Kakkonen Pohjoinen 20.7

TP-47 - GBK 33 22 45
o/u 2.5: 64 36

TP-47 seems to have been unlucky to not get a draw from AC Kajaani, but then again their reports always tell the same tale and it's not like it was the first time AC Kajaani won against the run of play. TP-47 has certainly been one of the biggest disappointments this year, after their long string of draws to start the season I would've expected them to right their ship but their lone wins are still against hopeless PK-37. After OPS game even I can't disregard GBK anymore, they've played two games less than Kemi so they could have an outside to promotion if they can keep this up, but I doubt they can seriously challenge PS Kemi and AC Kajaani in the long run. For today I think they deserve to be regarded as favorites, the season is past its halfway point so it's not exactly a fluke that GBK has picked up double the amount of points than TP-47. With GBK fresh in mind I'm somewhat confident with the over, at least this game clearly looks like the most probable game today to have goals.

KPV - OLS 75 18 7
o/u 2.5: 53 47

KPV continues to grind out results worthy of their preseason predictions, or in other words they're safely stuck in the upper middle table. OLS winless streak has now reached double digits and I doubt it will change today either, but in betting terms it doesn't make it any easier. I haven't seen KPV this year, but it seems like it's not a total coincidence that their games have been won or lost by very slim margins. I've been burned on one goal OLS losses multiple times this season, and even though -1,25 appeals a lot I think I'll take a pass with KPV -1,25. Perhaps one option would be to wait for a while to see if you can get -1 or preferably -0,75, because despite some promising OLS performances in the last two games the class difference should still be very much in favor of KPV. Total is a different story, under is an obvious choice because of OLS ineptitude in attack and KPV's general low-scoring nature.

PK-37 - JBK 31 24 45
o/u 2.5: 52 48

This is not available in Asian markets, so only brief notes. While their record is no doubt awful, until last Wednesday PK-37 had rarely been blown out and if the reports are not entirely inaccurate they haven't been that much behind their opponents. You could say the same about JBK who have made life hard for many good teams, though unlike PK-37 who doesn't seem to even pretend to attack JBK at least tries to do something else than just park their bus. If you just look at the records the current odds for JBK look insane meaning that they should not be worthy of 1,75 level odds. I won't argue against JBK being favorites but unless there's some heavyweight Jaro guys coming in to help I'd say the only option is PK-37 +0,5 or pass, I just don't see the class difference being as big as the odds suggest. As PK-37 tells in their preview that they're going back to defensive approach after Wednesday's massacre the under could be worth a try, U2.5 2,25 is available in a few places.

AC Kajaani - FC YPA 52 23 25
o/u 2.5: 50 50

Naturally the most interesting match of the round. AC Kajaani's performance still don't seem to raise much praise, but they've mastered the art of getting a result, or at least avoiding any defeats. For a team of YPA's stature the 0-0 draw against OLS should be considered a really poor result, however, they've not done much wrong for the past two months so perhaps they can be excused for one slip up. I have tiny interest on AC Kajaani as I'd rate them slightly better than YPA but the threat of draw looms so large with AC Kajaani and -0,5 that I'm not going to get involved pregame. You don't need me to tell you that this looks like a very underish game, both teams have been rock solid defensively and neither has done that much scoring, at least compared to PS Kemi. Just by hunch I'd say there's some value in U2.5 at odds of 1,90 or above, but I'm not going to "officially" recommend it.

TP-47 - GBK +0.0 2 57,5% 1,80 4/10 188Bet
TP-47 - GBK O2.75 60% 1,89 6/10 Sbobet