displays. YPA should, however, still be much better than TP-47 so they're clear favorites at home, but I'll be a little bit more cautious with YPA today. I had some interest in yesterday's euro odds for O2.5 mainly due to TP-47 recent games, but the asian line 2.75 is perfectly set. YPA has been far from that high-scoring team that they've usually been known of, and as an interesting statistical tidbit they've only had two games with more than three goals this year (and even those were the first two).

JBK - OPS 32 23 45
o/u 2.5: 59 41

If JBK was a strangely big favorite against PK-37 last week you could say the same about the odds of this match. The only thing holding me back, and which has been mentioned multiple times this year, is the fact that OPS does not always display their A game against poor opponents, which JBK is undoubtedly one of. The disaster of GBK match was completely forgotten last week as OPS took a 2-0 win against PS Kemi, although they were lucky in the first half as Kemi had couple of very good chances. Overall the win was not completely undeserved as they played suffocating defense in the second half in which Kemi did not manage to do anything until the very last minutes of the game. The return Koponen to the goal was a steadying influence as there were no memorable gk blunders as there were often with Keskinen. If you look at the last half a dozen JBK games it's clearly evident that they're not an easy team to beat. Though it's almost impossible to get reliable information on their home games, I don't think it's complete coincidence that the results have always been very tight. On the other hand, after 15 games they only have one win, and the opponent was OLS... so yeah, I think OPS +0,25 is a no brainer here.

FC YPA - TP-47 -0,75 1 60% 1,78 4,5/10 188Bet
JBK - OPS O2.75 54% 1,95 4/10 188Bet
JBK - OPS +0,25 2 63,5% 1,71 7/10 Dafabet