19.2.2010

League Cup Finland 20th Feb 2010 asian hc price limits


EDIT1: FT AC Oulu - Haka 2-0. It is difficult to update the system to really find out how crap Haka is, but fortunately I know it myself and will not be fooled its famous name and history.


Edit3: FT Jaro - KuPS 1-0. One of the three likely outcomes. Nothing would had surprised me there. KuPS lost their best striker Ilja Venäläinen after 26 minutes due injury.


These are more inaccurate estimations than they would be during the season. The home advantage is apparently slightly bigger when played indoors in the winter, but it is very difficult to verify exactly as also the line-ups are far from the norm and there are usually all 5 substitutions made. However, I have achieved good results with this competition because the bookies seem to be suffering even more, and the team news which are already estimated in my odds usually start affecting the odds quite strongly nearing the kick-off time. Despite the price suggested I refuse to take Haka. Not backing them has been a succesful strategy. I took KuPS instead last night at 0,25 @ 1.93



-0,25 0 0,25 0,5 -0,5 -0,25 0 0,25
Jaro 2,38 2 1,72

2,38 2 1,72 KuPS
Oulu 2,36 1,97 1,7

2,43 2,03 1,73 Haka




























Haka are missing or doubtful; "- Toni Kuivaston? peluuttamisesta en vielä ole tehnyt päätöstä. Jarno Mattila ei vielä tähän peliin ehdi mukaan ja Niko Ikävalko on polvivaivaisena, Ristilä kertaa Hakan pelaajatilannetta.

Mattilan ja Ikävalkon ohella Hakalta ovat sivussa pitkäaikaispotilaat Maido Pakk ja Jani Kauppila". There will be two African test players for Haka.

Jaro will be without "Vaikka Jaro saakin muutaman pelaajan takaisin kokoonpanoon, niin sairaslista on silti pitkä. Pois ottelusta ovat varmuudella Heikki Aho, Jani Bäckman, Papa Niang, Petter Meyer ja Björn-Erik Sundqvist. Sen sijaan Janne Vellamo on jälleen pelikunnossa. Jani Sarajärven? pelaaminen on vielä epävarmaa." Jaro are testing a swedish striker Joakim Lengyel.

I am watching no league cup today but concentrating on the preparations of Ykkönen and Kakkonen clubs as they are playing some friendlies today. Klubi 04 - MP being the most interesting of the clashes, where I took Klubi to win @ 2.02 Edit: cancelled Klubi04 bet, MP are actually the better team on the pitch.

Edit2: FT Klubi04 - MP 1-2. Ex professional Eetu Muinonen was doing the playmaker job for MP. A shame really if he can not find a decent club for himself.

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