KäPa - GrIFK analysis

An interesting game really.

A derby.

Both teams were relegated from Ykkönen last season, quite deservedly.
Both teams were promoted to Ykkönen the season before.



This season both teams are likely to stay in Kakkonen,

KäPa is 11th in the group 11 3-4-4 13 points only one point above the relegation zone, and GrIFK 11 4-5-2 with 17 points already 10 point behind leaders WJK. Only the winner will get promoted.



Kakkonen Lohko A KäPa latest

07.07.09 Kakkonen Lohko A KTP vs. KäPa 3:3
17.06.09 Kakkonen Lohko A KäPa vs. Gnistan 0:4
13.06.09 Kakkonen Lohko A KäPa vs. FC Kuusankoski 0:0
07.06.09 Kakkonen Lohko A Warkaus JK vs. KäPa 1:1
01.06.09 Kakkonen Lohko A KäPa vs. FC Kiffen 5:1
26.05.09 Kakkonen Lohko A PK K-Uusimaa vs. KäPa 1:0
21.05.09 Kakkonen Lohko A LPS vs. KäPa 2:1
17.05.09 Kakkonen Lohko A KäPa vs. MP 0:2
11.05.09 Kakkonen Lohko A KäPa vs. HyPS 5:0
04.05.09 Kakkonen Lohko A HIFK vs. KäPa 0:4
25.04.09 Kakkonen Lohko A KäPa vs. Kultsu FC 1:1

GrIFK latest

04.07.09 Kakkonen Lohko A HIFK vs. GrIFK 1:1
17.06.09 Kakkonen Lohko A LPS vs. GrIFK 3:3
14.06.09 Kakkonen Lohko A GrIFK vs. PK K-Uusimaa 2:0
06.06.09 Kakkonen Lohko A FC Kiffen vs. GrIFK 2:2
02.06.09 Suomen Cup Pöxyt vs. GrIFK 4:0
31.05.09 Kakkonen Lohko A FC Futura vs. GrIFK 2:3
24.05.09 Kakkonen Lohko A GrIFK vs. MP 0:2
21.05.09 Kakkonen Lohko A KTP vs. GrIFK 1:1
17.05.09 Kakkonen Lohko A GrIFK vs. Kultsu FC 4:1
10.05.09 Kakkonen Lohko A GrIFK vs. Gnistan 0:0
03.05.09 Kakkonen Lohko A HyPS vs. GrIFK 2:3
26.04.09 Kakkonen Lohko A Warkaus JK vs. GrIFK 1:0


LOHKO A standings

Warkaus JK 12 8 3 1 26-13 27
Gnistan 12 7 3 2 23-11 24
PK Keski-Uusimaa 12 6 2 4 28-18 20
LPS 12 6 2 4 19-16 20
FC Kuusankoski 12 5 4 3 18-19 19
MP 12 5 3 4 22-16 18
GrIFK 11 4 5 2 19-15 17
FC Futura 12 5 2 5 23-24 17
FC Kiffen 11 4 3 4 13-14 15
KTP 12 3 5 4 15-17 14
KäPa 11 3 4 4 20-15 13
HIFK 11 3 3 5 14-17 12
HyPS 12 3 0 9 16-34 9
Kultsu FC 12 0 1 11 8-35 1

Prediction:

GrIFK is stronger of the teams, but as an amateur league anything can happen also tonight. I willing to argue slightly with the market and see GrIFK as a favourite, but not that strongly to justify an early bet as I also have the opportunity the go to the stadium of watch and bet live.

Home advantage is otherwise no issue at this level and in Helsinki area derbies, but KäPa stadium is one of the windiest places on earth and usually leads to some strange football if and when teams can not hold the ball on the ground.

No early pick and no update, but if the odds change I suggest to go to the opposite direction and take the underdog with the handicap. The current prices are right enough with the information available at the moment.

Edit after all: 1 hour before kickoff käpa is now 2.6 and grifk 2.3. Curious to see the match and i am off now!