Kakkonen Pohjoinen 4.8

No odds available. PS Kemi -1,5 & O3.5, FC YPA -0,5 & O3.5 and GBK O3.5 look interesting in Bet365 and eurobookies.

PS Kemi - KPV 86 9 5
o/u 2.5: 80 20

A disastrous happening such as a draw against ORP could always kickstart a dip in form, but it's really difficult to come up with anything to support KPV. The visitors have had relatively tight games lately against some good teams, but PS Kemi is just miles ahead in every department other than Myntti's height and now they should be even more motivated than usual after last week which is not good news for KPV as PS Kemi is the best home team in the group. KPV misses two of their key players in Watson and Jylhä, PS Kemi has few starters out too (Vilmunen, Torvic, Pätsi) but all the big guns (Pasher, Eissele and co) should be available. PS Kemi's over streak at home was finally broken last week though that was probably just that one fluke game. The 3.5 line is a bit steep still as KPV's defense has been statistically at least average after mid-June when they got those new players and started playing better. PS Kemi should get an extra incentive from improving their goal difference, as like you can see from the table the only thing separating them from YPA is just a few goals scored.

Kerho 07 - FC YPA 16 16 68
o/u 2.5: 76 24

Kerho 07 could get Caumo from SJK as he did not play yesterday, Muurimäki and Ylinen, two of their more experienced players should return. YPA should finally be able to play with their full squad now that nobody is suspended. Kerho 07 almost picked up a draw last week against TP-47, and even a win would not have been out of the question according to the reports. But as it stands only results count and those tell a nightmarish story for Kerho 07, as they've only won hopeless ORP in their last ten games. And anyway, TP-47 did not impress at all in yesterday's game here so a near-win for Kerho 07 against TP-47 is not something that is exactly a strong evidence for Kerho 07's improving form. YPA displayed total domination against Tervarit, who themselves were near to win against Kerho 07. Of course a vs b vs c logic is never a good idea to base your bets on, but the class difference is heavily on favor of YPA so I find the expected asian line of -0,75 very appealing. YPA is not in particularly good form as their games against VIFK, PS Kemi and KPV were just so-so but we're still talking about a joint leader of the group so it's not like they're doing that badly, not to mention that they won two of those aforementioned games. And additionally, some of YPA's recent struggles could be attributed to injuries and suspensions which will not be an issue today. However, Kerho 07 is probably not as bad as their results show and their player situation could also be quite improved so I'm not going nuts with YPA today but with current odds the only appealing selection would be YPA. At worst Kerho 07 is a middle table team when it comes to totals, and YPA is definitely an over team both statistically and in the way they play. 3.5 is still a bit high for a total line, so let's hope that the Asians will put up a 3.25.

PK-37 - Tervarit 66 17 17
o/u 2.5: 71 29

PK-37's wonder boy Niskanen is missing, Tervarit line-up variations could fill a novel now. It's almost insulting to see the same type of odds for PK-37 win as for PS Kemi. Yes, PK-37 is a good home team and they've been playing okay for a while now, but Tervarit has been quite competitive lately (let's not talk about that YPA game) so I'd expect them to have at least a slim chance to grab something here. It doesn't mean that the visitors would be an appealing option, but with the current odds PK-37 holds no value in my opinion. Any concrete ideas for the total are hard to find. Tervarit has been sailing between rock-solid defending and the opposite of that, though one thing has been consistent all season long and that is poor goalscoring. PK-37 does usually lean towards unders, but recently they've been quite high-scoring. However, PS Kemi, FC YPA and GBK are one of the clear over teams currently so maybe it's not that surprising. ORP match on the other hand should have ended under. Eurobookies have set the line at 3.5 with even odds, and that's something that I would have no trouble skipping,


GBK - VIFK 45 20 35
o/u 2.5: 73 27

GBK was not at their best against ORP couple of weeks ago, but fatigue should not be an issue for them this time. Now that they're more or less playing at the level they were predicted to be in preseason, I'd say we're dealing with quite equal teams here. VIFK's losses to YPA and PS Kemi are nothing to be ashamed of as those two possess superior player material compared to VIFK. The odds for GBK have taken a tumble, and while I was preparing to take GBK, VIFK isn't an any worse selection than GBK so VIFK +0,5 would be acceptable assuming we get near 1,90 level odds for it. GBK is still missing Melarti, the odds being slashed could mean that VIFK has some injury troubles so before the line-ups appear I'll be a little cautious with them. Over bet for GBK's last match was stupid I admit as ORP is a very under-like team right now and GBK was running on fumes then. However, today I'd expect the goalfests for continue because VIFK shows no signs of stopping their streak of high-scoring games. That's probably a good example how unpredictable totals can be, as before that they were the masters of under games, but I'm not complaining as long as they carry on that streak. GBK has been strong defensively after their coaching chance but the opponents have been very lightweight so I'm not too worried about that since VIFK is still a top-3 team so it's not unreasonable to expect them to score at least one.