13.5.2009

Veikkausliiga preview 14.5.2009

There will some thoughts and probably picks as well later today afternoon, busy with something else before that. There is a preview available at NFN, but I seem to disagree with some of the picks.

Picks first, reasoning later. All odds from Sbobet.com

Haka - Tamu no bets yet

I see TamU as a lot better team than Haka, but the problems outside the pitch may have affected their performances just enough that backing them does not feel too tempting now.

HJK - Honka (40-30-30) Honka + 0.5 @ 1.81

This is by far the most interesting match of the round. Two biggest favourites meet and there is no home advantage as Honka is also using Finnair Stadium as their home arena until their own pitch gets renovated by mid-sommer.

They key player if this game is HJK midfielder Ville Taulo who comes in for the first time this season to replace injured captain Tuomas Haapala who will be sidelined for some 4-8 weeks. Taulo is actually much better player in the attack, but it is his defensive qualities that raise questions and that will change the balance of HJK midfield. If Honka can challenge him properly the route towards goal, especially from the right flank where Hauhia and Kärkkäinen will struggle, is much more open.

I am tempted to try Honka here, and the handicap + 0.50 is worth a bet @ 1.81.


Inter - TPS TPS 0.0 @ 2.23

This is a so called derby round and the home advantage is less
significant than normally. TPS has showed some signs of recovery
lately and they have a lot to revenge from last season´s beatings by
Inter. Inter has weakened since last season a lot and is hardly worth being a favourite in this challenging clash.


MyPa - Lahti Lahti + 0.50 @ 1.76

MyPa surprised me last time around at home against HJK - I was at the
stadium myself, and saw also Honka-MyPa live - but I can hardly imagine the almost retired nightclubber Ady performing superbly another night and controlling the midfield, specially whenLahti has a weapon against him in Vanninen. Without Ady MyPa was very very poor against Honka.


JJK - RoPS RoPS + 0.50 @ 1.92


JJK has not yet scored even once and RoPs is a class or two above their hosts. So far RoPS has had 3 penalties this season in the 3 games, and missed all 3 of them! They can create goal chances however
and tonight their luck will turn.

The odds seem the be drifting at the moment, which is not that unusual in games where RoPS is involved but probably there is nothing dodgy going on this time.

None of the games is televised according to my knowledge, I am off to Finnair Stadium to freeze.

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