Free stream available today for Honka - AC Oulu at 17.30 CET

Edit2: FT 3-4, what else? Jonke scored all 4 for Oulu. Highlights here:


Edit: the limits in the table favour Honka a bit too much, Hakanpää & Savage missing were not included in the early estimation. Of course, the markets are overreacting again and -1 @ 1.95 is good value for the hosts, there are still quality players for each position.

Possible line-ups after some late team news from home side;

Honka
1 Peltonen
20 Otaru - 3 Heilala - 13 Koskimaa - 5 Aalto
7 Weckström - 28 Schuller - 29 Simpanen - 14 Vasara
10 Puustinen - 27 Rasimus


AC Oulu
22 Rodrigues

5 Lähderinne - 6 Pehkonen - 2 Hietanen - 3 Kukka

19 Juuso Majava - 13 Nurmela -7 Dom Yobe - 14 Pennanen10 Don Yobe -11 Jonke

Honka have a striker problem; they loaned Aleksandr Kokko to PoPa and Hermanni Vuorinen to Charleroi; the only remaining proper striker is Jami Puustinen as I do not count Konsta Rasimus  a good one or a striker either, and John Weckström is more a midfielder than a goal-scorer.

Oulu do have a defender problem as key player Jarkko Hurme is suspended, and it is the part of the pitch where they really could not give any more handicaps as the replacements for all defensive positions have failed during the season. Also a few wingers are out injured and the weapons Oulu have seem to be rather limited.

HJK losing two points last night away at Jaro gives an extra boost for the hosts as with a win they could narrow down the lead to 4 points with 5 rounds t go, Oulu can also breath a bit more freely after seeing Lahti getting defeated again, and their main worry is now the relegation play-off instead of direct relegation.

Honka will start with full force as usual, and if Oulu keep on pressing high as they often do this might easily open up into a goalfest, Honka have a full squad to choose from and there are hungry subs available for the midfield to keep up the pace. On the other hand Honka have lost also a lot of silly matches this season when they have failed to convert their chances into goals, the worst reminder of being the home loss 2-3 to JJK when goal chances were in the neighbourhood of 20-4.

You have your own chance to make up your mind with live coverage, but rough limits here below, there is a chance I overestimate Honka a bit as they are far more close and known to me;

	Honka	Oulu
-1.5	2,23	1,82
-1.25	1,94	2,07
-1	1,71	2,4

as mentioned earlier Honka often start so strongly that the odds do not rise much for the first 10-15 minutes. As an idea it might be worth looking and waiting, Honka are not going to settle for a draw as it is more or less useless in regard of thre title race. At Oulu the score was 2-0, and definitely they are not that easy to beat but Honka are on their good day a big favourite, only time will tell if this is a good day for them or not.