10.8.2013

Kakkonen Pohjoinen 10.8

ORP - KPV -0,25 2 56,5% 1,98 6/10 188Bet

PS Kemi - Kerho 07 85 9 6
o/u 2.5: 80 20

VIFK - Tervarit 85 9 6
o/u 2.5: 77 23

ORPa - KPV 27 23 50
o/u 2.5: 56 44

ORP is still finding it impossible to score, and you can probably guess that Rönkkö had another excellent game on Wednesday as the winning margin was "only" two goals. KPV played a fine game on midweek, though the win had a little bit of luck involved in it. ORP's last win against anyone other than Tervarit is from May, so -0,25 is more than enough for me as KPV is still considerably better than ORP. PK-37, TP-47 etc. have gotten a -0,5 line and much lower odds and I don't really know why KPV would be much worse than those two. The probabilities probably dictate that ORP will win and also score sooner than later, but I'm not going to lower stakes just because of that though I admit on a hunch level this doesn't feel the best game to get involved with because of the high stakes regarding relegation. Watson probably still out from KPV, first choice gk Myllymäki suspended. ORP missing their topscorer Karjalainen. A heavy under feel on this game, even the top teams have found it hard to score against Rönkkö and KPV certainly isn't an explosive offensive team. 2.75 line is more than justified here.

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