This season has been even more .. well… interesting. Early in the summer the coach was allowed to leave, the new coach introduced a bus load of new players from Lithuania – his own native country – and another load of Atlantis players decided to abandon the club in which they saw no future not for themselves, given that they had not been paid for quite some time. The FA allowed them to break their contracts and look for new teams.
As a result of all of this Atlantis was withdrawn from most bookies offerings. There were some brave individuals still selling and buying it at Betfair, but the general opinion of the club was… careful, cautious. Many people in the business talked about worst case scenarios, remembering the case of a certain Chinese businessman getting involved in a Finnish football club called Allianssi a couple of years back. That was a sad story about corruption and fixing games professionally, a lesson to be learned.
A couple of months have passed by. The Lithuanians have not gained many new friends in the country. The team has been seen by some as a joke, a disgrace, something that should not exist. The results are poor, the performances in the beginning were awful. Nothing was well or peaceful in the Atlantis camp.
I must admit, I have been suspicious about all of this. Being a football romantic myself I do want to believe in honest games and see the players do their best. All of the players, including goalkeepers. All the staff, coaches, agents, directors. There are bent people in the business, but let us suppose this is not the case and see if there is anything to be found bettingwise of this derby between Atlantis and PK-35.
The bookies offered last week prices of more than 5 for Atlantis home win, and seems like they have learned nothing from that game as there is still 5.00 at Stan James for Atlantis. I know, they know their business and some of them are very well aware of the improvement at Atlantis, but they can not offer too big odds for PK-35 either for risk management reasons.
In the last weeks´s game KPV were slightly better in the first half undeservedly winning it 0-2, but after a 20 minutes long strategy session at the half-time break the team that came out of the Atlantis dressing-room was performing the best football seen at this level in this country this season. They scored early, they hit the post, one of their goals was disallowed, they were not awarded the penalty they fully deserved. They ran over KPV, they should have won comfortably, and KPV is a quality team.
An outstanding performance, which is rewarded with being chosen the Puntteri Midweek Pick. I am sure they must be proud!
Atlantis is over 5.00 at several bookies which is way too much, my estimation for this match is roughly 34-32-34. Value, but again not a sure winner. No handicaps this time. When the SJ price drops, you will find a bit lower prices at a bookie near you.
Funnily enough, there is a replay next Sunday, as this game has been rescheduled from 10.7.
I know I am bit thick but these odds for Atlantis are pure madness.
Atlantis results so far, which do not support my pick, only my eyes and experience of the game do.
25-07-2009 13:00 Atlantis-KPV 1-2
19-07-2009 15:45 KPV-Atlantis 2-0
15-07-2009 15:30 Viikingit-Atlantis 1-0
10-07-2009 15:30 Atlantis-PK-35 postponed
17-06-2009 15:30 Atlantis-Klubi 04 1-5
14-06-2009 15:30 Atlantis-H-Linna 1-2
07-06-2009 15:30 Oulu-Atlantis 3-0
31-05-2009 15:30 Kiisto-Atlantis 1-1
26-05-2009 15:30 Atlantis-KooTeePee 1-1
21-05-2009 15:30 TP-47-Atlantis 0-1
17-05-2009 15:30 Atlantis-JIPPO 0-2
10-05-2009 15:30 KEPS-Atlantis 2-1
03-05-2009 15:30 Atlantis-PoPa 0-1
24-04-2009 15:30 Viikingit-Atlantis
17-04-2009 15:30 Klubi 04-Atlantis 4-1
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