19.5.2010

MuSa - SoVo 1-0

Despite me thinking the opposite. There were 6 - well actually 5 - players from PoPa to help out but this was not in my knowledge at the time of the pick of SoVo - 0,25 @ 2.09. the bet was mostly reasoned by the eyewitnesses match reports delivered to me, but of course, away game at Kakkonen is always a bit of worry if it involves travel and you have to hit the bus straight from the work.

A good question came from a Newsletter customer regarding if I knew about this help and was it included in the estimation, here is my answer;
***

A good point.

No, I was not sure of that and I would probably had skipped it. On the other hand PoPa reserves are pretty much Kakkonen level players, they help the bottom teams like MuSa, but they do not make MuSa a force.

This is a problem with looking for early prices at Kakkonen, both odds and team news come late if at all. If based on picks according to the rumours "there will be a lot of players from PoPa today perhaps" then you are as well in deep trouble when the unnamed players do not show up or are someone else than expected, it also happens.

However if you looked at the live odds they were on SoVo heavily throughout the match, and pretty much until the goal you could have bought MuSa + 0,5 @ 2 and make a profit.

Here is the minutes of the match from the FA;
http://tulospalvelu.palloliitto.hs.prewise.com/print.asp?id=19304&ser=43

MuSa players from the homepage
http://musansalama.fi/sivu.aspx?taso=1&id=238

Here is the news of the PoPa help from PoPa homepage;



"Kuusi pelaajaa tänään MuSan riveissä"


FC PoPan Janne Vuorinen, Antti-Pekka Pihlainen, Juha Vallin, Topi Mattila, Ville-Valtteri Tuumi ja Aleksander Akbar ovat tänään MuSan riveissä, kun joukkue kohtaa kotonaan Someron Voiman."

Then all we need to know what kind of quality these players have;
Latest PoPa match minutes here;
http://ykkonen.palloliitto.hs.prewise.com/tilastointi/print.asp?id=14820&ser=1

So it is pretty safe to assume that these PoPa players are no profile players at Ykkönen level, but of course, as the point was basically to bet against the weakest team in the group I would had thought twice if I was sure of the amount of help.

In April 2010 MuSa - SoVo in the cup ended 0-6.

I am awaiting for the match reports, but a losing bet is a losing bet no matter what they say.

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